Birmingham vs Leeds Prediction 15 February 2026
🔊 Birmingham City and Leeds are set to clash in the fourth round of the FA Cup. The hosts are vying for a spot in the Championship playoffs, while the visitors are battling to retain their Premier League status. Unlike many matchups at this stage, there's no massive gulf in class between these two sides. Nevertheless, bookmakers have pegged the "Peacocks" as favorites, even though the encounter will take place at St. Andrew's Stadium.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 01 January 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 3:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Leeds United):
- ball possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Birmingham City and Leeds United:
- played 28 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 11, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 39 against 37;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.18, in the 2nd half - 1.54;
- average total goals in the match - 2.71.
Head-to-head statistics Birmingham - Leeds
Birmingham City Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Birmingham City, away team - West Bromwich Albion). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here's the game statistics (Birmingham City vs West Bromwich Albion):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
Birmingham City are in impressive form at home, maintaining an 11-match unbeaten streak at their own ground. The Blues' unbeaten run extends to eight matches regardless of the venue. If they continue at this pace, they will surely be in the hunt for promotion to the Premier League.
It's worth noting that Birmingham's last two FA Cup matches ended with identical 3-2 scorelines. In the previous tournament, they exited in the fourth round after losing to Newcastle, while this year's campaign began with a victory over Cambridge. Chris Davies' side seemed headed for a comfortable win, but they gave their fans a scare by conceding twice to the League Two side in the final ten minutes of regulation time.
Match Results: Birmingham City
Leeds United Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Chelsea, away - Leeds United). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Leeds United vs Chelsea):
- ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Leeds are in fine form, having suffered just two defeats in their last ten matches. Their average scoring rate during this stretch is 1.5 goals per game, with an equal number of goals conceded. The Peacocks maintain a comfortable six-point buffer from the relegation zone, showing no intention of returning to the Championship.
In the third round of the FA Cup, Daniel Farke's side faced a challenging opponent in Derby County, and Leeds had to dig deep. After trailing at halftime, the Peacocks struck back with three unanswered goals in the second half, securing their spot in the next round.
Match Results: Leeds United
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 11, draws - 3.
- Birmingham City won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games against Leeds United.
- Birmingham City won with a +1.5 handicap in last 20 home games.
- Birmingham City won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.39, the guests - 1.32;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.71;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 7.
- Birmingham City have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 home games against Leeds United.
Prediction on corners
Birmingham City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0; at home field - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 6.2.
Leeds United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 4.5.
- Birmingham City have taken over 3.5 corners in last 6 games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.58 (1.29 - for home team and 1.29 - for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 2.21 (1.14 - for home team and 1.07 - for away team).
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 9 of last 10 Birmingham City games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
- Birmingham City have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 home games.
- Leeds United have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 away games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering current trends and team form, it's worth looking at the bet - both teams to score (yes). Birmingham City often engage in goal exchanges in their home matches, while Leeds do the same on the road. As for the outcome, we're not convinced about the favorite's victory, as the Peacocks have lost 1-0 to the Blues in 3 of their last 4 head-to-head encounters at St. Andrew's. We lean towards a high-scoring draw (1-1).
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Betting Tips: Birmingham City - Leeds United
in 6 of last 7 away games.
in last 11 home games.in last 8 games.in 10 of last 11 away games.in last 14 home games against Leeds United.in 13 of last 14 home games.in 22 of last 24 games.in 15 of last 16 away games.in 20 of last 21 Birmingham City games.in 12 of last 13 Birmingham City home games.in 11 of last 12 Leeds United away games.in 7 of last 8 Leeds United games.
in last 15 Simon Hooper games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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