Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 Will Ajax's unbeaten streak in the Eredivisie continue? In the 23rd round, the "Sons of the Gods" host Fortuna Sittard in Amsterdam. Currently sitting in 4th place, Ajax aim to solidify their position for European competition contention. The team showcases strong home form with a potent attack, though they occasionally struggle defensively. Meanwhile, Fortuna are in 11th place, fighting to maintain their mid-table standing. Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on which team's objectives are more likely to be realized.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Fortuna Sittard):
- ball possession percentage: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Ajax Amsterdam and Fortuna Sittard:
- played 28 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 20, for the away team - 4, draws - 4;
- number of goals (home/away) - 81 against 21;
- average total goals in the match - 3.64.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - AZ Alkmaar, away team - Ajax Amsterdam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Ajax Amsterdam vs AZ Alkmaar):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Ajax continue to surprise with their performances, primarily due to the inconsistency in their results. The "Sons of the Gods" have been unbeaten since late December, yet they recently ceded the third spot to NEC Nijmegen. However, they could reclaim it in the upcoming round if their rival slips up. Their attacking line remains a strong suit, averaging 1.91 goals per match. However, their defense occasionally falters, conceding an average of 1.32 goals and failing to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their last 10 games. In their most recent head-to-head against Fortuna, they emerged victorious with a 3-1 win.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Fortuna Sittard Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Fortuna Sittard, away - Sparta). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta):
- ball possession: 35% vs 65%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 13;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Fortuna have shown resilience in recent matches, though their results still leave much to be desired. Over their last five outings, the Sittard side have recorded two losses and one win, yet they never surrendered without a fight, scoring at least two goals in four of those games. The team's fighting spirit is evident in their average scoring rate of 1.5 goals per match, but defensive issues cannot be ignored, with 1.73 goals conceded per game over 22 Eredivisie rounds. Fortuna aim to maintain their mid-table position and are ready to challenge any opponent, capitalizing on counterattacks to keep their hopes alive for a spot in European competitions, currently just five points away.
Match Results: Fortuna Sittard
Latest news
Ajax Amsterdam
🎙 The Dutch transfer market was recently shaken by the news of Raheem Sterling joining Feyenoord as a free agent. According to The Telegraph, Ajax were also in the race for Raheem Sterling. However, the Rotterdam side showed more persistence and have officially unveiled Sterling as their latest acquisition.
❌ Ajax's medical staff are doing an excellent job this season. Currently, aside from Steven Berghuis, the club have no injuries to report.
Fortuna Sittard
🎙 Nick Marsman is set to continue his career at Fortuna, the club announced through their official channels. The 35-year-old goalkeeper has signed a contract until the end of the season, with an option to extend for another year. Recently, Marsman has been maintaining his fitness with Willem II.
❌ The injury situation at Fortuna is no worse than that of Ajax. Among potentially key players, only Daley Sinkgraven is currently out. However, he injured his knee early last year shortly after his move from Las Palmas.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 20, away team wins - 4, draws - 4.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 10 vs 7;
- win percentage: 45% vs 32%;
- losses: 3 vs 10;
- draws: 9 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Ajax Amsterdam have won in 12 of last 14 games against Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam have won in 9 of last 10 home games against Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.89, the guests - 0.75;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.64;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
- average total in the tournament: 3.23 vs 3.23;
- average total goals scored: 1.91 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.05 vs 0.73;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.86 vs 0.77;
- Ajax Amsterdam: average total at home in the tournament - 1.73;
- Fortuna Sittard: average total away in the tournament - 1.27;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.2 (home - 1.67) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored over 1.5 goals in 13 of last 14 games against Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored over 1.5 goals in last 10 home games against Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.14; at home field - 5.82;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 5.67.
Fortuna Sittard: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5, away - 3.91;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 5.25.
- Ajax Amsterdam have taken over 6.5 corners in last 5 home games against Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam at home - 5 (45%);
- number of BTTS matches for Fortuna Sittard away - 8 (73%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Fortuna Sittard away - 3 (75%).
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Eredivisie).
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in last 7 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/198, 12.6%);
- Ajax Amsterdam at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (5/11, 45.5%);
- Fortuna Sittard away most often play: 1:0 , 2:1 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.64% (odds 8)
1:0 - 9.8% (odds 8.5)
1:1 - 9.04% (odds 9.5)
- Ajax Amsterdam won 2:0 in 3 of last 4 home games (Eredivisie).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the teams' styles and their average scoring rates, an open match with chances at both ends is expected. Ajax are aiming to solidify their position in the league for a direct Champions League spot. The team is traditionally strong at home, but defensive issues might give Fortuna a chance to score at least once, if not more. Sittard have managed to find the net even in losing efforts. Given these circumstances, there's a strong possibility that a bet on both teams to score (yes) will pay off.
Betting Tips: Ajax Amsterdam - Fortuna Sittard
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in 9 of last 10 home games against Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie).in 9 of last 10 home games against Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie).
in 7 of last 8 away games (Eredivisie).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
