Mainz vs Heidenheim Prediction
🔊 Tuesday night in Germany features a clash of the underdogs as bottom-placed Mainz host second-to-last Heidenheim. Both teams kicked off the new year with identical results, allowing Heidenheim to narrow the gap to safety to just two points, while Mainz moved within five points of 15th place. The "05ers" have yet to secure a home victory in this Bundesliga season. Will they manage to change that in the 17th round?
Head-to-Head
📊 Mainz have only managed to win one out of their four Bundesliga encounters with Heidenheim, suffering two defeats and drawing once. Last season, the 05ers fell 0-2 at home but avenged that loss in the second leg with an identical scoreline at the Voith-Arena.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Mainz Team Overview
🔴 Urs Fischer, formerly with Berlin's Union, settled for a draw in his first match after the winter break at the "An der Alten Försterei" stadium (2-2). Mainz started confidently, taking a two-goal lead with Nadim Amiri scoring first, followed by Benedikt Hollerbach doubling the advantage. Notably, this was Hollerbach's first Bundesliga goal for the "05ers" and it came against his former team. However, with 13 minutes left, Union began their comeback, first reducing the deficit and then leveling the score in the 86th minute.
⚪ This draw extended Mainz's unbeaten run to three matches-all of which ended in draws. Besides their league games, since the Swiss specialist's appointment, the team has also played two matches in the Conference League, one ending in a draw and the other in a victory. It seems that under Urs Fischer's guidance, Mainz have become a more organized opponent and are gradually improving their attacking play.
🔗 A win in the upcoming match would allow the team to swap places with Heidenheim, aided by a significantly better goal difference: -8 for Mainz compared to -21 for their opponents. Additionally, the "05ers" could level on points with 16th-placed St. Pauli should the "Pirates" lose in Wolfsburg, although they have a game in hand due to their postponed 16th-round match against Leipzig.
Match Results: Mainz
Heidenheim Team Overview
🔴 The "Red-Blue-Whites" also failed to hold onto their lead in the previous round, despite twice going ahead. The newly promoted side, Cologne, visited the Voith-Arena, and the match ended in a 2-2 draw. Marvin Pieringer opened the scoring with a spectacular overhead kick, but the "Billy Goats" equalized just three minutes later. By the middle of the first half, Julian Niehues put the hosts ahead again, but early in the second half, the visitors leveled the score once more.
🔵 Special mention goes to Heidenheim goalkeeper Diant Ramaj, who made six saves, effectively securing a point for Frank Schmidt's team. After 16 rounds, the club has 12 points and trails Augsburg, who are in the safe 15th spot, by two points. A win could lift Heidenheim out of the relegation zone, whereas a loss would drop them back to last place.
⚪ Currently, the "Red-Blue-Whites" have conceded more goals than any other team in the league-36 in total-and have the worst goal difference (-21). Their away record is equally dismal: one win and six losses in seven matches.
Match Results: Heidenheim
Latest news
Mainz
🎙 Nadim Amiri after the match against Union: "We have mixed feelings because for a long time we played very well - both with and without the ball. We were active and created chances, which is what sets us apart. However, we can't afford to squander a two-goal lead - we lacked precision and composure. Nevertheless, we want to build on this progress, even if it's just small steps in the right direction for now. We need to thoroughly analyze the last 15 minutes. It was a good start, and the upcoming matches will be like finals for us. I'm one hundred percent confident that we'll achieve success this year."
❌ Maxim Dahl and Philipp Mwene continue their recovery from injuries. Robin Zentner, Anthony Caci, Maxim Leitsch, Silas, and Andreas Hanche-Olsen might be included in the squad for the match.
Heidenheim
🎙 Frank Schmidt on the upcoming match: "With every game, securing three points becomes increasingly crucial. This match will test not only our skills but also our mental resilience. We need to show fighting spirit and defend with full commitment. We've already faced disappointment after the draw with Köln and are now solely focused on moving forward."
❌ Budu Zivzivadze and Leart Paqarada are still recovering from injuries. Adam Colle missed the previous match due to illness, and his availability for the upcoming game remains uncertain.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
On average, Mainz players receive 2.3 yellow cards per match, while Heidenheim players average 1.6. We're considering Mainz's individual total of over 1.5 yellow cards-a bet that has come through in all previous head-to-head encounters between these teams.
⚽ Goal Prediction
After 16 rounds, both Mainz and Heidenheim have netted 15 goals each-only St. Pauli have scored fewer with 13. Meanwhile, Mainz have conceded in 26 of their last 27 Bundesliga matches, and Heidenheim have allowed goals in 17 consecutive games. Against this backdrop, it makes sense to consider the option of both teams to score (yes).
🚩 Corner Prediction
The average number of corners for both teams is nearly identical: Mainz at 4.8 and Heidenheim at 4.9. We opt for over 8.5 total corners-a bet that has been successful in all four head-to-head matches between these teams, as well as in 10 of the last 11 matches involving Frank Schmidt's squad.
Editorial Prediction
Mainz have secured just one win in the current league campaign, notably achieved away from home, meaning the "Nullfünfer" are yet to claim victory on their own turf this season. In clashes between Mainz and Heidenheim, no more than two goals have ever been scored, and in three out of four Bundesliga encounters, both teams have kept clean sheets.
Based on this, we opt for under 3 goals - a bet that has come through in seven of Mainz's eight home matches in the league. We believe Urs Fischer's side will extend their unbeaten run but fail to keep a clean sheet, leading to another draw at the MEWA Arena - a predicted scoreline of 1-1.
Betting Tips: Mainz - Heidenheim
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
