Leipzig vs Freiburg Prediction
🔊 After RB Leipzig's trip to St. Pauli on Saturday was postponed due to heavy snowfall in Hamburg, Ole Werner's side will kick off their 2026 campaign at home against Freiburg. The "Red Bulls" have slipped to second place in the standings after suffering two consecutive defeats. Meanwhile, Julian Schuster's team arrives at the "Red Bull Arena" on the back of two straight victories and are unbeaten in their last four matches across all competitions. A potential win for the "Breisgau Brazilians" would narrow the gap to Leipzig to just three points. However, can Freiburg secure maximum points, considering they haven't beaten Leipzig in their last 13 encounters?
Head-to-Head
📊 Freiburg have been unable to defeat Leipzig in their last 13 encounters across all competitions. The last time the "Brazilians of Breisgau" triumphed over the "Red Bulls" was in the 2019/20 season. Last season, Leipzig secured a 3-1 victory at home, while the away fixture ended in a goalless draw. One of the pivotal clashes in the clubs' history was the 2021/22 DFB-Pokal final, where Leipzig emerged victorious in a penalty shootout to claim the first trophy in their history.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Leipzig Team Overview
🐂 Ole Werner's side wrapped up the 2025 calendar year with back-to-back defeats, yet they remain in the Bundesliga's top four as the league resumes. After Matchday 15, Leipzig slipped to fourth place following a setback against one of their direct rivals, Bayer Leverkusen (1-3). Despite Xaver Schlager's goal, the Red Bulls conceded three times to Leverkusen. This defeat snapped Leipzig's unbeaten home run, which had featured six league victories since the start of the season. Additionally, it marked the first time under Ole Werner that Leipzig suffered consecutive losses, having previously fallen to Union Berlin by the same scoreline in Matchday 15.
🔴 Consequently, Bayer drew level on points with Leipzig and edged them out in the standings due to a superior goal difference. The Matchday 16 fixture away at St. Pauli was postponed to January 27 due to adverse weather conditions. However, Leipzig reclaimed a spot in the Bundesliga's top three after Bayer fell to Stuttgart (1-4), worsening their goal difference.
⚪ Despite being one of the league's most consistent home sides, a potential slip-up could see Leipzig drop out of the Champions League spots: fifth-place Stuttgart also have 29 points, while sixth-place Hoffenheim sit on 27. During the winter break, the team held a training camp in Portugal, opting to forgo friendly matches and focus solely on their training regimen.
Match Results: Leipzig
Freiburg Team Overview
⚪ A 2-1 victory over Hamburg last weekend extended the "Brazilians of Breisgau's" unbeaten streak to three matches in the Bundesliga and four overall, including their Europa League success against Salzburg (1-0). After a goalless first half, Hamburg took the lead early in the second half from a corner. However, they were soon reduced to ten men when Daniel Elfadli committed a last-man foul on Lucas Höler in the penalty area. Vincenzo Grifo converted the penalty, and substitute Igor Matanović secured Julian Schuster's team the win by finishing off Jan-Niklas Beste's cross.
🔴 Freiburg sit in eighth place, just four points shy of the European competition spots. However, away games have been challenging for them, with only two victories in the current campaign, one of which came in their recent trip to Lower Saxony against Wolfsburg (4-3).
⚫ Nevertheless, Freiburg have never won at the "Red Bull Arena" in 10 attempts (3 draws, 7 losses), making the prospect of ending this poor run quite doubtful. Even though Leipzig lost their last home match and have yet to play an official game in 2026, expecting an upset from the visitors seems a tall order.
Match Results: Freiburg
Latest news
Leipzig
🎙 Ole Werner on the team's preparation: "This is an unconventional preparation-there simply isn't time for it. We've focused on playing systems, counter-pressing, and compactness, based on the first half of the season and our last match. We'd like to have a friendly, but we need to manage our workload wisely. January and February will bring a packed schedule with many crucial matches."
❌ Despite the Ivory Coast national team exiting the Africa Cup of Nations on Saturday, Jan Diomande has already returned to the club and should be ready to play against Freiburg. The participation of Johan Bakayoko, Antonio Nusa, Ezequiel Banzuzi, and Assan Ouedraogo remains uncertain. Due to a recent illness, Lukas Klostermann's condition is also unclear. Figgo Gebel and Benjamin Henrichs will definitely miss the match.
Freiburg
🎙 Julian Schuster after the victory over Hamburg: "I'm very pleased with the first thirty minutes. We controlled the game and created chances; we should have capitalized on that period. Then we lost control, and Hamburg got back into the match. It was frustrating to concede so quickly after the break, but the team showed character. It's positive that we quickly regained the initiative. Hamburg made things difficult for us, but we waited for our moment. It's crucial that we started the year with three points."
❌ The inclusion of Max Rosenfelder in the squad remains uncertain, as does the participation of Eren Dinkci. Daniel-Kofi Kyereh is still unavailable.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Robert Hartmann will officiate the match at the Red Bull Arena. Over his last 10 games, he has averaged 4.1 yellow cards per game. Leipzig's average individual total of warnings after 15 rounds stands at 1.6, while Freiburg's is similar after 16 matches. In this scenario, a reasonable choice would be Leipzig's individual total under 2.5 yellow cards-this outcome has occurred in seven of the last eight matches for the Red Bulls.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Leipzig have scored in every home match this season, while Freiburg have found the net in seven consecutive rounds. Considering the teams' current form and head-to-head history, an insightful prediction would be both teams to score (yes). This outcome has been seen in six of Freiburg's last seven matches and in seven of the last eight head-to-head encounters at the Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Leipzig averages 5.9 corners per game after 15 rounds-the best in the league. Freiburg averages 4.6. However, based on recent matches for the Red Bulls and their history against Freiburg, we opt for Leipzig's individual total under 6.5 corners. This outcome has occurred in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head meetings and in 10 of Leipzig's last 11 matches this season.
Editor's Prediction
Leipzig, currently sitting in second place, have stumbled with two consecutive setbacks, seemingly ending their formal chase of Bayern-along with other contenders. A third straight defeat could see them drop out of the top four, and even a draw might not secure their Champions League spot by the end of the round.
Freiburg have found good form, especially strong at home, but remain vulnerable on the road. We anticipate a high-scoring match and opt for over 2.5 goals-an outcome that has occurred in six of Leipzig's last seven home games and six of Freiburg's last seven Bundesliga matches.
We predict the Red Bulls will bounce back from their previous two losses in front of their fans and kick off the new year with a win, extending their unbeaten streak against Freiburg. Predicted scoreline: 2-1.
Betting Tips: Leipzig - Freiburg
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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