Wolfsburg vs Monchengladbach Prediction 14 January 2025

🔊 Will the hosts manage to force their opponent to play openly? In the 17th round of the Bundesliga, Wolfsburg will face Borussia Mönchengladbach. The "Wolves" continue to advocate for fast-paced football, which provides them with plenty of scoring opportunities. It is predicted that Gladbach will take advantage of the space near the opponent's goal. However, the guests will not be able to boast a solid defense at the "Volkswagen Arena."

📊 HEAD-TO-HEAD

The last game between these teams ended with a 3-1 victory for Gladbach. In 5 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings, the opponents have scored at least 4 goals.

🟢 WOLFSBURG

Wolfsburg has significant personnel issues, but this did not prevent them from defeating Hoffenheim (1-0) in the last round. The attacking potential of the hosts is quite high - they have scored 33 goals in 16 rounds, which allows them to rely on decent performance against Gladbach as well. The main players, primarily Wind, Amura, and Arnold, are in good form. They have established a decent transition from defense to attack, which can turn into a series of very good counterattacks against ball-controlling Mönchengladbach. In terms of xG, Wolfsburg looks incredibly efficient: they have scored 10.5 goals more than expected. However, their attacking style often results in significant difficulties on their own half. And before the new year, this was fully manifested: defeats to Dortmund (1-3) and Freiburg (2-3), as well as a tough victory over Mainz (4-3). The absence of seven key players may again affect their defense - especially in the second half.

⚫ BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH

The current results of Gladbach are hard to call good - only 11th place in the Bundesliga. Yes, against top opponents, the team sometimes plays very well: as was the case with Bayern (0-1), Dortmund (1-1), and Leipzig (0-0). But in the upcoming match, they will have to act from a position of strength - on average for the season, Borussia has 50.1% possession, which will inevitably lead to dominance in this component against Wolfsburg. The guests know how to hold the ball and create chances quite well - 1.58 in terms of xG. Against open teams like Hoffenheim (2-1) and Werder (4-1), Gladbach finds excellent opportunities to score. Kleindienst (9+4) is capable of troubling Wolfsburg's defense. Plea (6+2) also demonstrates good football in attack. Since only Ngoumou can be named as a significant loss, we expect a coherent game that will differ from the recent confrontation with Munich.

⚽️ GOALS PREDICTION

Gladbach does not appear to be a "high-scoring" team - averaging 1.56 goals per match. But we understand that the attack's effectiveness is determined by the opponent's specifics. On their home field, Wolfsburg feels very comfortable, and this could lead to a very open game. On average, matches involving the "Wolves" see 3.75 goals scored. It is particularly noteworthy that the hosts concede 1.75 goals on average. Gladbach will capitalize on this, often demonstrating excellent attacking plays. The guests average 28.87 shots per game, which suggests plenty of chances and goals from both sides. Our editorial team sees a good option in betting on total over 2.5 goals.

🚩 CORNERS PREDICTION

In terms of set pieces, both opponents are solid mid-tier teams. In "Wolves" matches, an average of 9.88 corners are played per game. For Gladbach, the numbers are slightly lower - 9.69. Recently, the hosts have been playing in an open manner, minimizing tight play in the midfield. Even with 32% possession in the last round, Borussia managed to win 4 corners. The situation with set pieces should be more favorable. We suggest looking at total corners over 9.

📝 EDITORIAL PREDICTION

It is incredibly difficult to highlight a clear favorite in this clash. Despite Wolfsburg's home-field advantage, Gladbach has great potential to earn three points. The guests worked smartly and very effectively against Bayern. Transitioning to a more attacking model could very well promise the first goals of this calendar year. The "Wolves" always have something to respond with - not only mid-tier and underdogs have suffered but also giants. After all, the fourth-best attack in the Bundesliga on their home ground is capable of delivering another spectacular performance. Gladbach will not be able to slow down the game. We expect this match to end with a score of 2-2. Our editorial team suggests betting on total over 2.5 goals.