UAE vs Iraq Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 At the Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium in Abu Dhabi, a tense showdown awaits in the Asian qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup: UAE are set to host Iraq in the first leg of the playoff final. For the hosts, it's a chance to leverage home support and take a step towards the finals in North America, while for the visitors, it's an opportunity to challenge the favorite and affirm their status as a formidable opponent ahead of the return leg at home. The match promises to be filled with emotions and intense competition: any mistake could prove costly, and every attack will be a crucial moment on the road to the world championship. The return leg is scheduled for November 18.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between the UAE and Iraq national teams:

    • 11 matches played;
    • home wins - 5, away wins - 4, draws - 2;
    • goals scored - 15 for the home side, 12 for the visitors;
    • average goals in the 1st half - 0.82, in the 2nd half - 1.64;
    • average total goals per match - 2.45.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    38%
    5 Wins
    23%
    3 Draws
    38%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    13
    Total Goals Avg
    2.46
    Both teams scored
    46%
    1.31
    Total average
    1.15
    1.92
    Yellow cards
    1.31
    Last matches
    18.11.25
    WC Qualification, AFC
    Iraq
    Iraq
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    1.48
    1.06
    4
    3
    8
    12
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.48
    1.06
    4
    3
    8
    12
    1
    4
    13.11.25
    WC Qualification, AFC
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    Iraq
    Iraq
    1.36
    0.55
    9
    7
    9
    11
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.36
    0.55
    9
    7
    9
    11
    0
    1
    24.03.22
    WCF
    Iraq
    Iraq
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    -
    -
    -
    -
    17
    12
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    17
    12
    -
    -
    12.10.21
    WCF
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    Iraq
    Iraq
    -
    -
    -
    -
    9
    11
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    9
    11
    -
    -
    12.01.21
    Int. Friendly Games
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    Iraq
    Iraq
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
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    United Arab Emirates (UAE) Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on as part of the World Cup Qualification, Asia (hosts - Qatar, visitors - UAE). The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.

    Here's a breakdown of the game statistics (UAE vs Qatar):

    • Ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • Corners: 2 vs 1;
    • Fouls: 13 vs 7;
    • Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    ⚪ The UAE's journey to the final stage of the 2026 World Cup Asian qualifiers began in the second round, where they competed in Group H. After six rounds, the team topped the group with five wins and one draw. In the third round, under the guidance of Cosmin Olăroiu, the UAE finished third in Group A, missing out on a direct ticket to North America. They advanced to the fourth round, facing off against Qatar and Oman. A victory over Oman (2-1) secured them second place in the group, but a loss to Qatar (1-2) once again denied them a direct berth to the World Cup. Now, two head-to-head matches with Iraq represent the UAE's last chance to qualify for the tournament next summer, making these encounters crucial for the team's future.

    Match Results: United Arab Emirates (UAE)

    Last matches
    15.12.25
    WAFF ARAB Cup
    Morocco
    Morocco
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    0.93
    0.68
    3
    6
    8
    10
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0.93
    0.68
    3
    6
    8
    10
    3
    0
    L
    12.12.25
    WAFF ARAB Cup
    Algeria
    Algeria
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    -
    -
    0
    5
    21
    26
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    6
    7
    -
    -
    0
    5
    21
    26
    1
    2
    W
    09.12.25
    WAFF ARAB Cup
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    Kuwait
    Kuwait
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    14
    16
    0
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    14
    16
    0
    2
    W
    06.12.25
    WAFF ARAB Cup
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    Egypt
    Egypt
    1.05
    1.20
    3
    3
    20
    18
    3
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.05
    1.20
    3
    3
    20
    18
    3
    3
    D
    03.12.25
    WAFF ARAB Cup
    Jordan
    Jordan
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    United Arab Emirates (UAE)
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    16
    10
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    16
    10
    1
    2
    L
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    Iraq Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the World Cup qualification, Asia, where they faced Saudi Arabia away. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Iraq vs Saudi Arabia):

    • possession: 38% vs 62%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 0;
    • fouls: 13 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 4.

    🟢 Iraq also began their journey from the second stage of the Asian qualifiers, confidently leading Group F with 6 wins in 6 matches. On May 9, the team appointed Australian coach Graham Arnold, under whose guidance they secured third place in Group B of the third stage, earning 15 points but missing out on direct World Cup spots to South Korea and Jordan. In the fourth stage, Iraq defeated Indonesia (1-0) but played to a goalless draw with Saudi Arabia. On goal difference, it was the Saudis who claimed the top spot (having beaten Indonesia 3-2), leaving the "Lions of Mesopotamia" in second place and setting them up for a playoff showdown with the UAE.

    Match Results: Iraq

    Last matches
    04.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Spain
    Spain
    Iraq
    Iraq
    1.42
    0.21
    5
    3
    8
    10
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.42
    0.21
    5
    3
    8
    10
    2
    2
    D
    29.05.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Andorra
    Andorra
    Iraq
    Iraq
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    0
    W
    01.04.26
    WC Qualification
    Iraq
    Iraq
    Bolivia
    Bolivia
    0.75
    0.84
    2
    16
    20
    12
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.75
    0.84
    2
    16
    20
    12
    3
    2
    W
    12.12.25
    WAFF ARAB Cup
    Jordan
    Jordan
    Iraq
    Iraq
    1.04
    1.24
    2
    12
    10
    7
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.04
    1.24
    2
    12
    10
    7
    1
    0
    L
    09.12.25
    WAFF ARAB Cup
    Algeria
    Algeria
    Iraq
    Iraq
    1
    1.55
    0.29
    6
    1
    14
    7
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.55
    0.29
    6
    1
    14
    7
    1
    0
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 11;
    • First-half wins for the home team - 2; for the away team - 0; draws - 0;
    • Average first-half total: 0.82;
    • Today's home team averages 0.36 goals, while the visitors average 0.45.

    First-Half Stats: UAE (home) vs Iraq (away)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
    • Wins: 4 (50%) vs 3 (33.33%);
    • Losses: 1 (12.5%) vs 1 (11.11%);
    • Draws: 3 (37.5%) vs 5 (55.56%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.63 vs 0.67;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.25 vs 0.11.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 3 vs 1;
    • Losses: 2 vs 2;
    • Draws: 5 vs 7;
    • Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.3 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 0.2).
    Trends
    • Iraq have drawn the first half in six consecutive matches.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 1.81)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Total encounters - 11;
    • Home team wins - 5, Away team wins - 4, Draws - 2.
    Trends
    • The UAE remain unbeaten at home in 10 of their last 11 matches (World Cup Qualifiers, Asia).
    👉Prediction: United Arab Emirates (UAE) will not lose(odds: 1.26)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Today's home side averages - 1.36 goals, visitors - 1.09;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.45;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 4 times; at the home team's venue - once.

    Statistics: UAE vs Iraq

    • Average tournament total: 2.61 vs 2.11;
    • Average goals scored: 1.89 vs 1.5;
    • First-half average total: 1.06 vs 0.56;
    • Second-half average total: 0.83 vs 0.94;
    • UAE: average home total in the tournament - 2;
    • Iraq: average away total in the tournament - 1.44;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.8) vs 0.9 (away - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches at the home venue.
    • Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in 10 of UAE's last 11 matches.
    • Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in 7 of UAE's last 8 matches (World Cup Qualifiers, Asia).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.54)

    Corners Prediction

    Trends
    • The UAE have delivered under 5.5 corners in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches.
    • The UAE have delivered under 5.5 corners at home in 5 consecutive matches (World Cup Qualifiers, Asia).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (8.5)(odds: 1.47)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.82 (1.91 for home side and 1.91 for visitors);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home venue - 2 (1 for home side and 1 for visitors).

    UAE: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.06; at home - 2.13;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.4; at home - 1.4.

    Iraq: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 1.44, away - 1.67;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.3; away - 1.8.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (3.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Total encounters - 11;
    • Both teams scored overall - 4 times;
    • At the home team's venue - once.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.58)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The UAE will take the field with the support of their home crowd, motivated to seize their last chance to qualify for the World Cup. They understand the importance of building a solid lead before heading away for the return leg. Iraq will look to challenge the favorites and prove that the "Lions of Mesopotamia" can act with composure and effectiveness in crucial moments. A slight edge goes to the UAE, but Iraq are capable of complicating things for the hosts, especially with their quick counter-attacks. Our prediction: over 1.5 total goals, a trend that has held in the last 5 head-to-head matches on UAE soil, as well as in 10 of the last 11 matches for the UAE national team. The Emirates are likely to secure a comfortable win - 2-0.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (1.5) at odds of -179*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 November 2025, 17:25)

    Betting Tips: United Arab Emirates (UAE) - Iraq

    Iraq have drawn in the 1st half
    iraqin last 6 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    -120
    United Arab Emirates (UAE) have not lost
    united-arab-emirates-2in 10 of last 11 home games (WC Qualification, AFC, Asia).
    United Arab Emirates (UAE) will not lose
    MyBookie
    -400
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    united-arab-emirates-2iraqin last 5 United Arab Emirates (UAE) home games against Iraq.
    united-arab-emirates-2in 10 of last 11 United Arab Emirates (UAE) games.
    united-arab-emirates-2in 7 of last 8 United Arab Emirates (UAE) games (WC Qualification, AFC, Asia).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    MyBookie
    -133
    United Arab Emirates (UAE) have conceded
    united-arab-emirates-2in 8 of last 9 games.
    Iraq will score goal
    Everygame
    -125
    View more facts

    UAE - Iraq Table position

    Second Stage Group F
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Iraq
    Iraq
    660017-218
    2.
    Indonesia
    Indonesia
    63128-810
    3.
    Vietnam
    Vietnam
    62046-106
    4.
    Philippines
    Philippines
    60153-141

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 15
    -3
    +4
    11 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    6
    3
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    11
    15
    Conceded
    7
    2.7
    Match goals average
    1.8
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    9
    Both teams scored
    4
    78'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats