Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction 13 September 2026
📢 Excelsior have made a confident start to the season and sit in the upper half of the Eredivisie table after five rounds. Utrecht have started considerably worse and are close to the danger zone, so the visitors already need to improve. The two sides differ noticeably in the quality of their play: the hosts make better use of their chances and look more solid, while Utrecht regularly make defensive errors.
Head-to-Head
📊 Excelsior and Utrecht have met 27 times in official matches. The home side have won 3 of those, Utrecht have won 15, and 9 have ended in a draw. The goal record also favours the visitors - 35 for Excelsior against 51 for Utrecht. On average, 1.37 goals are scored in the first half and 1.81 in the second, giving an average total of 3.19 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics Excelsior - Utrecht
Excelsior Team Overview
Excelsior have picked up ten points from their opening five fixtures and sit fourth, having made a confident start to the new season. Across their last ten matches, the team have won six, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. That balance suggests Excelsior are not only creating chances regularly going forward but are also reasonably solid defensively. Their home matches, meanwhile, have tended not to be particularly high-scoring - in most of their recent games at home, no more than three goals have been scored.
Match Results: Excelsior
Utrecht Team Overview
Utrecht have picked up just two points from their opening five matches of the season and sit 15th, still without a win. Taking the final matches of last season into account, they have won four and lost four across their last ten games, with results remaining fairly inconsistent. Over that run they are averaging 1.9 goals scored per match but conceding more than two, making defence their main weakness. That problem has become even more pronounced at the start of the new season - they are conceding an average of 3.6 goals per game, which means that even reasonably decent attacking play has so far yielded almost nothing in terms of points.
Match Results: Utrecht
Total Goals Prediction
In 9 of Excelsior's last 10 matches, the total goals have gone over 2.5, pointing to a high-scoring pattern. The season statistics back this up: Excelsior average 2.4 goals per match, Utrecht average 1.8, and both sides concede heavily (Utrecht 3.6, Excelsior 1). All of this provides a solid basis for a bet on Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.62*.
Corners Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 matches, Utrecht have seen over 9.5 corners, pointing to frequent attacking play and a high number of set pieces. This trend is recent and consistent enough to consider a bet on Total Corners - Over 9.5 at odds of 1.83*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Utrecht have both scored and conceded in seven consecutive matches, which reflects how regularly the Both Teams to Score bet has landed. This season both sides have been high-scoring with shaky defences: Excelsior are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per match, while Utrecht are averaging 1.8 scored and 3.6 conceded. That makes Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.49* a well-supported selection.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (8.82%), 2-2 (7.75%) and 2-1 (7.6%). We expect a home win with a scoreline of 2-1.
Reliable Bet
Excelsior have conceded at home in 11 of their last 12 matches, which is backed up by a recent trend. Utrecht also average 2 goals per away match this season and 1.9 over their last 10 games. These figures make Utrecht Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.24* a reliable selection.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Excelsior are considered favourites for this match thanks to a better start to the season and home advantage. However, Utrecht need to improve their position, so the visitors are unlikely to sit back and defend for the entire game. At least three goals were scored in nine of Excelsior's last ten league matches, and the high-scoring nature of both teams' games at the start of the season only reinforces that trend. Our bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Excelsior - Utrecht
in 12 of last 13 games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).
in 9 of last 10 games (Eredivisie).in last 6 games (Eredivisie).in last 5 Excelsior games (Eredivisie).
in 23 of last 24 Sander van der Eijk games (in the Eredivisie).in 18 of last 19 Sander van der Eijk games.in 6 of last 7 games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).in 18 of last 19 home games (Eredivisie).
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