Bahia Ba vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 At the Fonte Nova Arena in Salvador, local club Bahia continue their pursuit of the leaders in the Brazilian Championship. In the 13th round, they host Atletico Mineiro, who trail by just a single point. The outcome of this match could shake up the standings at the top, but it won't be easy for the visitors-Bahia have won five consecutive home games. However, Atletico are in excellent form too, having gone unbeaten in eight matches. Yet, the team from Belo Horizonte hasn't played in a month, while Bahia have already returned to competitive action. We'll soon find out which streak comes to an end.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 15 September 2024 and ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Bahia were the home side):

    • possession: 55% vs 45%;
    • corners: 6 vs 1;
    • fouls: 16 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Bahia and Atlético Mineiro:

    • 24 matches played;
    • home wins - 6, away wins - 8, draws - 10;
    • goals scored - 27 for Bahia, 28 for Atlético Mineiro;
    • average total goals in the first half - 0.63, in the second half - 1.67;
    • average total goals per match - 2.29.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    27%
    7 Wins
    38%
    10 Draws
    35%
    9 Wins
    Total games
    26
    Total Goals Avg
    2.35
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.12
    Total average
    1.23
    2.23
    Yellow cards
    2.23
    Last matches
    05.11.25
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1
    1.23
    0.47
    13
    3
    6
    8
    2
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1.23
    0.47
    13
    3
    6
    8
    2
    2
    13.07.25
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    0.7
    0.33
    4
    7
    12
    11
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0.7
    0.33
    4
    7
    12
    11
    2
    2
    15.09.24
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    6
    1
    16
    15
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    16
    15
    1
    3
    02.06.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Bahia
    Bahia
    -
    -
    5
    4
    13
    9
    6
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    13
    9
    6
    4
    07.12.23
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    3
    5
    16
    12
    2
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    5
    16
    12
    2
    2
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    Bahia Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on as part of the Copa do Nordeste, with Bahia hosting Fortaleza. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Fortaleza):

    • possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    After 12 rounds, Bahia sit in 5th place with 21 points, boasting 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. The team has scored 14 goals while conceding 11. The Tricolor remain unbeaten at home in the league, with 4 victories and 2 draws. The Salvador club has returned to competitive action slightly ahead of their upcoming visitors and has already played a home match in the quarter-finals of the Copa do Nordeste, where they defeated Fortaleza 2-1. In the semi-finals, Bahia will face Ceará. The team's current home winning streak extends to five consecutive matches across all competitions, underscoring the challenge Atlético Mineiro will face at the Fonte Nova Stadium. A victory for Bahia could see them level on points with league leaders Flamengo, who have played one game less.

    Match Results: Bahia

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1
    2.16
    1.04
    10
    4
    14
    16
    4
    5
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2.16
    1.04
    10
    4
    14
    16
    4
    5
    W
    25.05.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1.28
    1.21
    3
    6
    11
    17
    0
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1.28
    1.21
    3
    6
    11
    17
    0
    3
    L
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.75
    0.18
    7
    3
    18
    14
    4
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.75
    0.18
    7
    3
    18
    14
    4
    5
    D
    14.05.26
    Copa Brasil
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    Bahia
    Bahia
    -
    -
    7
    8
    12
    12
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    8
    12
    12
    2
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    1.16
    1.77
    6
    8
    14
    16
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.16
    1.77
    6
    8
    14
    16
    3
    4
    L
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    Atletico Mineiro Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on during the 12th round of the Brazilian Championship, featuring Atlético Mineiro as the home team and Internacional as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory for Atlético Mineiro.

    Here's the match statistics (Atlético Mineiro vs Internacional):

    • possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 18 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    Atlético Mineiro currently sit in seventh place. In 12 matches, "the Roosters" have secured 5 wins, drawn 5 times, and suffered 2 defeats. They have scored 13 goals in the league while conceding 10. In their six away matches this season, Atlético have won twice, lost twice, and drawn twice. However, they have a negative goal difference on the road, standing at minus one, which raises questions about the best betting strategy for the game. It's worth noting that before the break, the club enjoyed a brilliant run of 8 matches across all competitions, claiming 5 victories and drawing 3 times. Unlike Bahia, this will be Atlético's first match since the break, making it challenging to predict how "the Roosters" will perform away against "the Tricolors." However, a victory could see them leapfrog Bahia and even contend for fourth place.

    Match Results: Atletico Mineiro

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    W
    27.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Puerto Cabello
    Puerto Cabello
    -
    -
    7
    1
    4
    12
    2
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    4
    12
    2
    4
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    0.71
    1.47
    3
    0
    15
    14
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.71
    1.47
    3
    0
    15
    14
    1
    2
    L
    21.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Cienciano
    Cienciano
    -
    -
    8
    1
    8
    10
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    8
    10
    4
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    2.2
    1.42
    5
    6
    6
    14
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.2
    1.42
    5
    6
    6
    14
    0
    1
    W
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 24;
    • Home wins - 6, Away wins - 8, Draws - 10.

    Statistics: Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro

    • Matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
    • Wins: 6 vs 5;
    • Win percentage: 50% vs 42%;
    • Losses: 3 vs 2;
    • Draws: 3 vs 5.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 6 vs 6;
    • Losses: 4 vs 1;
    • Draws: 0 vs 3.
    👉Prediction: Bahia Handicap (0) (odds: 1.52)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Today's home team average goals - 1.13, away team - 1.17;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.29;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 12 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.

    Statistics: Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro

    • Average total in the tournament: 2.08 vs 1.92;
    • Average goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.08;
    • Average first-half total: 0.58 vs 0.17;
    • Average second-half total: 0.58 vs 0.92;
    • Bahia's home average total in the tournament - 1.33;
    • Atletico Mineiro's away average total in the tournament - 0.83;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2.6) vs 1.7 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Total over 1.5 goals has hit in Bahia's last 6 matches consecutively.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1.5) (odds: 1.4)

    Corners Prediction

    Bahia: Statistics

    • Season average total in the tournament - 4.75; at home - 4.17;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; at home - 3.8.

    Atletico Mineiro: Statistics

    • Season average total in the tournament - 7.58, away - 6.33;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.5; away - 4.5.
    Trends
    • Bahia have delivered fewer than 6.5 corners at home in their last 7 matches.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Bahia Total Under (6.5) (odds: 1.41)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.42 (2.21 for home and away each);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home team's ground - 4.17 (1.75 for home, 2.42 for away).

    Bahia: Statistics

    • Season average total in the tournament - 2.25; at home - 2.33;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; at home - 1.8.

    Atletico Mineiro: Statistics

    • Season average total in the tournament - 2.5, away - 2.5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4.5) (odds: 1.7)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 24;
    • Both teams scored overall - 12 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 9 times.

    Statistics: Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
    • Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 4;
    • BTTS for Bahia at home - 4 (67%);
    • BTTS for Atletico Mineiro away - 2 (33%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
    • BTTS for Bahia at home - 4 (80%);
    • BTTS for Atletico Mineiro away - 1 (25%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.81)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Bahia aim to solidify their position at the top of the table and distance themselves from Atletico Mineiro, leveraging their attacking prowess, home advantage, and a successful winning streak at Fonte Nova. However, the visitors are set to put up a fight; their impressive run of form is largely due to their ability to play on the counter, which could pose a challenge for the hosts in breaking through their defense. It's tough to pick a winner in this upcoming clash, even though Bahia are favorites, having convincingly defeated Atletico 3-0 at home last year. Therefore, we delved into their head-to-head history and found that the encounters between these clubs are often high-scoring. Thus, we suggest a bet on over 1.5 goals, a wager that has come through in 9 of the last 10 meetings between these teams.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (1.5) at odds of -250*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 July 2025, 15:36)

    Betting Tips: Bahia - Atletico Mineiro

    Bahia have won
    ec-bahia-bain 8 of last 9 home games.
    Bahia Win
    Bovada
    +115
    Bahia have not lost
    ec-bahia-bain 14 of last 15 home games.
    ec-bahia-bain last 8 home games (Serie A).
    Bahia will not lose
    Everygame
    -385
    Atletico Mineiro have not lost
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 13 of last 14 games.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 8 games (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 6 of last 7 away games.
    Atletico Mineiro will not lose
    Everygame
    -145
    Bahia have scored
    ec-bahia-bain last 20 home games.
    ec-bahia-bain last 9 home games (Serie A).
    Bahia will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Bahia Ba - Atl. Mineiro Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2025
    gWDLGDPForm
    6.
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    381712958-3863
    7.
    Bahia
    Bahia
    381791250-4660
    8.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    381491543-4751
    10.
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    381461845-5748
    11.
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    3812121443-4448
    12.
    Santos
    Santos
    3812111545-5047

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 19
    -5
    +5
    14 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    6
    3
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    14
    19
    Conceded
    9
    3.3
    Match goals average
    2.3
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    9
    Both teams scored
    5
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    66'
    View all stats