Sao Paulo vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 June 2025
🔊 Can Vasco da Gama secure their first away win in the league? Despite a significant injury list, São Paulo will aim to defeat their opponents at their home ground, Morumbi, and move closer to the top of the standings. The visitors from Rio de Janeiro sit even lower in the table, and a victory could see them leapfrog the hosts. So who is the favorite in this clash, and what is the most reasonable prediction?
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 17 October 2024 and ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (São Paulo were the home side):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 8 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between São Paulo and Vasco da Gama:
- 36 matches played;
- home victories - 19, away wins - 7, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 61 against 32;
- average goals in the first half - 1.19, in the second half - 1.39;
- average total goals per match - 2.58.
Head-to-head statistics Sao Paulo - Vasco Da Gama
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Brazilian Championship, with Bahia hosting São Paulo. The match ended with a 2-1 victory for Bahia.
Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs São Paulo):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
⚪ The "Tricolor" sit in 13th place in the league standings with 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses (12 points). During this period, the team has scored 9 goals (an average of 0.8 per game) and conceded 11 (an average of 1 goal per match). Both of São Paulo's victories have come at their home stadium, and even with a third win, they will remain in 13th place.
🏆 Additionally, the "Tricolor" have found success in the Copa Libertadores: they topped Group D after the group stage and will now face Colombia's Atlético Nacional in the round of 16. Moreover, São Paulo continue their impressive run in the Copa do Brasil, where they will meet Serie B side Atlético Paranaense in the round of 16.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Brazilian Championship (home team - Vasco da Gama, away team - Bragantino). The match ended with a scoreline of 0-2.
Here are the match statistics (Vasco da Gama vs Bragantino):
- possession percentage: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
⚫ Vasco da Gama find themselves in 15th place after 11 rounds, with 10 points on the board. The team has secured 3 wins, 1 draw, and suffered 7 losses. They've scored 11 goals (averaging 1 per match) while conceding 15 (1.4 per game). One of the main challenges for the "Giants from Colina" remains their away games: in the league, they've lost all 5 of their away fixtures. Considering all competitions, their winless streak on the road stretches to 10 matches. Therefore, regardless of São Paulo's lineup issues, this clash promises to be extremely tough for the visitors.
🏆 Vasco continue their campaign in the Copa Sudamericana, having finished second in Group G to advance to the Round of 16, where they'll face Ecuador's Independiente del Valle. In the Copa do Brasil, the club has also progressed to the next round after defeating Operário in the Round of 16 and will now take on Centro Sportivo Alagoano.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Latest news
Sao Paulo
❌ Due to various injuries, Luis Gustavo, Lucas Moura, Oscar, Jonathan Calleri, Marcos Antonio, Igor Vinicius, Ruan Tressoldi Netto, and Aldemir Ferreira are ruled out of the upcoming match. Additionally, midfielder Rodriguinho is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Vasco da Gama
❌ Due to varying degrees of knee injuries, attacking players Dimitri Payet, David Correa da Fonseca, and Guilherme Estrella will miss the match.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- First-half wins for the home team - 12; for the away team - 0; draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.19;
- Today's home side averages 0.89 goals, while the visitors average 0.31.
First-half Statistics: São Paulo (home) vs Vasco da Gama (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 5;
- Wins: 1 (16.67%) vs 1 (20%);
- Losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 2 (40%);
- Draws: 4 (66.67%) vs 2 (40%);
- Average goals scored: 0.67 vs 1.2;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.8.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 5;
- Losses: 1 vs 1;
- Draws: 7 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.4).
- São Paulo have scored in the first half at home in their last 9 head-to-head meetings against this team.
- São Paulo have scored in the first half at home in their last 7 head-to-head Serie A matches against this team.
- São Paulo have scored in the first half in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters with this team.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- Home wins - 19, Away wins - 7, Draws - 10.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Wins: 2 vs 3;
- Win percentage: 18% vs 27%;
- Losses: 3 vs 7;
- Draws: 6 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Losses: 3 vs 6;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- São Paulo have won at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings against Vasco da Gama.
- Vasco da Gama have lost away in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Vasco da Gama have lost away in 7 of their last 8 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The home side today averages - 1.69 goals, the visitors - 0.89;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.58;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 16 times; at the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama
- Average total in the tournament: 1.82 vs 2.36;
- Average goals scored: 0.82 vs 1;
- Average total in the first half: 0.45 vs 0.45;
- Average total in the second half: 0.36 vs 0.55;
- São Paulo: average total at home in the tournament - 0.83;
- Vasco da Gama: average total away in the tournament - 0.6;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.17) vs 1.1 (away - 0.8).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches between these teams.
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 8 of the last 9 home matches for São Paulo.
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in São Paulo's last 6 consecutive matches.
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in Vasco da Gama's last 5 consecutive matches.
Corners Prediction
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.27; at home - 5.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; at home - 5.83.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.82, away - 3.8;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4; away - 3.4.
- Vasco da Gama have delivered more than 3.5 corners away in the last 5 head-to-head matches against São Paulo.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.16 (1.08 for the home team and 1.08 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 2.11 (1 for the home team and 1.11 for the visitors).
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.82; at home - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; at home - 2.67.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.09, away - 2.4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; away - 2.6.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- Both teams have scored overall - 16 times;
- At the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama
- Total matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): São Paulo - 6, Vasco da Gama - 5;
- BTTS for São Paulo at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS for Vasco da Gama away - 3 (60%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: São Paulo - 6, Vasco da Gama - 5;
- BTTS for São Paulo at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS for Vasco da Gama away - 4 (80%).
Editorial Prediction
Historically, São Paulo have been dominant against their upcoming opponents at home - in their last 10 home matches against Vasco da Gama, they have secured 8 wins and drawn twice. Despite a number of injuries plaguing the hosts, Vasco's poor away record cannot be overlooked: they have lost all five of their away games in the current league campaign. Overall, São Paulo have only suffered one defeat in their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
Additionally, it's worth noting that in 8 of the last 10 head-to-head encounters at the "Tricolor" stadium, the total goals exceeded 1.5. We suggest relying on statistics and historical trends: in their current form, the teams appear evenly matched, making it likely they will both find the back of the net. A probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a recommended bet on total goals over 1.5 in the match.
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Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Vasco da Gama
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