Сincinnati vs Inter Miami Prediction 13 May 2026
🔊 The key storyline heading into this clash is whether Inter Miami can contain Cincinnati’s attacking threat, which is especially potent on home turf. The hosts rarely leave the pitch without finding the net and consistently apply pressure in the final third. Meanwhile, the visitors have posted solid away results but can be vulnerable at the back, even though defeats are a rarity for them. Both sides come in with plenty to play for: Cincinnati are looking to close the gap on the league leaders, while Inter Miami remain among the frontrunners and are pushing to take over at the top of their conference.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 23 November 2025 and ended in a 4-0 victory. Here’s a comparative look at the key stats from that match (Cincinnati were the home team):
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 4 vs 2;
- Fouls committed: 8 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head encounters between Cincinnati and Inter Miami:
- 14 matches played;
- The hosts have claimed 5 wins, the visitors 6, with 3 draws;
- Total goals scored: 25 for Cincinnati, 26 for Inter Miami;
- Average first-half goals: 1.79; second-half average: 1.86;
- Average total goals per match: 3.64.
Head-to-head statistics Сincinnati - Inter Miami

Cincinnati Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in MLS action, with Charlotte playing host to Cincinnati. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the key match statistics (Cincinnati vs Charlotte):
- Possession: 53% vs 47%;
- Corners: 4 vs 7;
- Fouls: 15 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Cincinnati have consistently shown attacking flair at home, scoring more than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven matches on their own turf-a trend backed up by their impressive average goal tally. Brazilian midfielder Evander remains the heartbeat of the team, driving his teammates forward and heavily influencing their play. Much depends on his performance in the middle of the park. However, defensive frailties persist, with the side conceding an average of three goals per game recently. Their form over the past month has been solid: three draws and two wins in their last five outings suggest the team are moving in the right direction. With strong motivation to reclaim a spot among the league leaders, Cincinnati approach each match with real ambition.
Match Results: Cincinnati

Inter Miami Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in MLS action, with Toronto hosting Inter Miami. The game ended 4-2.
Here’s a look at the key stats from that clash (Inter Miami vs Toronto):
- Possession: 60% vs 40%;
- Corners: 4 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 12 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 5.
Inter Miami head into this fixture on the back of a strong run, having picked up three wins, one draw, and just a single defeat in their last five outings. Over a ten-match stretch, they have shown impressive consistency-only one loss, alongside four victories and five draws. Lionel Messi continues to deliver at a high level, regularly contributing in the final third with nine goals and three assists so far this season. The Argentine star remains as motivated as ever on the pitch. On average, Inter Miami score more than two goals per game and have consistently earned points on the road, underscored by a trend of six wins in their last seven away matches. However, their defensive record leaves room for improvement-they concede more than 1.5 goals per match, which could pose problems against an attacking Cincinnati side. With just two points separating them from top spot in the conference, Inter Miami need to maintain their momentum and keep collecting points to stay in contention.
Match Results: Inter Miami
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.79;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.86, while the visitors net 0.93.
First-Half Stats: Cincinnati (home) vs Inter Miami (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 8;
- wins: 1 (20%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- losses: 2 (40%) vs 2 (25%);
- draws: 2 (40%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- Average goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.25;
- Average goals conceded: 0.8 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 2.5 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 1.4) vs 1.4 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.4).
- Cincinnati scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games (Major League Soccer).
- Cincinnati scored in the 1st half in last 5 games.
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Played - 14;
- Home wins - 5, Away wins - 6, Draws - 3.
Stats: Cincinnati vs Inter Miami
- Matches in the competition: 12 vs 12;
- Wins: 4 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 33% vs 50%;
- Losses: 4 vs 2;
- Draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 1;
- Draws: 4 vs 5.
- Cincinnati have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings.
- Cincinnati have covered a +1.5 home handicap in 6 of their last 7 MLS clashes with Inter Miami.
- Cincinnati have covered a +1.5 home handicap in 18 of their last 19 home matches overall.
- Cincinnati have covered a +1.5 home handicap in 14 of their last 15 MLS home games.
- Cincinnati have covered a +1.5 handicap in six consecutive MLS fixtures.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head meetings (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.79, Away side - 1.86;
- Overall H2H average - 3.64 goals per match;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 7 times; at Cincinnati’s ground - 4 times.
Average total stats: Cincinnati vs Inter Miami
- In the competition: 4.25 vs 3.92;
- Goals scored: 2 vs 2.17;
- First half: 0.92 vs 0.92;
- Second half: 1.08 vs 1.25;
- Cincinnati at home in this competition - average total goals: 2.2;
- Inter Miami away in this competition - average total goals: 2.25;
- Last 10 matches: Cincinnati - average total goals: 2.3 (home - 3); Inter Miami - average total goals: 2.1 (away - 2.4).
- Inter Miami have scored under 2.5 goals in six of their last seven MLS head-to-heads against Cincinnati.
Corners Prediction
Head-to-head meetings
- Average corners per H2H match - 8.79 (Home: 4.43, Away: 4.36);
- Average corners at Cincinnati’s ground - 8.13 (Home: 4.13, Away: 4).
Cincinnati: Stats
- This season: average corners per match in the competition - 5.17; at home - 5.6;
- Last ten matches: average corners per match - 4.2; at home - 5.
Inter Miami: Stats
- This season: average corners per match in the competition - 5.83; away - 4.25;
- Last ten matches: average corners per match - 6.3; away - 4.4.
- The under on 9.5 total corners has landed in six of the last seven head-to-head meetings at Cincinnati’s stadium.
- The under on 9.5 total corners has also hit in six of Inter Miami’s last seven away games.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Played - 14;
- Both teams found the net all-time - seven times;
- At Cincinnati’s ground - four times.
Stats: Cincinnati vs Inter Miami
- Matches played in the competition: 12 vs 12;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): Cincinnati - eight, Inter Miami - nine;
- Cincinnati at home BTTS - two times (40%);
- Inter Miami away BTTS - five times (63%).
Last ten matches:
- BTTS matches: Cincinnati - nine, Inter Miami - eight;
- Cincinnati at home BTTS - two (67%);
- Inter Miami away BTTS - three (60%).
- Cincinnati have scored and conceded in nine of their last ten matches.
- Cincinnati have scored and conceded in eight of their last nine MLS games.
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in eight of their last nine matches.
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in seven of their last eight MLS fixtures.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the competition is a 1-2 result (16/174, or a frequency of about 9.2%);
- Cincinnati’s most frequent home scoreline is a comfortable 2-0 (2/5, or a rate of 40%);
- Inter Miami’s most common away results are high-scoring affairs - either a narrow defeat or win, with scores of either 2-3 or a wild 2-4 (2/8, or a rate of about 25%).
The algorithm, factoring in statistical likelihoods, projects the top three outcomes:
1-1 - probability: 8.3% (odds: 9)
1-2 - probability: 8.24% (odds: 9)
2-2 - probability: 8.11% (odds: 9.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match is shaping up to be an open, high-scoring affair: both sides boast impressive attacking options but lack defensive solidity. Cincinnati consistently create chances at home, netting over 1.5 goals in nearly every outing-a trend supported by both their recent form and overall scoring average. Inter Miami, meanwhile, keep up a fast tempo even on the road, with stats showing plenty of goals scored and conceded. Among all the trends, the hosts’ individual goal tally stands out as the most logical pick; the visitors’ backline often struggles under sustained pressure from proactive opponents. Given this dynamic, backing Cincinnati to score over 1.5 goals looks like the most well-founded prediction for this clash.