Penarol vs Liverpool Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 April 2026
⭐️ The upcoming clash between Peñarol and Liverpool Montevideo promises to be thrilling. Both teams exhibit contrasting styles of play, with varying dynamics in their results. Peñarol, sitting second in the table, boasts a strong home form and consistently finds the back of the net. However, their defense is not flawless, which could present an opportunity for the visitors. Liverpool, currently in 11th place, have shown less consistency this season but possess the ability for unexpected breakthroughs in attack.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a scoreline of 1-2. Let's look at the comparative statistics from that encounter (home team - Liverpool Montevideo):
- possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 5.
📊Analytical review of previous official matches between Peñarol and Liverpool Montevideo:
- A total of 46 matches have been played;
- The hosts have claimed 23 victories, while the visitors have secured 13 wins, with 10 draws;
- Goals scored (home/away) - 74 to 55;
- Average total goals per match - 2.8.
Head-to-head statistics Penarol - Liverpool

Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place in the Copa Libertadores, with Santa Fe hosting Peñarol. The game concluded with a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Peñarol vs Santa Fe):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 6 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
Peñarol currently sit second in the league, bolstered by their solid home performances and balanced tactics. Over their last five matches, they have secured three wins, one draw, and suffered a single defeat. The team averages 1.56 goals per game while maintaining a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.78 goals on average per match. However, it's worth noting that they occasionally falter defensively, especially against teams with aggressive attacking play.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

Liverpool Montevideo Team Overview
The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Liverpool Montevideo hosting Deportivo Maldonado. The encounter ended with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado):
- possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Liverpool from Montevideo are enduring a challenging season, currently sitting in 11th place and struggling with their performances. They haven't secured a win in their last five matches, with three draws and two losses highlighting their inconsistency both in attack and defense. Despite this, their offense occasionally shines unexpectedly, as evidenced by their recent encounter with Peñarol (1-2). This suggests that the visitors can pose a threat even to stronger teams.
Match Results: Liverpool Montevideo
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 13, draws - 10.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- win percentage: 67% vs 38%;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
- Liverpool Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games.
- Liverpool Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games (Primera Division).
- Liverpool Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games.
- Liverpool Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.61, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.8;
- both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo
- average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 2.88;
- average total goals scored: 1.56 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.78 vs 1.13;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.78 vs 0.38;
- Penarol Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Liverpool Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.75) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Penarol Montevideo have conceded in 7 of last 8 home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo at home - 4 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Liverpool Montevideo away - 2 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo at home - 4 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Liverpool Montevideo away - 2 (40%).
- Penarol Montevideo have scored and conceded in last 7 home games (Primera Division).
- Penarol Montevideo have scored and conceded in last 5 home games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (15/77, 19.5%);
- Penarol Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:1 , 3:1 (1/4, 25%);
- Liverpool Montevideo away most often play: 0:1 , 1:2 , 3:3 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.54% (odds 6)
1:1 - 11.4% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.44% (odds 8.5)