Zenit vs Krasnodar Prediction
🔊 The clash between Zenit and Krasnodar stands as one of the most crucial fixtures in the spring phase of the RPL. The destiny of the championship might well be decided at the Gazprom Arena. Two leaders face off, and the St. Petersburg side desperately need a win to close the five-point gap on the Bulls. Bookmakers have pegged the hosts as favorites, but the visitors are clearly in better form and are determined to defeat the Blue-White-Sky Blues for the second time this season.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Zenit and Krasnodar:
- 28 matches played;
- home team victories - 17, away team wins - 4, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 56 to 30;
- average total in the first half - 1.18, second half - 1.89;
- average total goals per match - 3.07.
The last game took place on 28 September 2024 at Krasnodar's ground and ended with a 2-0 scoreline.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Zenit Saint Petersburg Team Overview
⚪ Zenit face the risk of missing out on the gold medals in their anniversary year. Currently sitting third in the standings, they trail Krasnodar by five points. As a result, the outcome of the upcoming clash will heavily influence the championship race. The "Blue-White-Sky Blues" are not in top form, having secured only two victories in the spring phase of the championship. In both instances, they played with a numerical advantage for a significant portion of the match and scored most of their goals after their opponents were reduced to ten men. In the last round, due to disorganized defensive play, Zenit nearly lost to Lokomotiv (1-1). They managed to equalize in the 85th minute, with a debut goal from Aleksandr Sobolev, who had just come off the bench.
📣 Zenit head coach Sergey Semak believes that the goal will boost Sobolev's confidence: "It was like a weight lifted off his shoulders. It was hard for him to detach from everything. Scoring an important goal psychologically should make things easier moving forward." Yevgeni Latyshonok made errors in matches against Spartak and Lokomotiv that led to goals. The coach believes that all three goalkeepers have equal chances to play in the upcoming match. "As for Zhenya Latyshonok, these weren't major mistakes. More like minor slips in those games. Everyone makes mistakes; it's just that the goalkeeper's position is such that errors are more noticeable," said Zenit's head coach.
❌ Karavaev, Vasilyev, and Volkov remain sidelined due to injuries. Pedro will also miss the match against Krasnodar after being sent off at the end of the game against Lokomotiv.
Match Results: Zenit Saint Petersburg
Krasnodar Team Overview
🟢 Krasnodar dropped points in their first match after the break, drawing with Krylia Sovetov (1-1). However, since then, they have won all their Russian Premier League games without conceding a single goal. The team has set a new personal record for clean sheets, and the season is far from over. This has been achieved without Matvey Safonov, who has become a champion in France! At the end of March, the "Black-Greens" thrashed Fakel (5-0), leading to a coaching change for their opponents. In the last round, they secured a tidy victory over Akron (1-0), effectively keeping the Tolyatti side away from their goal.
🔝 The International Centre for Sports Studies released a list of the best goalkeepers over the past year. Stanislav Agkatsev ranked fourth, trailing only Donnarumma, Sommer, and Courtois.
📣 Krasnodar forward John Cordoba anticipates a tough match in St. Petersburg: “We expect a challenging game against Zenit; many things will be against us. It will be very difficult, but it doesn’t matter, we will strive and keep going; that’s our way.”
✅ Krasnodar are preparing for the upcoming clash with a full squad.
Match Results: Krasnodar
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 4, draws - 7.
Statistics: Zenit Saint Petersburg vs Krasnodar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of wins: 14 vs 15;
- win percentage: 61% vs 65%;
- number of losses: 4 vs 1;
- number of draws: 5 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- number of losses: 2 vs 2;
- number of draws: 2 vs 2.
- Krasnodar won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games against Zenit Saint Petersburg (Premier League).
- Krasnodar won with a +1.5 handicap in 36 of last 37 games (Premier League).
- Krasnodar won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 games.
- Krasnodar won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 17 away games (Premier League).
- Krasnodar won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 9 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 1.07;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.07;
- both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Zenit Saint Petersburg vs Krasnodar
- average total in the tournament: 2.61 vs 2.52;
- average total goals scored: 1.96 vs 1.96;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.91 vs 0.65;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.04 vs 1.3;
- Zenit Saint Petersburg: average total at home in the tournament - 1.82;
- Krasnodar: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.75) vs 1.7 (away - 2).
- Zenit Saint Petersburg have conceded in 14 of last 15 games against Krasnodar.
- Zenit Saint Petersburg have conceded in 13 of last 14 games against Krasnodar (Premier League).
- Zenit Saint Petersburg have conceded in their last 8 home games against Krasnodar.
- Zenit Saint Petersburg have conceded in their last 7 home games against Krasnodar (Premier League).
- Krasnodar have scored in 18 of last 20 games (Premier League).
- Krasnodar have scored in their last 9 games.
Prediction on corners
Zenit Saint Petersburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.57; at home field - 6.91;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 8.
Krasnodar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.3, away - 3.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.25.
- Krasnodar have taken over 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Zenit Saint Petersburg.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.86 (1.93 for home team and 1.93 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.23 (1.85 for home team and 2.38 for away team).
Zenit Saint Petersburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.43; at home - 1.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.3; at home - 1.75.
Krasnodar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.13, away - 2.45;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; away - 2.25.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Zenit Saint Petersburg vs Krasnodar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Zenit Saint Petersburg at home - 5 (45%);
- number of BTTS matches for Krasnodar away - 5 (45%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Zenit Saint Petersburg at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Krasnodar away - 2 (50%).
Editorial Prediction
The current scenario suggests a tense match with the potential for both teams to find the net, given their attacking prowess. Both sides boast plenty of firepower up front. We recommend a bet on both teams to score (yes), which has been successful in 13 of the last 15 head-to-head encounters between Zenit and Krasnodar. Additionally, a wager on the visitors with a positive handicap seems reasonable, as bookmakers appear to underestimate the "Bulls," who have consistently troubled the Petersburg side in recent seasons. They have covered the (+1.5) spread in five consecutive RPL matches against Zenit.
Betting Tips: Zenit Saint Petersburg - Krasnodar
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