Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction 13 April 2025
🎈Fiorentina and Parma are set to clash in the 32nd round of Serie A, promising a tense encounter. Fiorentina sit in 8th place in the standings and show solid form with five wins in their last ten matches. Known for their attacking style, they average 1.5 goals per game at home. Meanwhile, Parma are fighting for survival and struggling with their scoring, having secured just one win in their last ten games. Despite this, their defense remains relatively stable. Bookmakers favor the home side, but the visitors have some tricks up their sleeve.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Fiorentina and Parma:
- 10 matches played;
- home wins - 3, away wins - 3, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 13 for Fiorentina, 12 for Parma;
- average first-half total - 1.2, second-half - 1.3;
- average total goals per match - 2.5.
The last game took place on 17 August 2024 at Parma's ground and ended in a 1-1 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Fiorentina - Parma
Fiorentina Team Overview
Fiorentina are on the rise, firmly holding onto eighth place in the league standings. The "Viola" have showcased impressive home form, winning six of their last seven matches on home turf. Their attack is formidable, consistently scoring more than one goal per game, maintaining a high tempo through ball control and rapid flank play. Their defense also deserves praise, conceding an average of just 1.03 goals per match. The last head-to-head against Parma ended in a 1-1 draw, adding intrigue to the upcoming fixture.
This week, Fiorentina faced a tough Conference League match against Slovenian side Celje, securing a 2-1 victory on the road. Despite being favorites, Palladino's team conceded possession and suffered turnovers under pressure. This European away trip, combined with a packed schedule, might affect their freshness in the upcoming game against Parma.
Regarding the squad, Fiorentina enter the match with some personnel challenges. Edoardo Bove has been sidelined due to heart issues and has been unable to support his teammates for some time. Robin Gosens is recovering from a knee injury and is unlikely to return before the end of April. Additionally, Andrea Colpani's participation is doubtful due to a foot injury. These absences could limit the coaching staff's tactical options and impact the balance in midfield.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Parma Team Overview
Parma continue their battle for survival in Serie A, currently sitting 16th in the standings after a string of disappointing results - just one win in their last ten matches highlights their struggles with finishing chances and defensive lapses (they concede an average of 1.65 goals per game). Despite this, the team can occasionally surprise: they have scored at least once in almost all of their away games this season, capitalizing on counterattacks and opponents' mistakes.
In the 31st round, Parma drew 2-2 with Inter. The team showcased organized play and the ability to challenge stronger opponents, coming from behind to score twice in the second half. However, their defensive instability remains a major issue.
Even more concerning is that Parma are facing a genuine squad crisis. A wave of injuries has hit the team hard: Alessandro Circati, Gabriel Charpentier, and Mateusz Kowalski are all out for the season due to serious cruciate ligament injuries. There are also doubts about the availability of Yordan Osorio, Adrian Benedyczak, and Valentin Mihaila, all dealing with muscle or ankle issues. Matteo Cancellieri is sidelined until the end of April with a muscle injury, and Pontus Almqvist will miss the match due to suspension. In such circumstances, Parma's lineup is significantly weakened, particularly in their attacking options.
Match Results: Parma
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 3, draws - 4.
Statistics: Fiorentina vs Parma
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of wins: 15 vs 5;
- win percentage: 48% vs 16%;
- number of losses: 9 vs 14;
- number of draws: 7 vs 12.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 1;
- number of losses: 4 vs 5;
- number of draws: 1 vs 4.
- Parma won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 8 games against Fiorentina.
- Parma won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 games (Serie A).
- Parma won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 7 away games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.3, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Fiorentina vs Parma
- average total in the tournament: 2.61 vs 2.84;
- average total goals scored: 1.58 vs 1.19;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.9 vs 0.45;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.68 vs 0.74;
- Fiorentina: average total at home in the tournament - 1.69;
- Parma: average total away in the tournament - 0.87;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.6) vs 1.1 (away - 0.8).
- Fiorentina have scored in 18 of last 20 home games.
- Fiorentina have scored in their last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.94; at home field - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 3.
Parma: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.74, away - 5.47;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 5.
- Parma have taken under 4.5 corners in their last 8 games against Fiorentina.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.4 (2.2 for home team and 2.2 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.4 (2 for home team and 2.4 for away team).
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.94; at home - 1.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 2.6.
Parma: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.71, away - 1.47;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 2.2.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 12 of last 14 Parma away games (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Fiorentina vs Parma
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 22;
- number of BTTS matches for Fiorentina at home - 8 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Parma away - 9 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Fiorentina at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Parma away - 3 (60%).
Editorial Prediction
The match between Fiorentina and Parma is unlikely to feature many corner kicks. Fiorentina tend to play a measured game at home, avoiding aggressive wing play and preventing their opponents from doing the same - the total has stayed under 9.5 corners in their last six Serie A home fixtures. Parma typically doesn't push the pace either, favoring a defensive approach to the game. Given this dynamic and the playing styles of both teams, betting on under 9.5 corners seems like a reasonable prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: Fiorentina - Parma
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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