Athletic vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction 13 April 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Athletic and Rayo Vallecano promises to be intriguing. Athletic are holding onto their Champions League spot, while Rayo Vallecano are aiming for a place in the Conference League. The hosts are expected to dominate possession, while the visitors will likely rely on quick counterattacks.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Athletic and Rayo Vallecano:
- 31 matches played;
- home team victories - 17, away team wins - 6, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 55 against 38;
- average first-half total - 1.32, second-half - 1.68;
- average total goals per match - 3.
The last game took place on 01 December 2024 at Rayo Vallecano's ground and ended with a score of 1-2.
Head-to-head statistics Athletic - Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao Team Overview
🔴 Athletic are nearly unbeatable in this La Liga campaign, suffering just four defeats in 30 matches (the best record in the league). Ernesto Valverde's squad is characterized by discipline and tactical cohesion. The Basques lead the league in average goals conceded, allowing only 0.8 per game. With a six-point cushion over their nearest rivals, Athletic have a strong chance of securing a Champions League spot.
📝 Special mention goes to Yuri Berchiche. The experience and composure of the 35-year-old defender add stability to the team. Recently, his contract was automatically extended for another year, thanks to a clause that triggered upon reaching a certain number of appearances. Next season will mark Berchiche's eighth in the Basque club's jersey.
🔝 However, Athletic's main asset remains Oihan Sancet. The 24-year-old Spanish midfielder is enjoying the most productive season of his career, with 13 goals and 1 assist in 22 La Liga matches. It's no surprise that top clubs are showing significant interest in him.
❌ In the Lions' infirmary is the aforementioned Yuri Berchiche. A calf injury sustained during the goalless draw against Villarreal will sideline him for the upcoming match.
Match Results: Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano Team Overview
⚪ Rayo Vallecano are struggling for consistency, having secured just one win in their last seven La Liga matches. The Madrid-based club now find themselves eight points adrift of the European qualification spots. Nonetheless, Iñigo Pérez's tactical approach, which emphasizes aggressive counter-pressing, deserves recognition.
📣 Rayo Vallecano's heavy defeat to Espanyol in the last round of the league (0-4) came as a surprise to many. After the match, Iñigo Pérez was brief in his comments: “We need to analyze, correct, and improve on the key mistakes we made.”
❌ Currently sidelined for Rayo Vallecano are Sergio Camello and Abdul Mumin. The Senegalese midfielder recently suffered a troubling knee injury during the March clash with Sevilla (1-1). It's clear that his season is over.
Match Results: Rayo Vallecano
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 6, draws - 8.
Statistics: Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of wins: 14 vs 10;
- win percentage: 45% vs 32%;
- number of losses: 5 vs 11;
- number of draws: 12 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 4;
- number of losses: 2 vs 4;
- number of draws: 5 vs 2.
- Athletic Bilbao have won in 6 of last 7 home games against Rayo Vallecano (La Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.77, the guests - 1.23;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano
- average total in the tournament: 2.42 vs 2.32;
- average total goals scored: 1.55 vs 1.1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.77 vs 0.45;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.77 vs 0.65;
- Athletic Bilbao: average total at home in the tournament - 1.81;
- Rayo Vallecano: average total away in the tournament - 0.88;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2.75) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 13 of last 15 Athletic Bilbao home games against Rayo Vallecano.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 12 of last 14 Athletic Bilbao home games against Rayo Vallecano (La Liga).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Rayo Vallecano games (La Liga).
Prediction on corners
Athletic Bilbao: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.55; at home field - 5.69;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; at home field - 4.75.
Rayo Vallecano: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.06, away - 5.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; away - 6.25.
- Over 7.5 corners in last 6 Athletic Bilbao games against Rayo Vallecano (La Liga).
- Over 7.5 corners in last 7 Rayo Vallecano games (La Liga).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.2 (1.1 for home team and 1.1 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.6 (1 for home team and 1.6 for away team).
Athletic Bilbao: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.58; at home - 1.69;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 1.75.
Rayo Vallecano: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.29, away - 2.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 3.25.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 6 Athletic Bilbao games against Rayo Vallecano (La Liga).
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 12 of last 14 Athletic Bilbao games (La Liga).
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 8 of last 9 Athletic Bilbao home games.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 6 Athletic Bilbao home games (La Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Athletic Bilbao at home - 9 (56%);
- number of BTTS matches for Rayo Vallecano away - 8 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Athletic Bilbao at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Rayo Vallecano away - 1 (25%).
Editorial Prediction
Considering the head-to-head statistics and the current form of both teams, a tight contest with few goals is expected. Athletic have traditionally excelled against Rayo Vallecano, winning five of their last six encounters, and maintain a strong defensive line, making it highly likely that Ernesto Valverde's side will secure all three points. Our bet is on a Bilbao victory.
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Betting Tips: Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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