Bastia vs Boulogne Prediction

    🔊 Bastia and Boulogne are set to clash in the 27th round of France's Ligue 2, a matchup that promises to be intense. Bastia have been struggling with inconsistency, as evidenced by their seven-match winless streak reflecting their current challenges. Meanwhile, Boulogne show a more balanced performance, alternating between wins and losses. The teams occupy different positions in the standings, which could impact their motivation: Bastia are eager to escape the relegation zone, while Boulogne aim to solidify their standing.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - US Boulogne):

    • ball possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
    • fouls: 14 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 6.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Bastia and US Boulogne:

    • played 9 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 5, draws - 0;
    • number of goals - 12 against 10;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.78, in the 2nd half - 1.67;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.44.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    40%
    4 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    60%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    10
    Total Goals Avg
    2.3
    Both teams scored
    30%
    1.2
    Total average
    1.1
    1.2
    Yellow cards
    1.1
    Last matches
    13.03.26
    Ligue 2
    Bastia
    Bastia
    US Boulogne
    US Boulogne
    -
    -
    8
    2
    24
    17
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    24
    17
    3
    1
    16.09.25
    Ligue 2
    US Boulogne
    US Boulogne
    Bastia
    Bastia
    0.89
    1.22
    2
    4
    14
    13
    3
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.89
    1.22
    2
    4
    14
    13
    3
    4
    22.01.21
    National
    Boulogne
    Boulogne
    SC Bastia
    SC Bastia
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    03.09.20
    National
    SC Bastia
    SC Bastia
    Boulogne
    Boulogne
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    12.01.18
    National
    Boulogne
    Boulogne
    SC Bastia
    SC Bastia
    -
    -
    Empty
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    Bastia Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Ligue 2 tournament (home team - Pau, away team - Bastia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Bastia vs Pau):

    • ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 17 vs 19;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 2.

    Bastia are navigating a challenging period, with a string of four draws and one loss in their last five matches. The team sits at the bottom of the league, adding extra pressure on the players. Their attack has been lackluster, averaging just 0.54 goals per match, and they have struggled to score more than one goal at home for quite some time. Defensively, they are vulnerable as well, conceding more than one goal per game.

    Match Results: Bastia

    Last matches
    09.05.26
    Ligue 2
    Bastia
    Bastia
    Le Mans
    Le Mans
    0.32
    0.30
    2
    3
    13
    14
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.32
    0.30
    2
    3
    13
    14
    4
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 2
    Guingamp
    Guingamp
    Bastia
    Bastia
    0.64
    1.32
    2
    5
    8
    11
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.64
    1.32
    2
    5
    8
    11
    0
    0
    W
    24.04.26
    Ligue 2
    Clermont
    Clermont
    1
    Bastia
    Bastia
    1
    0.87
    0.91
    5
    12
    12
    16
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.87
    0.91
    5
    12
    12
    16
    1
    1
    D
    18.04.26
    Ligue 2
    Bastia
    Bastia
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    -
    -
    2
    6
    20
    15
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    6
    20
    15
    4
    2
    W
    11.04.26
    Ligue 2
    Red Star
    Red Star
    1
    Bastia
    Bastia
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    4
    11
    2
    1
    4
    3
    1
    3
    3
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    4
    11
    2
    1
    L
    Empty
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    US Boulogne Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Ligue 2 tournament (home team - US Boulogne, away - Amiens). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:2.

    Here are the match stats (US Boulogne vs Amiens):

    • ball possession: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 18 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 6.

    Boulogne sit higher in the standings, thanks to their more consistent results. Over their last five matches, the team have secured two wins, suffered two losses, and drawn once. Their attack proves more productive than their opponent's, averaging over one goal per game. However, their defense remains a weak spot, conceding nearly one and a half goals per match on average.

    Match Results: US Boulogne

    Last matches
    09.05.26
    Ligue 2
    Stade Lavallois MFC
    Stade Lavallois MFC
    US Boulogne
    US Boulogne
    1.44
    0.00
    11
    3
    11
    14
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.44
    0.00
    11
    3
    11
    14
    1
    1
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 2
    US Boulogne
    US Boulogne
    Annecy
    Annecy
    0.41
    1.99
    4
    4
    10
    17
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.41
    1.99
    4
    4
    10
    17
    0
    2
    L
    27.04.26
    Ligue 2
    US Boulogne
    US Boulogne
    1
    Dunkerque
    Dunkerque
    0.68
    1.31
    5
    3
    9
    14
    1
    1
    2
    6
    1
    2
    1
    4
    0.68
    1.31
    5
    3
    9
    14
    1
    1
    L
    18.04.26
    Ligue 2
    Troyes
    Troyes
    US Boulogne
    US Boulogne
    -
    -
    8
    1
    14
    17
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    14
    17
    1
    1
    L
    11.04.26
    Ligue 2
    US Boulogne
    US Boulogne
    Le Mans
    Le Mans
    -
    -
    2
    7
    9
    13
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    7
    9
    13
    0
    0
    D
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 9;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 3;
    • Average first-half total: 0.78;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.44, while the visitors net 0.33.

    First-Half Stats: Bastia (home) vs US Boulogne (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
    • wins: 3 (23.08%) vs 2 (15.38%);
    • losses: 5 (38.46%) vs 5 (38.46%);
    • draws: 5 (38.46%) vs 6 (46.15%);
    • Average goals scored: 0.92 vs 0.62;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.62 vs 0.46.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 1 vs 1;
    • losses: 4 vs 3;
    • draws: 5 vs 6;
    • Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.7) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Bastia have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games against US Boulogne.
    • Bastia have drawn in the 1st half in last 6 games against US Boulogne (Ligue 2).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 1.9)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 9;
    • home team wins - 4, away team wins - 5, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Bastia vs US Boulogne

    • matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
    • wins: 3 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 12% vs 31%;
    • losses: 13 vs 12;
    • draws: 10 vs 6.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 4;
    • losses: 3 vs 4;
    • draws: 5 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Bastia have not won in 8 of last 9 home games.
    • Bastia have not won in last 7 games (Ligue 2).
    • US Boulogne have not lost in 7 of last 8 away games (Ligue 2).
    👉Prediction: US Boulogne will not lose(odds: 1.75)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 1.11;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.44;
    • both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Bastia vs US Boulogne

    • average total in the tournament: 1.77 vs 2.58;
    • average total goals scored: 0.54 vs 1.12;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.31 vs 0.27;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.23 vs 0.85;
    • Bastia: average total at home in the tournament -  0.54;
    • US Boulogne: average total away in the tournament - 0.92;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 0.17) vs 1.2 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Bastia have scored under 1.5 goals in last 11 home games.
    • Bastia have scored under 1.5 goals in last 10 home games (Ligue 2).
    • Bastia have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Ligue 2).
    👉Prediction: Bastia Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.49)

    Prediction on corners

    Bastia: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.38; at home field - 4.77;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.

    US Boulogne: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.35, away - 4.15;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 3.8.
    Trends
    • Bastia have taken under 5.5 corners in last 5 games (Ligue 2).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Bastia Total Under (5.5)(odds: 1.71)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 9;
    • both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Bastia vs US Boulogne

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 14;
    • number of BTTS matches for Bastia at home - 4 (31%);
    • number of BTTS matches for US Boulogne away - 6 (46%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Bastia at home - 0 (0%);
    • BTTS matches for US Boulogne away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.65)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (33/234, 14.1%);
    • Bastia at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:2 (3/13, 23.1%);
    • US Boulogne away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 (3/13, 23.1%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 14.54% (odds 5)
    0:0 - 13.46% (odds 6)
    1:1 - 13.28% (odds 5.6)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0)(odds: 5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering all factors, a bet on under 2.5 goals appears to be the most logical choice for this match. Trends support this hypothesis: Bastia consistently play low-scoring games at home, and their ability to find the net remains limited-only a few goals in recent matches back up this claim. Additionally, Boulogne are not inclined to score many goals against clubs with solid defenses.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -208*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (12 March 2026, 08:10)

    Betting Tips: Bastia - US Boulogne

    Bastia have drawn in the 1st half
    sc-bastiaus-boulogne-cote-d-opalein 7 of last 8 games against US Boulogne.
    sc-bastiaus-boulogne-cote-d-opalein last 6 games against US Boulogne (Ligue 2).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    -108
    Bastia have drawn
    sc-bastiain 5 of last 6 games (Ligue 2).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +210
    Bastia have not won
    sc-bastiain 8 of last 9 home games.
    sc-bastiain last 7 games (Ligue 2).
    US Boulogne have not lost
    us-boulogne-cote-d-opalein 7 of last 8 away games (Ligue 2).
    US Boulogne will not lose
    Everygame
    -123
    Bastia have scored under 1.5 goals
    sc-bastiain last 11 home games.
    sc-bastiain last 10 home games (Ligue 2).
    sc-bastiain 6 of last 7 games (Ligue 2).
    Bastia Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -200
    View more facts

    Bastia - Boulogne Table position

    Ligue 2 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    14.
    Nancy
    Nancy
    349101535-5237
    15.
    US Boulogne
    US Boulogne
    34991634-4936
    16.
    Stade Lavallois MFC
    Stade Lavallois MFC
    346141430-4832
    17.
    Bastia
    Bastia
    345131623-4228
    18.
    Amiens
    Amiens
    34662237-6524

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 14
    -3
    -4
    9 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    2
    4
    Draws
    4
    4
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    9
    14
    Conceded
    13
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.2
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats