Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction
🔊 The clash between Dundalk and Derry City promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams have their own ambitions this season: Dundalk aim to solidify their spot at the top of the table, while Derry City look to climb higher. Current form suggests an edge for the home side, who have been delivering consistent performances in recent matches. However, historical head-to-head statistics indicate that Dundalk have faced challenges when up against this opponent.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 13 February 2026 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Derry City were the home side):
- possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 10 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Dundalk and Derry City:
- 54 matches played;
- home team victories - 27, away team wins - 10, draws - 17;
- goals scored - 92 to 62;
- average first-half total - 1.22, second-half - 1.63;
- average total goals per match - 2.85.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Dundalk Team Overview
The team played their last official match on in the Premier Division, with Dundalk hosting St Patrick's Athletic. The game ended in a 2-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athletic):
- possession percentage: 35% vs 65%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 11;
- fouls: 9 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
🔴 Dundalk are in fine form recently, recording four wins and a draw in their last five matches, which bolsters their confidence. The team currently sits fourth in the standings, demonstrating solid scoring prowess with an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding 1.3 on average. This balance enables them to confidently compete for higher positions. However, historically, they have struggled to secure victories against their current opponent.
Match Results: Dundalk

Derry City Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Premier Division, where Sligo Rovers hosted Derry City. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Derry City vs Sligo Rovers):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 0.
⚪ Derry City can't boast an equally impressive form, with only two wins in their first ten matches, alongside four losses and four draws. They currently sit in seventh place in the league, necessitating extra effort to climb the standings. Their average goal-scoring rate is 1.2, highlighting issues in their attacking play, although their defense remains solid with an average of 1.3 goals conceded.
Match Results: Derry City
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 54;
- Home wins - 27, Away wins - 10, Draws - 17.
Statistics: Dundalk vs Derry City
- Matches in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- Wins: 4 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 40% vs 20%;
- Losses: 1 vs 4;
- Draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 2;
- Losses: 1 vs 4;
- Draws: 5 vs 4.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home team - 1.7, Away team - 1.15;
- Overall head-to-head - 2.85;
- Both teams scored: overall - 29 times; at home ground - 14 times.
Average Total Statistics: Dundalk vs Derry City
- In the tournament: 3.1 vs 2.5;
- Goals scored: 1.8 vs 1.2;
- In the first half: 0.8 vs 0.2;
- In the second half: 1 vs 1;
- Dundalk at home in the tournament - 2.25;
- Derry City away in the tournament - 0.25;
- Last 10 matches: 1.8 (home - 2.25) vs 1.2 (away - 0.25).
- Dundalk have scored less than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters in the Premier Division.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 54;
- Both teams scored overall - 29 times;
- On home ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Dundalk vs Derry City
- Played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 6;
- Dundalk BTTS at home - 1 (25%);
- Derry City BTTS away - 1 (25%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- Dundalk BTTS at home - 1 (25%);
- Derry City BTTS away - 1 (25%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Results Statistics (Current Season):
- Most common score in the tournament: 0-0 (7/50, 14%), 1-1 (7/50, 14%);
- Dundalk's most frequent home results: 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 5-0 (1/4, 25%);
- Derry City's most frequent away result: 0-0 (2/4, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-0 - 14.43% (odds: 7.2)
1-1 - 13.43% (odds: 5.75)
0-0 - 12.12% (odds: 9.1)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and trends from previous encounters, we predict a low scoring output from the hosts in this match. Historical data indicates that the hosts rarely score more than one goal against this opponent, and the visitors' solid defense could contribute to this trend once again. Therefore, the most logical bet would be on Dundalk's individual total under 1.5 goals. This bet has come through in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these clubs.