River Plate vs Sarmiento Prediction 12 October 2025

    📢 Can Sarmiento withstand the might of River Plate in the 12th round of the Primera? River Plate, currently sitting fourth in the standings, are determined to maintain their position and continue their title challenge. Despite some recent setbacks, they have shown strong attacking play. Meanwhile, the visitors are in 10th place and are eager to climb higher. They have performed well on the road, thanks to their solid defense. An exciting match is expected.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sarmiento Junin):

    • ball possession percentage: 29% vs 71%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
    • fouls: 9 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 8.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams River Plate and Sarmiento Junin:

    • played 9 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 1, draws - 3;
    • number of goals - 21 against 8;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.67, in the 2nd half - 1.56;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.22.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    55%
    6 Wins
    27%
    3 Draws
    18%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    11
    Total Goals Avg
    2.91
    Both teams scored
    55%
    2.09
    Total average
    0.82
    1.36
    Yellow cards
    2.64
    Last matches
    15.03.26
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    1
    4.01
    0.16
    10
    2
    11
    15
    1
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    4.01
    0.16
    10
    2
    11
    15
    1
    3
    12.10.25
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    1.95
    0.92
    13
    3
    10
    20
    2
    5
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.95
    0.92
    13
    3
    10
    20
    2
    5
    05.04.25
    Primera Division
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    River Plate
    River Plate
    0.88
    1.03
    4
    5
    9
    16
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.88
    1.03
    4
    5
    9
    16
    2
    3
    28.07.24
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    -
    -
    5
    1
    10
    9
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    10
    9
    0
    1
    20.03.23
    Primera Division
    Sarmiento
    Sarmiento
    River Plate
    River Plate
    -
    -
    9
    7
    16
    6
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    7
    16
    6
    3
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    River Plate Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Club Atletico Rosario Central, away team - River Plate ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here's the game statistics (River Plate vs Club Atletico Rosario Central):

    • ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 8;
    • fouls: 16 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 6 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 7.

    River Plate are currently sitting in fourth place in the league, underscoring their ambitions to challenge for the top spots in the standings. However, their recent form has been less than stellar, with four losses and only one win highlighting the team's inconsistency. Their playing style is built on ball control and aggressive wing play. The "Millonarios" also boast one of the best defenses in the league, conceding just 0.72 goals per match.

    Match Results: River Plate

    Last matches
    28.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Blooming Santa Cruz
    Blooming Santa Cruz
    2.82
    0.05
    8
    0
    19
    11
    1
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.82
    0.05
    8
    0
    19
    11
    1
    1
    W
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    1
    Belgrano
    Belgrano
    1.3
    1.47
    6
    4
    7
    11
    2
    3
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1.3
    1.47
    6
    4
    7
    11
    2
    3
    L
    21.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    -
    -
    3
    5
    10
    11
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    5
    10
    11
    2
    1
    D
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    -
    -
    6
    1
    17
    19
    2
    7
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    17
    19
    2
    7
    W
    14.05.26
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata
    -
    -
    7
    5
    20
    15
    1
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    20
    15
    1
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Sarmiento Junin Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Sarmiento Junin, away - Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here are the match stats (Sarmiento Junin vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata):

    • ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
    • fouls: 14 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Sarmiento have shown decent form recently, with two wins and three losses indicating some progress after a string of setbacks. On the road, the "Greens" often display resilience, rarely losing by more than a single goal. In their last head-to-head with River Plate, Sarmiento secured a 1-1 draw, showcasing their ability to stand up to even the top teams in the league thanks to their well-organized defense.

    Match Results: Sarmiento Junin

    Last matches
    03.05.26
    Primera Division
    Belgrano
    Belgrano
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    1.66
    0.67
    3
    2
    8
    8
    1
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.66
    0.67
    3
    2
    8
    8
    1
    1
    L
    25.04.26
    Primera Division
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    1
    Tigre
    Tigre
    0.75
    0.6
    3
    6
    11
    15
    3
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.75
    0.6
    3
    6
    11
    15
    3
    4
    W
    19.04.26
    Primera Division
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    11
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    11
    1
    0
    L
    13.04.26
    Primera Division
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata
    -
    -
    3
    7
    17
    12
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    7
    17
    12
    3
    2
    L
    09.04.26
    Football Cup
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    11
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    11
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    River Plate

    River Plate are facing a genuine squad crisis, without exaggeration. The team has lost a significant number of players. Juan Carlos Portillo is serving a suspension after receiving a red card in the last round. Seven players are currently with their national teams: Lautaro Rivero, Marcos Acuña, Gonzalo Montiel, Matías Galarza, Kevin Castaño, Juan Quintero, and Jan Subiabre. Additionally, there are numerous injuries. Agustín Ruberto is sidelined until the end of October due to a knee injury, while Enzo Pérez and Maximiliano Meza are also nursing knee injuries. Gonzalo Martínez is still recovering from a calf injury. The two most significant losses are Germán Pezzella and Giorgio Costantini, both of whom have suffered ACL tears and are out for the rest of the season.

    Sarmiento Junin

    Sarmiento's squad situation is more stable, but still far from ideal. Gaston Gonzalez and Pablo Magnin are sidelined for an extended period after suffering severe cruciate ligament injuries, ruling them out for the rest of the season.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 9;
    • home team wins - 5, away team wins - 1, draws - 3.
    Trends
    • Sarmiento Junin won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 away games (Primera Division).
    • Sarmiento Junin won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Sarmiento Junin Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.54)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 2.33, the guests - 0.89;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.22;
    • both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.

    Statistics: River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin

    • average total in the tournament: 2.21 vs 1.88;
    • average total goals scored: 1.48 vs 0.73;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.79 vs 0.35;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.38;
    • River Plate : average total at home in the tournament -  1.75;
    • Sarmiento Junin: average total away in the tournament - 0.54;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.33) vs 0.8 (away - 0.4).
    Trends
    • River Plate have scored in last 9 games against Sarmiento Junin (Primera Division).
    • River Plate have scored in 11 of last 12 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: River Plate will score goal(odds: 1.12)

    Prediction on corners

    River Plate : Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 5.38;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 10.

    Sarmiento Junin: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.23, away - 2.92;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.4.
    Trends
    • Sarmiento Junin have taken over 2.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against River Plate (Primera Division).
    • Sarmiento Junin have taken over 2.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Sarmiento Junin Total Over (2,5)(odds: 1.6)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.66 (1.33 for home team and 1.33 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3 (1 for home team and 2 for away team).

    River Plate : Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3; at home - 2.94;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; at home - 2.67.

    Sarmiento Junin: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.15, away - 3.62;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (6,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 9;
    • both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 3 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.58)

    Editor's Prediction

    River Plate head into the match as clear favorites, and it's no surprise given the significant gap in quality between the teams. The hosts are known for their strong second-half performances, often deciding games after the break: they've scored in the second half in six of their last seven head-to-head encounters with Sarmiento. With such stats and superior player quality, it's reasonable to expect a similar scenario this time around. The bet is on a River Plate goal in the second half.

    Our choice
    2nd half, River Plate will score goal at odds of -227*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (10 October 2025, 22:24)

    Betting Tips: River Plate - Sarmiento Junin

    River Plate have not lost:
    ca-river-plateca-sarmientoin 8 of last 9 games against Sarmiento Junin (Primera Division).
    ca-river-platein 19 of last 21 home games.
    ca-river-platein 11 of last 12 home games (Primera Division).
    River Plate will not lose
    Everygame
    -1667
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    ca-river-plateca-sarmientoin 8 of last 9 River Plate games against Sarmiento Junin (Primera Division).
    ca-river-platein 10 of last 11 River Plate home games (Primera Division).
    ca-river-platein 7 of last 8 River Plate games.
    ca-river-platein last 5 River Plate home games.
    in 13 of last 15 Sebastian Zunino games.
    in 11 of last 12 Sebastian Zunino games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    ca-river-plateca-sarmientoin 6 of last 7 River Plate games against Sarmiento Junin (Primera Division).
    ca-river-platein 10 of last 11 River Plate games.
    ca-river-platein last 6 River Plate games (Primera Division).
    ca-sarmientoin 8 of last 9 Sarmiento Junin games (Primera Division).
    in 12 of last 14 Sebastian Zunino games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -500
    River Plate have scored:
    ca-river-plateca-sarmientoin last 9 games against Sarmiento Junin (Primera Division).
    ca-river-platein 11 of last 12 home games (Primera Division).
    River Plate will score goal
    Everygame
    -833
    View more facts

    River Plate - Sarmiento Table position

    Apertura Group B
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    16105122-835
    2.
    River Plate
    River Plate
    1687121-931
    3.
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1685323-1229
    11.
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata
    164489-1816
    12.
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    1629511-1915
    13.
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1642107-2214

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 9
    +8
    -2
    9 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draw
    1
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    9
    9
    Conceded
    11
    2.6
    Match goals average
    2
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    5
    Both teams scored
    3
    55'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats