Swansea vs Burnley Prediction 12 September 2026
🔊 Swansea come into this match in noticeably better form and are among the leading group in the Championship. They have lost just one of their last six matches, which reflects a solid start to the season. Burnley, meanwhile, sit second from bottom and are yet to record a single win, with their winless run continuing to stretch. The league situation gives both sides motivation: Swansea are looking to close the gap on the leaders, while Burnley are in urgent need of points to climb out of the relegation zone.
Head-to-Head
📊 There have been 14 official meetings between Swansea and Burnley. The hosts have won 7, the visitors 6, with one match ending in a draw. Swansea have scored 13 goals, Burnley 16. On average, there are 1.07 goals in the first half and exactly 1 in the second. The average total goals per match is 2.07.
Head-to-head statistics Swansea - Burnley
Swansea City Team Overview
Swansea have made a strong start to the season, winning three, drawing two and losing one of their last five matches. Over their last ten games, they have won five, drawn three and lost two. They are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.8, which points to solid defensive work and a balanced attack.
In the table, Swansea are among the sides challenging at the top, sitting just two points off first place, so they have extra motivation to stay near the summit at this stage.
Match Results: Swansea City
Burnley Team Overview
Burnley are going through a difficult spell: in their last five matches they have lost three times and drawn three times, without a single win across that run. Their last ten matches tell a similar story - just one win, five defeats and four draws. Defensively they have been conceding significantly more than their opponents, averaging 1.6 goals per game over those ten matches (2.17 for the season), while their attack has been managing under a goal per game (0.9).
The club currently sit deep in the relegation zone with plenty of motivation to climb out, as they are just one point away from safety.
Match Results: Burnley
Match Result Prediction
Swansea have gone unbeaten at home in 15 of their last 17 matches, which underlines their reliability on their own ground. This season they have yet to lose a home game, while Burnley have yet to win away from home. Head-to-head meetings have often gone against Swansea, but the more recent statistics favour the hosts. The optimal pick here is Swansea not to lose at 1.33*.
Total Goals Prediction
Burnley have scored under 1.5 goals in 16 of their last 17 away matches, which highlights how rarely they find the net on the road. This season they are also averaging 1 goal per away match, while Swansea concede very little at home - an average of 0 goals per match. All of this supports a bet on Burnley Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.4*.
Risky Bet
Swansea have gone unbeaten at home in 15 of their last 17 matches and have been picking up points consistently on their own ground. Burnley have not won a single away match this season and concede an average of 2.67 goals on the road. Historically, head-to-head meetings have favoured Burnley, which raises the risk, but Swansea's current home form gives reason to try the Swansea Handicap (-0.75) at 2.5*.
Reliable Bet
Burnley have conceded in 22 of their last 23 away matches, pointing to persistent defensive problems on the road. Swansea average 1 goal per home match this season. On that basis, Swansea Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.22* looks like a reliable option.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13.37%), 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-0 (10.85%). All three point to a low-scoring match, with a narrow Swansea win considered the most probable outcome. The gap between the probabilities is small, so none of the three scorelines stands out as a clear favourite.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Recent matches involving Burnley have regularly featured goals at both ends: both teams scored in eight of the nine previous meetings, regardless of the result or the quality of the opposition. Swansea are clinical at home and rarely struggle to find the net. In this context, an open game without a heavy defensive emphasis seems likely - both sides have reasons to make an impression on the table early in the season. The main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
No comments
Betting Tips: Swansea City - Burnley
in last 5 games against Burnley (Championship)..svg)
in 15 of last 17 home games (Championship).in 8 of last 9 games (Championship).in last 21 games.in 17 of last 18 away games.in last 6 games (Championship).
in 12 of last 14 Swansea City games against Burnley.in 7 of last 8 Swansea City games against Burnley (Championship).in 6 of last 7 Swansea City home games against Burnley.in 6 of last 7 Swansea City games.
in last 6 James Bell games.in 11 of last 12 games against Burnley.in last 6 games against Burnley (Championship).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
