Sudtirol vs Modena Prediction 12 September 2026
📢 Südtirol have made a confident start to the new season, picking up seven points from their opening three matches and establishing themselves among the early leaders. Modena have also started reasonably well and are not far off the top positions, so both sides are keeping a decent pace at this stage. Their matches tend not to produce many goals, and a cautious game looks quite likely at this early point in the season.
Head-to-Head
📊 Across 16 official meetings between Südtirol and Modena, the hosts have won five times, the visitors seven, with four draws. Südtirol have scored 13 goals in total, Modena 17. On average, one goal is scored in the first half and around 0.88 in the second, giving an average total of 1.88 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics Sudtirol - Modena
Sudtirol Team Overview
Südtirol have picked up seven points from their first three matches of the season and sit third, unbeaten so far. Taking the end of last season into account, over their last ten matches the team have averaged just 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, so their results have often been built on fairly cautious football. This season they have been particularly solid at home, conceding an average of just 0.33 goals per match.
Match Results: Sudtirol
Modena Team Overview
Modena have picked up six points from their opening three matches and sit eighth, just one point behind their opponents. Over their last ten meetings, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, so there is no notable advantage in either attack or defence at this stage. They have looked reasonably competitive at the start of the season, but against Südtirol's compact and organised defence they may lack the cutting edge in the final third.
Match Results: Modena
Match Result Prediction
Südtirol are unbeaten in seven matches in a row, which supports the trend on this market. On top of that, they have not lost a single match this season (two wins, one draw), and at home they have two wins and no defeats. Modena's away form is decent, but given Südtirol's consistent unbeaten run, a Double Chance in favour of Südtirol looks justified at odds of 1.53*.
Total Goals Prediction
Total Goals - Under 2.5 has landed in each of Südtirol's last 7 matches in a row, which is backed up by the corresponding trend. The statistics also point to Südtirol's low scoring output - over their last 10 matches the team average just 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Modena's average total goals over their last 10 matches stands at 2.5 (1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded). There are no significant factors that contradict this scenario, so the bet is on Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.6*.
Reliable Bet
Modena have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in six consecutive head-to-head matches against Südtirol, which points to a strong trend in this market. The statistics also support this outcome: Modena have averaged 2.5 goals per away match this season, but their scoring rate is lower in home and head-to-head fixtures. The bet on Modena Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.44* therefore looks reliable.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines for this match: 0-0 (15.46%), 0-1 (14.92%) and 1-0 (12.79%). All three outcomes have similar probability values, though a goalless draw has the highest chance. This underlines the expectation of low scoring in the upcoming match.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Modena are considered slight favourites for this match, but the visitors hold no significant advantage. Südtirol traditionally prioritise defensive solidity, and going back to the end of last season they have now played seven consecutive matches in which no more than two goals were scored. Modena do not possess enough attacking firepower to reliably break that pattern, particularly away from home against a well-organised side. Our pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Sudtirol - Modena
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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