Lillestrom vs Valerenga Prediction 12 September 2026
🔊 The April derby between Lillestrøm and Vålerenga was the first between the two sides in three years. In Oslo, Lillestrøm beat Vålerenga 2-0, scoring both goals late on. That match was stopped twice due to flares from both ends. Currently, the hosts sit fifth with 29 points, while the visitors are eleventh with 22.
Head-to-Head
Lillestrøm and Vålerenga have met 33 times. The hosts have won 11 of those meetings, the visitors 13, with 9 draws. Vålerenga also have the edge in goals scored, having netted 43 to Lillestrøm's 40.
Head-to-head statistics Lillestrom - Valerenga
Lillestrom Team Overview
In August, Lillestrøm knocked out Egnatia to reach the UEFA Europa League league phase for the first time. In the Eliteserien, meanwhile, they hit a rough patch: five consecutive matches without a win under Hans Erik Ødegaard. That run only ended in Bergen, where Lillestrøm beat Brann to take three points. Their attack remains modest, though - 26 goals in 19 matches, the fewest of any side in the top six. At home it is a different story: Lillestrøm have scored in 18 of their last 20 home matches.
Match Results: Lillestrom
Valerenga Team Overview
Vålerenga are four points above the relegation play-off place. Geir Bakke left the club in May and was replaced by Johannes Musgård, who came in from KFUM. The start of September brought turbulence off the pitch as well: the captain was sold, the sporting director is leaving, and the chairman has stepped down. Against that backdrop, it was 15-year-old Gabriel Rajković who salvaged a point in Sarpsborg, scoring in the 92nd minute. Vålerenga have conceded 40 goals this season - only Aalesund and Start have let in more. In their previous match, Musgård's side lost 3-4 to Molde. Vålerenga rarely produce quiet games: each of their last 10 matches has featured more than two goals.
Match Results: Valerenga
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Prediction
Vålerenga have conceded before half-time in 6 of their last 7 away Eliteserien matches. It is not just a defensive issue: they have lost the first half in five consecutive Eliteserien matches. A home goal early in the game is the expected pattern here. The bet is Lillestrøm to Score in the First Half.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are: 2-1 (8.37%), 1-1 (8.23%) and 2-2 (7.9%). The probabilities are fairly close across these options, with a Lillestrøm win by 2-1 having the highest chance.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
In 12 of the last derby meetings, there have been fewer than four goals in Lillestrøm. The same has been true for Lillestrøm themselves in 6 of their last 7 matches. There will be goals, though - Vålerenga have not been kept off the scoresheet for some time. But we are not expecting an open shootout between these two. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Lillestrom - Valerenga
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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