Larnaca vs Pafos Prediction 13 September 2026
🔊 AEK Larnaca are the only club in the SITA League to have won both of their opening matches. Pafos sit fourth - they are also unbeaten so far this season, but thoughts of rotation and managing the squad's energy ahead of their Conference League fixtures have almost certainly already crept in.
Head-to-Head
📊 Last season the two sides met four times in the Cypriot league, and in October 2025 they played for the national Super Cup. Each team won once, and three of the matches ended level after ninety minutes. Across those five games, AEK players scored eight goals and Pafos players scored nine.
Head-to-head statistics Larnaca - Pafos

Larnaca Team Overview
AEK Larnaca come into this match in good form, having won both of their opening fixtures. They have been scoring freely - averaging 3.5 goals per game - though they have conceded in every round as well. The table situation means they need to keep picking up points to hold onto first place.
Match Results: Larnaca

Pafos Team Overview
Pafos have started the season without a defeat or a conceded goal. In between league matches, they also picked up the Cypriot Super Cup against Omonia, winning 1-0. Their defensive record is impressive ahead of their return to European competition. Averaging 1.8 goals scored per game, the team rarely keeps clean sheets at the other end - conceding 0.9 per game - maintaining a balance between the lines.
Match Results: Pafos
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams have scored in five consecutive head-to-head meetings. AEK Larnaca have scored at home in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head matches, while Pafos have averaged 1.17 goals per game away from home in their last 10 matches. However, Pafos's current seasonal record of zero goals conceded sits somewhat against this trend, which reduces the level of confidence. That said, the historical head-to-head pattern and the tendency for both sides to score give grounds to consider Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.73.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11.72%), 1-0 (10.89%) and 0-1 (9.15%). The 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though a one-goal win for either side is also considered fairly likely. The distribution across these outcomes is fairly even, with no clearly dominant option.
Match Result Prediction
In 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings, AEK Larnaca have failed to beat Pafos, which reflects a consistent advantage for the visitors in this fixture. Pafos have also gone unbeaten in all of their matches in domestic competitions this season. This suggests the visitors have a good chance of at least avoiding defeat here. We recommend Pafos or Draw at 1.52.