Mariehamn vs TPS Prediction 12 September 2026
🔊 Mariehamn currently sit 12th in the Veikkausliiga, trailing Jaro by just a single point, with direct relegation looming for the bottom side. The Islanders, however, have put together an impressive run, winning three straight matches to close out the round-including a statement victory away at KuPS, who were league leaders at the time. TPS approach this fixture with different priorities: Turku secured their top-flight status for 2027 back in the main round. That does little to ease Mariehamn’s pressure, though-back in August, they suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat in Turku.
Head-to-Head
Mariehamn and TPS Turku have faced each other 39 times. The hosts have claimed 16 victories, while the visitors have come out on top 9 times. Another 14 encounters have ended in a draw. In terms of goals scored, Mariehamn hold a slight edge-52 to TPS’s 49.
Head-to-head statistics Mariehamn - TPS
IFK Mariehamn Team Overview
Since June 7, the team have been managed by Swedish coach Robert Björknesjö, who signed a contract running through the end of the season. His tenure got off to a rough start: Mariehamn didn’t claim their first league victory until August 15. Results improved somewhat after that, but on September 8 the team fell 1-2 away to Lahti. Defensive issues remain the main concern-Mariehamn have conceded in 21 of their last 23 Veikkausliiga matches. They’re also dealing with a forced change in goal: Matias Rikonen is sidelined with injury, so Oliver Heino has stepped in as the starting keeper. Rui Monteiro, meanwhile, saw his season cut short in August.
Match Results: IFK Mariehamn
TPS Turku Team Overview
TPS have returned to the Veikkausliiga after a five-year absence and immediately hit their target: the club set a top-eight finish as their goal for the season, and they secured eighth place. Ivan Pinol has been at the helm throughout the campaign. However, goals have dried up for the Turku side towards the end of the season-TPS have found the net just once in their last three matches. Playing away brings another issue: they have conceded in 16 of their last 17 games on the road.
Match Results: TPS Turku
Total Goals Prediction
TPS have scored more than one goal on the road in just one of their last ten matches. Over the season, they average only 0.91 goals per away game. That should be enough for the hosts; a single goal could secure them some points here. The pick: TPS individual total under 1.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines for this match are: 1-0 (13.52%), 0-1 (12.65%), and 0-0 (11.68%). All three outcomes have similar probabilities and suggest a low-scoring encounter. Among them, a 1-0 result appears slightly more probable, but the margins are minimal.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
TPS have failed to win in 11 of their last 12 away matches, so it's hard to see the visitors taking all three points here. That said, beating TPS is no easy task either-they are unbeaten in their last six Veikkausliiga games. Head-to-head clashes in Mariehamn have followed a familiar script, with the last three meetings here ending in draws. Expect a tight contest, with each side likely to find the net. Our pick: draw. Predicted score - 1-1.
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Betting Tips: IFK Mariehamn - TPS Turku
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