AD Tarma vs Cienciano Prediction 23 September 2026
🔊 In this Peruvian football championship match, Tarma take on Cienciano. Both clubs are in the lower half of the Clausura table. There is decent attacking potential on either side, but recent matches suggest that defensive play is more likely to come to the fore.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides last met in the League Cup in July, with Tarma winning 3-2. Looking at the last five head-to-head meetings, it is evenly balanced: two wins each and one draw.
Head-to-head statistics AD Tarma - Cienciano
AD Tarma Team Overview
Tarma are going through a difficult spell, having lost four of their last five matches. Last round they fell to Alianza Lima 2-0. It's hard to see a scenario in which their attack suddenly transforms itself - they've managed just one goal across their last three games. At home, they will most likely opt for a pragmatic approach, and against a side that hasn't exactly been prolific of late either, that could work in their favour. Even a draw would be a good result for Tarma.
Match Results: AD Tarma
Cienciano Team Overview
Cienciano are currently competing on two fronts: the Clausura and the Copa Sudamericana. In that competition, they recently played two matches against Montevideo City. They won the first 2-0 and lost the second 0-3. In the upcoming match, not only a dip in morale but also accumulated fatigue could be a factor. Producing goals will be considerably harder than usual. Yes, they average 1.5 goals per away match - but putting on a show against Tarma will be extremely difficult.
Match Results: Cienciano
Total Goals Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 home matches, Tarma have seen Total Goals - Under 3.5 land, which supports a consistent low-scoring trend in their home fixtures. Their average goals scored at home this season is 1.31, while opponents average 1.23, again pointing to moderate scoring. In away matches, Cienciano average 1.5 goals scored, which also fits within a low-scoring pattern. On that basis, Total Goals - Under 3.5 looks reliable at odds of 1.4*.
Corner Kick Prediction
In 16 of their last 17 matches, Tarma have seen the total corners go over 7.5, which points to a clear trend towards a high corner count in matches involving this side. On top of that, in 7 of their last 8 home matches the total corners have gone over 8.5, reinforcing the overall pattern. A bet on Total Corners - Over 7.5 therefore looks well-founded at odds of 1.37*.
Risky Bet
Cienciano have lost six of their last seven away matches, which points to their poor form on the road. However, it is worth noting that Tarma have gone 11 matches without a win, which complicates any confident prediction on a home victory. That said, given Cienciano's poor away form, a bet on Tarma Handicap (-0.25) at odds of 2.42* may be justified.
Reliable Bet
In 12 of Tarma's last 13 matches, the total has gone over 1.5 goals, which points to a strong chance of at least two goals in this fixture. Both teams' statistics support this as well: Tarma average 1.31 goals per home match, while Cienciano average 1.5 away. Total Goals - Over 1.5 is priced at 1.22*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.42%), 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-1 (8.31%). The most probable of the three is the 1-1 draw, though the two away-win options also carry a reasonably high probability. This reflects a moderately low-scoring tendency and an advantage for the away side in terms of expected results.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The bookmakers are not making either side a clear favourite for this one. In terms of squad quality, though, Cienciano do look slightly preferable. The question is how well prepared the team actually are. Their recent form has not been as good as their fans would like. Tarma, meanwhile, have also been struggling to get things going in attack. Both sides will probably focus on staying solid defensively. Our editorial team think the match could end 1-1. A bet on Total Goals - Under 3 looks like a reasonable option.
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Betting Tips: AD Tarma - Cienciano
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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