Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle Prediction 19 August 2026
📢 The first legs of the Copa Libertadores round of 16 turned out to be remarkably tight - all seven matches that took place ended in a draw. The tie between Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle was also supposed to get underway last week, but a powerful earthquake in Colombia, which claimed more than 200 lives, led to the postponement of all football events. As a result, the teams were given an extra week to prepare for one of the most important matches of the season. The key question is who will benefit from this enforced break and who will manage to take the first step towards the quarter-finals.
Head-to-Head
📊 Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle have officially played just two matches against each other. Their most recent meeting took place 05 May 2022 in Colombia and ended 1-0.
Head-to-head statistics Deportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle
Tolima Team Overview
Deportes Tolima's last official match was played on in the Colombian Primera A, where they beat Inter Bogotá at home (2:1).
The match stats were as follows (Deportes Tolima vs Inter Bogotá):
- possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corners: 8 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
Deportes Tolima reached the playoff stage from second place in the group, collecting eight points and finishing ahead of Uruguay's Nacional only on additional criteria. So just making it to the last 16 of the Copa Libertadores can already be considered a minor achievement.
Assessing Deportes Tolima's current form is not straightforward. Yes, the team have won three of their last five matches, which looks decent, but they last played on 9 August. Due to an earthquake in Colombia, not only the Copa Libertadores match was postponed but also a domestic league game, so the break without competitive action stretched to over a week. On one hand, the players had extra time to recover and prepare; on the other, such a layoff could affect their match rhythm.
Match Results: Tolima
Independiente del Valle Team Overview
Unlike Deportes Tolima, Independiente del Valle played a competitive match last weekend. In the Ecuadorian championship, the team took on Delfín and won 3:2, extending their winning run across all competitions to 13 matches. Their last slip-up came back on 23 May, so they head into the Copa Libertadores match in excellent form.
Independiente del Valle also had a very confident group stage. The team collected 13 points and finished first in their group. Though here too the fine margins mattered: Rosario Central had the same number of points, but the victory over the Argentine club in the final round allowed the Ecuadorians to climb to the top of the table and earn this particular opponent in the round of 16.
Match Results: Independiente del Valle
Latest news
Tolima
✅ Deportes Tolima come into the match without any injury or suspension concerns: there are no players on the injured or suspended list.
Independiente del Valle
🚫 The team have minimal injury concerns: Guido Villar will miss out due to injury.
Prediction for the 1st half
First half stats: Deportes Tolima (home) vs Independiente del Valle (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 3;
- wins: 2 (40%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 3 (60%) vs 3 (100%);
- average goals scored: 0.4 vs 0.67;
- average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.33.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 3 vs 8;
- losses: 3 vs 0;
- draws: 4 vs 2;
- average first half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.2 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0).
- Independiente del Valle have won the first half in 8 consecutive away matches.
Corners Prediction
Deportes Tolima: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.3; at home - 4.6;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; at home - 7.
Independiente del Valle: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 7.67; away - 6.33;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; away - 3.8.
- Total over 8.5 corners has landed in 6 of Deportes Tolima's last 7 home matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Stats: Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- season matches in which both teams scored (hereinafter - BTTS): 1 vs 3;
- Deportes Tolima: BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
- Independiente del Valle: BTTS away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 7 vs 3;
- Deportes Tolima: BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
- Independiente del Valle: BTTS away - 2 (40%).
- Deportes Tolima have scored and conceded in 6 matches in a row.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (21/126, 16.7%);
- Tolima at home most often finish matches: 3:0 (2/5, 40%);
- Independiente del Valle away most often play: 0:0 , 2:0 , 2:3 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.43% (odds 6)
0:1 - 9.75% (odds 7.5)
0:0 - 9.11% (odds 6.8)
⭐ Editor's Pick
According to bookmakers, Independiente del Valle are considered favourites even in this away match alone. However, Deportes Tolima have no reason to be overly cautious at home: if the team is hoping to progress, they need to win on their own ground. At the same time, Independiente del Valle's away matches regularly produce goals - at least two were scored in each of their previous 11 such games. That is why our bet is total over 2 goals. The expected score is 2:2.
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Betting Tips: Tolima - Independiente del Valle
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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