Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction 12 July 2026
π In the Copa de la Liga Peru play-offs, Moquegua take on Deportivo Garcilaso. Both sides are more than capable of producing quality attacking football. While caution often takes precedence in the knockout stages, itβs unlikely that either defence will completely dominate. Expect plenty of exciting moments in this clash.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 23 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Moquegua):
- ball possession percentage: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
π The only previous head-to-head between these sides took place in February this year, with Moquegua coming out on top in a 1-0 victory.
Head-to-head statistics Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso

Moquegua Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Copa de la Liga tournament (home team - FBC Melgar, away team - Moquegua). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here are the game statistics (Moquegua vs FBC Melgar):
- ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 10.
At the moment, the hosts are hardly in top form: over their last five matches, they've suffered two defeats, drawn twice, and managed just a single win. That lone victory, against Bentin Takna (3-2), was enough to secure their spot in the playoffs. The home-field advantage could prove crucial in this fixture, likely encouraging the team to play with greater confidence going forward. Looking at the stats, the hosts have averaged 2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game across their last 10 outings on home soil. Those numbers set the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter.
Match Results: Moquegua

Deportivo Garcilaso Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Copa de la Liga tournament (home team - Deportivo Garcilaso, away - Binacional). The match ended with a score of 4:1.
Here are the game statistics (Deportivo Garcilaso vs Binacional):
- ball possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
Deportivo Garcilaso boast a far stronger record, both over their last five matches and across a ten-game stretch. In their most recent group stage fixture, they cruised to a commanding 4-1 victory against Deportivo Binacional. Lately, Garcilaso have been prolific in front of goal, a trend reflected in their average of 1.6 goals scored per match. Defensively, they concede an average of 0.9 goals. Playing away from home will undoubtedly pose a significant challenge; keeping a clean sheet looks like a tall order. This means theyβll need to rely on their attacking options to stay competitive. The potential is certainly there.
Match Results: Deportivo Garcilaso
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.67;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.67;
- Moquegua: average total at home in the tournament - 3;
- Deportivo Garcilaso: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 2) vs 1.6 (away - 0.75).
- Deportivo Garcilaso have scored under 1.5 goals in last 11 away games.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10 (3 - for home team and 7 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 10 (3 - for home team and 7 - for away team).
Moquegua: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5; at home field - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; at home field - 3.4.
Deportivo Garcilaso: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.67, away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; away - 2.25.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 7 Moquegua home games.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 7 Deportivo Garcilaso games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 0 times.
Statistics: Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 3;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Moquegua at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Deportivo Garcilaso away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Moquegua at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Deportivo Garcilaso away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:0 (7/45, 15.6%);
- Moquegua at home most often finish matches: 3:2 (1/1, 100%);
- Deportivo Garcilaso away most often play: 2:1 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.31% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 9.15% (odds 8.5)
0:1 - 8.34% (odds 8.5)