Gremio vs Corinthians Prediction
🔊 Which of the neighbors will prevail? The 12th round clash between Grêmio and Corinthians, who sit next to each other in the league standings, promises to reveal who currently deserves a spot in the upper half of the championship more. The hosts enter this encounter riding a three-match winning streak, while the visitors are struggling, having gone three games without a victory. According to the odds, Grêmio are favored on their home turf, despite a significant list of injured players. But is this truly the case? And what would be the most insightful prediction for this intriguing matchup? Let's break it down step by step-from current form to team lineups.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between these teams took place on 08 December 2024, ending in a 0-3 defeat. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Grêmio were the home side):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- red cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Grêmio and Corinthians:
- 38 matches played;
- home wins - 11, away wins - 13, draws - 14;
- goals scored - 37 for Grêmio, 34 for Corinthians;
- average first-half total - 0.92, second-half - 0.95;
- average total goals per match - 1.87.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Gremio Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Brazilian Serie A (Juventude at home against Grêmio). The match ended with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Juventude vs Grêmio):
- possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 11 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 9.
🔵 The "Immortal Tricolors" currently sit 12th in the league standings after 11 rounds: 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. They have netted 11 goals (averaging 1 per match) and conceded 14 (an average of 1.3). Three of their four victories have come at their home ground, making their stadium in Porto Alegre a true fortress for the "Musketeers".
🏆 On the international stage, Grêmio continue their campaign in the Copa Sudamericana, having secured second place in Group D to advance to the Round of 16, where they will face the Peruvian side Alianza Lima. However, in the Copa do Brasil, the "Musketeers" were surprisingly knocked out in the Round of 32, losing over two legs to Serie C outfit Centro Sportivo Alagoano.
Match Results: Gremio
Corinthians Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Brazilian Serie A (Corinthians were the hosts, Vitória were the visitors). The match ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Corinthians vs Vitória):
- possession: 71% vs 29%;
- corners: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 8 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
⚪ "Timão" sit just above Grêmio in the standings, sharing the same number of wins, losses, and points. The only factor placing Corinthians higher is their one extra goal scored (12 compared to 11). On average, the team scores 0.9 goals per match and concedes 1.3.
🔗 A major issue for Corinthians is their lack of away victories in the current championship: two draws and three losses. This record makes their upcoming away match against a similarly ranked opponent particularly challenging.
🏆 Unlike Grêmio, Corinthians failed to advance to the knockout stages of the Copa Sudamericana, finishing third in Group C. However, in the Copa do Brasil, they overcame Novorizontino in a two-legged tie and are set to face Palmeiras in the Round of 16.
Match Results: Corinthians
Latest news
Gremio
❌ Gremio's injury list is extensive, presenting significant squad challenges. Midfielders Gustavo Cuéllar (muscle injury) and Edenilson (thigh injury) will definitely miss the match. A number of defenders are also sidelined: Rodrigo Ely (ACL tear), João Pedro (ankle injury), João Lucas (muscle issues), and Igor Cerrote (wrist injury). In the attacking line, Miguel Monsalve is unavailable due to a muscle injury.
❓ The participation of defender Maicon (hamstring injury) remains doubtful, as does winger Francis Amuzu (undisclosed reason) and forward Martin Braithwaite (ankle injury).
Corinthians
❌ Due to back issues, the team's top scorer, Yuri Alberto, will miss the upcoming match. Additionally, defender Gustavo Henrique will be left out of the squad due to a groin injury.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- First-half wins for the home team - 6; for the away team - 3; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 0.92;
- Today's home side averages 0.53 goals, while the visitors average 0.39.
First-Half Stats: Grêmio (home) vs Corinthians (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 5;
- Wins: 2 (33.33%) vs 1 (20%);
- Losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 3 (60%);
- Draws: 3 (50%) vs 1 (20%);
- Average goals scored: 0.67 vs 1.4;
- Average goals conceded: 0.17 vs 1.2.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 3;
- Losses: 0 vs 1;
- Draws: 8 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.2) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2).
- Grêmio have drawn the first half at home in six consecutive matches.
- Corinthians have drawn the first half in six consecutive matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Home wins - 11, Away wins - 13, Draws - 14.
Statistics: Grêmio vs Corinthians
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Victories: 4 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 36% vs 36%;
- Losses: 4 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 4 vs 3.
- Grêmio have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Grêmio are unbeaten at home in their last 7 games.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team averages - 0.97 goals, the visitors - 0.89;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 1.87;
- Both teams scored: overall - 13 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Grêmio vs Corinthians
- Average tournament total: 2.27 vs 2.36;
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.09;
- Average first-half total: 0.64 vs 0.36;
- Average second-half total: 0.36 vs 0.73;
- Grêmio: average home total in the tournament - 1;
- Corinthians: average away total in the tournament - 0.4;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 0.83) vs 1 (away - 0.6).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 14 of Grêmio's last 16 Serie A matches.
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 7 of Corinthians' last 8 away Serie A matches.
Corners Prediction
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.45; at home - 3.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.8; at home - 6.67.
Corinthians: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.18, away - 3.4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5; away - 4.6.
- Total over 8.5 corners has hit in 8 of Grêmio's last 9 home Serie A matches.
- Total over 8.5 corners has hit in Grêmio's last 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Total over 8.5 corners has hit in Corinthians' last 12 of their last 14 matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head meetings - 3.32 (1.66 for the home team and 1.66 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home venue - 3.47 (1.58 for the home team and 1.89 for the visitors).
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3.36; at home - 3.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; at home - 2.5.
Corinthians: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3, away - 3.6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3; away - 3.6.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Both teams scored overall - on 13 occasions;
- At the home team's ground - on 5 occasions.
Statistics: Grêmio vs Corinthians
- Tournament matches played: 11 vs 11;
- Total matches where both teams scored (BTTS): Grêmio - 6, Corinthians - 4;
- Grêmio's BTTS at home - on 3 occasions (50%);
- Corinthians' BTTS away - on 2 occasions (40%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Grêmio - 4, Corinthians - 3;
- Grêmio's BTTS at home - on 2 occasions (33%);
- Corinthians' BTTS away - on 1 occasion (20%).
Editor's Prediction
We anticipate a match featuring tactical prowess from both sides when these two teams clash. Recent stats reveal that Gremio have kept clean sheets in their last four matches, while scoring no more than two goals per game themselves. Meanwhile, Corinthians have failed to find the net in their last three outings. We expect a low-scoring affair and suggest betting on under 2.5 goals.
Betting Tips: Gremio - Corinthians
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
