Modena vs Juve Stabia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 May 2026
📢 In the quarterfinal playoff for promotion to Serie A, Modena and Juve Stabia face off in a match where the stakes couldn't be higher. Both teams have endured a long regular season and now find themselves just a few steps away from the dream of reaching the top division. In encounters like these, emotions, discipline, and the ability to handle pressure often matter as much as current league standings. Who will keep their cool and take the next step towards Serie A?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 22 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Juve Stabia):
- ball possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
- corner kicks: 19 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Modena and Juve Stabia:
- played 4 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 1, draws - 0;
- number of goals - 9 against 3;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.5, in the 2nd half - 1.5;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Modena - Juve Stabia
Modena Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Avellino, away team - Modena). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Modena vs Avellino):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 6;
- fouls: 15 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 8.
Modena finished sixth in the league and have been solid at home. Their recent form over the last five games includes one win, three losses, and a draw. They average 1.29 goals per match while maintaining a strong defensive record, conceding less than one goal per game on average (0.95). In their last ten outings, the team has alternated between victories and setbacks but consistently shows the ability to create scoring opportunities.
Match Results: Modena
Juve Stabia Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Sudtirol, away - Juve Stabia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 8;
- fouls: 7 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 6.
Juve Stabia are positioned just behind Modena in the league standings. The team is known for their solid defense and frequent draws, with eighteen stalemates this season highlighting the balance in their gameplay. Their last five matches have resulted in one win, one loss, and three draws-a clear sign of the team's inconsistency, despite their strong defensive setup.
Match Results: Juve Stabia
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 4;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Modena vs Juve Stabia
- matches played in the tournament: 38 vs 38;
- wins: 15 vs 11;
- win percentage: 39% vs 29%;
- losses: 13 vs 9;
- draws: 10 vs 18.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
- Juve Stabia have not won in last 7 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.25, the guests - 0.75;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Modena vs Juve Stabia
- average total in the tournament: 2.24 vs 2.34;
- average total goals scored: 1.29 vs 1.16;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.58 vs 0.66;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 0.5;
- Modena: average total at home in the tournament - 1.47;
- Juve Stabia: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.6) vs 1.2 (away - 1).
- Modena have conceded in last 8 games (Serie B).
- Juve Stabia have scored in 8 of last 9 games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 14 (4.5 - for home team and 9.5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11 (5 - for home team and 6 - for away team).
Modena: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.29; at home field - 4.32;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 3.
Juve Stabia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.76, away - 3.53;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 2.2.
- Modena have taken under 5.5 corners in last 5 games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 4;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Modena vs Juve Stabia
- number of matches played in the tournament: 38 vs 38;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 21;
- number of BTTS matches for Modena at home - 11 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for Juve Stabia away - 12 (63%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Modena at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Juve Stabia away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (60/380, 15.8%);
- Modena at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (6/19, 31.6%);
- Juve Stabia away most often play: 1:1 (5/19, 26.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.23% (odds 6)
1:0 - 11.23% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 9.9% (odds 6.75)
- Juve Stabia drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 games (Serie B).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Modena and Juve Stabia are well aware of the stakes in their upcoming clash, so an open game with numerous chances is unlikely. Both teams are expected to play cautiously, as a defeat could shatter their dreams of promotion to the elite. Additionally, Juve Stabia's recent matches have been tight affairs, with no more than two goals scored in each of their last five games. Given this scenario, betting on under 2.5 goals seems like a reasonable prediction.
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Betting Tips: Modena - Juve Stabia
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