Dunferml. vs Partick Thistle Prediction 12 May 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Dunfermline approach the playoff semi-final against Partick Thistle with a hectic schedule, yet buoyed by the emotional high of successfully navigating the previous round. Neil Lennon's side continue to fight on two fronts, juggling their playoff campaign for Premiership promotion and their preparations for the Scottish Cup final. Freshness could be a crucial factor in this upcoming clash, as Partick have had more time to recover and showed consistent form at the end of the regular season. In recent head-to-head encounters, Mark Wilson's team have regularly troubled the Pars with intense pressing and aggressive off-the-ball play. However, the home advantage and Lennon's experience in high-stakes matches make Dunfermline a formidable opponent, even amidst their packed schedule.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 11 April 2026 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (home team - Partick Thistle):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 5 vs 2;
    • fouls: 11 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 1.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Dunfermline and Partick Thistle:

    • 48 matches played;
    • home wins - 16, away wins - 20, draws - 12;
    • goals scored - 59 versus 61;
    • average total in the first half - 1.38, second half - 1.13;
    • average total goals per match - 2.5.

    Head-to-head statistics Dunferml. - Partick Thistle

    32%
    16 Wins
    26%
    13 Draws
    42%
    21 Wins
    Total games
    50
    Total Goals Avg
    2.5
    Both teams scored
    44%
    1.22
    Total average
    1.28
    Last matches
    20.10.26
    Championship
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    -
    -
    15.05.26
    Premiership
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    1.50
    0.45
    7
    4
    13
    12
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1.50
    0.45
    7
    4
    13
    12
    1
    1
    12.05.26
    Premiership
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    1.24
    1.12
    8
    2
    8
    12
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.24
    1.12
    8
    2
    8
    12
    0
    1
    11.04.26
    Championship
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    -
    -
    5
    2
    11
    9
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    11
    9
    0
    0
    24.02.26
    Championship
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    Empty
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    Dunfermline Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament, with Arbroath hosting Dunfermline. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Dunfermline vs Arbroath):

    • possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
    • fouls: 11 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 1.

    ⚪ Dunfermline head into the playoff semi-final against Partick Thistle riding a significant wave of momentum. Neil Lennon's squad are battling on dual fronts: the Pars have already secured a spot in the Scottish Cup final and now hold a tangible chance of returning to the Premiership through the playoffs. In the previous round, Dunfermline overcame Arbroath largely due to their organized defensive play and the assured performances of goalkeeper Aston Oxborough, who delivered crucial saves at pivotal moments in the tie.

    ⚫ Within the club, there's an understanding that the congested schedule is beginning to take a toll on the team's physical condition. Lennon has been actively rotating his squad in recent matches, aiming to keep his key players fresh for the decisive stretch of the season. Despite these challenges, Dunfermline remain a highly disciplined side, having conceded just two goals in their last five matches.

    🔗 The atmosphere surrounding the club provides additional confidence for the hosts. Fans are already hailing this season's conclusion as one of the most thrilling in recent years, and Dunfermline are steadily emerging as one of the standout surprises of the Scottish spring.

    Match Results: Dunfermline

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Championship
    Greenock Morton
    Greenock Morton
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    -
    -
    2
    9
    8
    11
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    9
    8
    11
    1
    0
    W
    12.09.26
    Championship
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    Queens Park
    Queens Park
    -
    -
    6
    9
    16
    13
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    9
    16
    13
    4
    2
    W
    05.09.26
    Championship
    Arbroath
    Arbroath
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    -
    -
    3
    5
    13
    9
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    13
    9
    0
    2
    D
    28.08.26
    Championship
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    Raith Rovers
    Raith Rovers
    -
    -
    3
    3
    13
    20
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    13
    20
    2
    1
    W
    22.08.26
    Championship
    Livingston
    Livingston
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    -
    -
    6
    6
    9
    13
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    6
    9
    13
    2
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Partick Thistle Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the Championship, facing off against Partick Thistle as the home side and Queen's Park as the visitors. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the game stats (Partick Thistle vs Queen's Park):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corners: 8 vs 7;
    • fouls: 10 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 4.

    🔴 Partick Thistle head into the playoff semi-final against Dunfermline in fine form, bolstered by a notably more forgiving schedule. Mark Wilson's side have enjoyed more time for preparation and recovery, while their opponents juggle playoff commitments with the Scottish Cup final. The club is banking on their freshness to make a decisive impact in this crucial stage of the season.

    🟡 Throughout the spring, Partick have emerged as one of the most organized teams in the Championship. The Jags have focused on high-intensity pressing and rapid transitions to attack, which has already yielded results in their matchups with Dunfermline earlier in the season. Logan Chalmers and Alex Samuel continue to play pivotal roles in the attack, forming the core around which much of their forward play is built.

    ⚫ However, memories of past playoff disappointments linger in Scotland. Partick Thistle have repeatedly fallen just short of a Premiership return, so this encounter is seen within the club as a chance to finally overturn the frustrating trend of recent years.

    Match Results: Partick Thistle

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Championship
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    Raith Rovers
    Raith Rovers
    -
    -
    9
    4
    10
    17
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    9
    4
    10
    17
    1
    3
    D
    15.09.26
    Championship
    Stenhousemuir
    Stenhousemuir
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    -
    -
    3
    12
    12
    14
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    12
    12
    14
    3
    2
    L
    05.09.26
    Championship
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    Ayr United
    Ayr United
    -
    -
    5
    3
    14
    15
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    14
    15
    2
    3
    W
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    Queens Park
    Queens Park
    -
    -
    19
    2
    7
    11
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    19
    2
    7
    11
    1
    2
    D
    21.08.26
    Championship
    Inverness
    Inverness
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    15
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    15
    1
    2
    D
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 48;
    • Home wins - 16, Away wins - 20, Draws - 12.
    Trends
    • Partick Thistle have drawn their last 3 away matches.
    👉Prediction: Draw (odds: 3.4)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches (average total):

    • Home team - 1.23, Away team - 1.27;
    • Overall head-to-head average - 2.5;
    • Both teams scored: all-time - 20 times; at the home team's ground - 8 times.
    Trends
    • Total under 2.5 goals has occurred in Dunfermline's last 6 matches.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5) (odds: 1.8)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 48;
    • Both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 8 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.95)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams enter the playoff semifinal in contrasting emotional and physical conditions. Dunfermline are riding high after reaching the Scottish Cup final and successfully navigating the previous playoff round. However, Neil Lennon's side is starting to feel the effects of their congested schedule. Partick Thistle, on the other hand, appear more balanced and prepared for a two-legged tie. Mark Wilson's team has had more time to recover and has repeatedly troubled the Pars this season with their intense pressing and aggressive off-the-ball play.

    Expecting an open game from the outset would be unrealistic. The stakes are too high, and in such matches, teams often prioritize caution and control. Considering the nature of their recent head-to-head encounters and the pressure of the playoff stage, betting on under 2.5 goals seems the most logical choice.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Odds-125
    Published: 11/05/2026, 12:34

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    Betting Tips: Dunfermline - Partick Thistle

    Partick Thistle have drawn:
    partick-thistlein last 3 away games.
    Draw
    Bovada
    +205
    Dunfermline have not lost:
    dunfermline-athleticin 9 of last 10 home games.
    Dunfermline will not lose
    Everygame
    -204
    Dunfermline have not won:
    dunfermline-athleticpartick-thistlein 8 of last 9 games against Partick Thistle.
    dunfermline-athleticpartick-thistlein last 6 home games against Partick Thistle.
    Partick Thistle have not lost:
    partick-thistlein 17 of last 18 games.
    partick-thistlein 8 of last 9 away games.
    Partick Thistle will not lose
    Everygame
    -244
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    dunfermline-athleticin last 6 Dunfermline games.
    in 8 of last 9 Duncan Nicolson games (in the Premiership).
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -154
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 6
    +7
    +2
    8 - Scored
    6 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    3
    2
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    8
    6
    Conceded
    6
    1.9
    Match goals average
    1.4
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    0.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.6
    3
    Both teams scored
    3
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats