Melbourne vs Well. Phoenix Prediction
🔊 The upcoming 24th round A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix promises to be intense. Both teams sit in the middle of the standings, making their encounter even more crucial for improving their positions. Melbourne City show mixed form with two wins in their last five matches, while Wellington Phoenix are confident on the road, avoiding defeat in six of their last seven games.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Wellington Phoenix):
- ball possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix:
- played 45 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 22, for the away team - 14, draws - 9;
- number of goals (home/away) - 81 against 51;
- average total goals in the match - 2.93.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Melbourne City Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Melbourne City, away team - Central Coast Mariners). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners):
- ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Melbourne City are currently sitting in 6th place on the table, displaying inconsistent form with three wins and one loss in their last five matches. The team has shown a knack for scoring but often suffers from a vulnerable defense. On average, they score 1.17 goals per match while conceding slightly more at 1.26 goals. This suggests that the team needs to bolster their defense to achieve more consistent results.
Match Results: Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Melbourne Victory, away - Wellington Phoenix). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 7;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Wellington Phoenix sit in 8th place and are eager to climb higher in the standings. Their away form has been impressive, as they remain unbeaten in six of their last seven road games and have scored in all eleven consecutive away matches this A-League season. With an average of 1.48 goals per game, their attacking prowess is evident, though their defense remains a concern, conceding nearly two goals per match.
Match Results: Wellington Phoenix
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 45;
- home team wins - 22, away team wins - 14, draws - 9.
Statistics: Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix
- matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- wins: 8 vs 8;
- win percentage: 35% vs 35%;
- losses: 7 vs 9;
- draws: 8 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games (A-League).
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (A-League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.8, the guests - 1.13;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.93;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix
- average total in the tournament: 2.43 vs 3.26;
- average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.48;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.61 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.57 vs 0.96;
- Melbourne City: average total at home in the tournament - 1.36;
- Wellington Phoenix: average total away in the tournament - 1.55;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.4) vs 1.3 (away - 1.4).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Melbourne City home games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 7 Melbourne City games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Melbourne City home games (A-League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Melbourne City games (A-League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Wellington Phoenix games (A-League).
Prediction on corners
Melbourne City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.91; at home field - 6.82;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 5.
Wellington Phoenix: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.22, away - 4.45;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 5.8.
- Wellington Phoenix have taken over 3.5 corners in last 6 games (A-League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 45;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Melbourne City at home - 5 (45%);
- number of BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix away - 8 (73%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Melbourne City at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/139, 12.2%);
- Melbourne City at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:3 , 2:1 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Wellington Phoenix away most often play: 1:1 , 2:2 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.95% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 10.4% (odds 8)
2:1 - 10.04% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering current trends, Wellington Phoenix hold a clear advantage due to their impressive away form and consistent scoring ability on the road. The trend shows that the team has managed to score at least once in each of their last eleven away matches, supported by an average of 1.3 goals per game. Therefore, betting on Wellington's individual total over 1 goal appears to be the most reasonable prediction.
Betting Tips: Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
