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Melbourne vs Well. Phoenix Prediction
🔊 Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix are preparing for another encounter, which will take place on January 3, 2025. Melbourne City, occupying a higher position in the table, is showing stable form with a series of three draws, one win, and one loss. Their average scoring rate is 2 goals per match, making them the favorites with odds of 1.79 to win. Wellington Phoenix, on the other hand, has shown less consistent results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, reflected in their odds of 4.15 to win. The match is expected to be tense, considering the past head-to-head history of the teams.
Head-to-Head
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix:
- played 41 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 19, for the away team - 14, draws - 8;
- number of goals (home/away) - 75 against 49;
- average total goals in the match - 3.02.
The last time the sides met was at the home ground of Melbourne City. The match took place on 09 March 2024 and ended with a score of 1:0.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
50%
23 Wins
20%
9 Draws
30%
14 Wins
Total games
46
Total Goals Avg
2.91
Both teams scored
52%
1.8
Total average
1.11
1.7
Yellow cards
1.52
Last matches
03.01.25
A-League
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
1.28
0.11
4
0
7
4
1
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
1.28
0.11
4
0
7
4
1
0
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Melbourne City Team Overview
🏆Throughout the A-League season, the team Melbourne City has engaged in 9 fixtures, resulting in:
- 4 wins,
- 2 losses,
- 2 draws.
📈Currently, Melbourne City stands at a mid-tier position within the A-League standings, with a win percentage of 44% and a loss percentage of 22%.
⚽️Melbourne City has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end, Melbourne City has allowed 10 goals over the season.
Match Results: Melbourne City
Last matches
02.05.26
A-League
Auckland FC
Melbourne City
0.77
1.09
3
6
9
13
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
7
6
0.77
1.09
3
6
9
13
2
0
L
26.04.26
A-LeagueMelbourne City
Adelaide United
1
0.87
2.72
3
10
11
13
5
2
1
2
1
0
0
2
0.87
2.72
3
10
11
13
5
2
L
18.04.26
A-League
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City
-
-
3
5
14
14
0
2
2
3
1
0
1
3
-
-
3
5
14
14
0
2
W
12.04.26
A-LeagueMelbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
2.74
0.54
3
9
13
10
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
2.74
0.54
3
9
13
10
4
1
W
07.04.26
A-LeagueMelbourne City
Central Coast Mariners
2.9
1.7
5
4
11
7
1
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
2.9
1.7
5
4
11
7
1
1
W
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Wellington Phoenix Team Overview
🏆Throughout the A-League season, the team Wellington Phoenix has engaged in 9 fixtures, resulting in:
- 4 wins,
- 4 losses,
- 1 draws.
📈Currently, Wellington Phoenix stands at a mid-tier position within the A-League standings, with a win percentage of 44% and a loss percentage of 44%.
⚽Wellington Phoenix has scored a total of 12 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 12 goals over the season.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- home team wins - 19, away team wins - 14, draws - 8.
Statistics: Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix
- number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- number of wins: 4 vs 4;
- win percentage: 44% vs 44%;
- number of losses: 2 vs 4;
- number of draws: 3 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 4;
- number of losses: 3 vs 5;
- number of draws: 3 vs 1.
Trends
- Wellington Phoenix wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 13 of the last 14 away games.
- Wellington Phoenix wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 12 of the last 13 A-League away games.
- Wellington Phoenix wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 27 of the last 29 games.
- Wellington Phoenix wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 26 of the last 28 A-League games.
👉Prediction: Wellington Phoenix Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.39)
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.83, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.02;
- both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix
- average total in the tournament: 2.89 vs 2.67;
- average total goals scored: 1.78 vs 1.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.89 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.89 vs 0.67;
- Melbourne City: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Wellington Phoenix: average total away in the tournament - 1.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 1) vs 1.2 (away - 1.4).
Trends
- Melbourne City conceded in the 2nd half in each of their last 5 A-League games.
- Wellington Phoenix scored in the 2nd half in each of their last 4 away games.
- Wellington Phoenix scored in the 2nd half in 6 of the last 7 A-League away games.
👉Prediction: 2nd half, Wellington Phoenix will score goal(odds: 1.95)
Prediction on corners
Melbourne City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.33; at home field - 6.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 6.33.
Wellington Phoenix: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.22, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; away - 3.6.
Trends
- There have been under 11.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 Melbourne City home games in the A-League.
- There have been under 11.5 corners in 7 of the last 8 Melbourne City games in the A-League.
👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (11.5)
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.36 (1.68 for home team and 1.68 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.7 (1.8 for home team and 1.9 for away team).
Melbourne City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.44; at home - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.3; at home - 1.
Wellington Phoenix: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.11, away - 2.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1; away - 1.8.
👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (2.5)(odds: 1.32)
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix
- number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Melbourne City at home - 2 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix away - 2 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Melbourne City at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix away - 2 (40%).
👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.61)
Match Results: Wellington Phoenix
Last matches
24.04.26
A-League
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
2.54
1.16
8
6
10
16
2
2
4
0
3
0
1
0
2.54
1.16
8
6
10
16
2
2
L
18.04.26
A-LeagueWellington Phoenix
Western Sydney
-
-
10
4
14
9
1
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
-
-
10
4
14
9
1
0
W
12.04.26
A-LeagueMelbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
2.74
0.54
3
9
13
10
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
2.74
0.54
3
9
13
10
4
1
L
05.04.26
A-League
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0.37
1.6
7
8
14
13
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0.37
1.6
7
8
14
13
2
1
W
21.03.26
A-LeagueBrisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
1.84
1.79
7
10
7
7
4
2
1
2
1
1
0
1
1.84
1.79
7
10
7
7
4
2
W
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Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form and statistics of both teams, the match between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix promises to be interesting. Melbourne City, with the advantage of home ground and a higher average scoring rate, is likely to aim for a win. However, Wellington Phoenix is also capable of surprising, especially given their recent victories. Taking into account Wellington's tendency for low scoring in away matches, as well as the average scoring in previous encounters between these teams, a prediction for a total under 3.5 goals seems justified. The odds for this outcome might offer value for bets, especially considering the trend in Wellington's recent games. The confidence level in such a prediction is about 70%, making it an attractive option for analysis.
Our choice
Total goals Under (3.5) at odds of -222*
*The odds are relevant for the time of publication (1 January 2025, 11:11)
Betting Tips: Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix
Over 1.5 goals scored
in last 6 Melbourne City games (A-League).in 9 of last 10 Wellington Phoenix games (A-League).in 8 of last 9 Wellington Phoenix games.in 6 of last 7 Wellington Phoenix away games (A-League).in last 7 Shaun Evans games.
in last 5 Shaun Evans games (in the A-League).
Total goals Over (1.5)
-357
Melbourne City conceded in the 2nd half
in last 5 games (A-League).Wellington Phoenix scored in the 2nd half
in 6 of last 7 away games (A-League).in last 4 away games.2nd half, Wellington Phoenix will score goal
+106
Under 3.5 goals scored
in 18 of last 19 Wellington Phoenix games.in 17 of last 18 Wellington Phoenix games (A-League).in 12 of last 13 Wellington Phoenix away games.in 11 of last 12 Wellington Phoenix away games (A-League).Total goals Under (3.5)
-333
Melbourne City have scored
in 15 of last 16 games.in 14 of last 15 games (A-League).Melbourne City will score goal
-556
Comparison of Teams Stats
10 matches
5 - Wins
2 - Draws
3 - Loses
Wins - 4
Draws - 2
Loses - 4
10 matches
Scored - 14
Conceded - 10
+4
-7
10 - Scored
17 - Conceded
5
Wins4
2
Draws2
3
Loses4
Goal difference
14
Scored10
10
Conceded17
2.4
Match goals average2.7
1.4
Goals scored per match on average1
1
Goals conceded per match on average1.7
5
Both teams scored4
66'
Minutes / Goal scored90'
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