Burgos vs Sporting Gijon Prediction 11 April 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Burgos and Sporting promises to be a tense affair. Both teams sit at the top end of the table, making this encounter particularly crucial in terms of league standings. Burgos have shown defensive solidity, conceding just 0.5 goals on average over their last 10 matches. Meanwhile, Sporting are working to boost their attacking stats, averaging 1.2 goals per game.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sporting Gijon):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Burgos CF and Sporting Gijon:
- played 9 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 4, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 5 against 9;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.56, in the 2nd half - 1;
- average total goals in the match - 1.56.
Head-to-head statistics Burgos - Sporting Gijon

Burgos CF Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Segunda División, with Albacete as the home side and Burgos as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-2 victory for the visitors.
Here's a breakdown of the match stats (Burgos vs Albacete):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 17 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Burgos sit in seventh place, thanks to their solid defense and organized play. The team have won five of their last ten matches, losing just once, which underscores their good form and defensive prowess. In their last five outings, they have secured three victories and drawn twice, demonstrating resilience against defeats. However, it's worth noting their low scoring rate-averaging less than 1.5 goals per game in most encounters with Sporting.
Match Results: Burgos CF

Sporting Gijon Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Segunda División, where Sporting hosted Real Sociedad B. The game ended 1-0.
Here are the match statistics (Sporting vs. Real Sociedad B):
- possession: 56% vs. 44%;
- corners: 8 vs. 3;
- fouls: 7 vs. 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs. 3;
- shots on target: 11 vs. 2.
Sporting sit in ninth place, eager to climb higher in the league standings. Despite inconsistent results-three wins, four draws, and three losses in their last ten matches-the team displays impressive attacking prowess. Their recent games include back-to-back victories, indicating a return to form after a series of setbacks.
Match Results: Sporting Gijon
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 4, draws - 3.
Statistics: Burgos CF vs Sporting Gijon
- matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- wins: 16 vs 14;
- win percentage: 47% vs 41%;
- losses: 9 vs 13;
- draws: 9 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
- Burgos CF have not lost in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Burgos CF have not lost in last 8 home games (Segunda División).
- Burgos CF have not lost in last 7 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.56, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.56;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Burgos CF vs Sporting Gijon
- average total in the tournament: 2.06 vs 2.59;
- average total goals scored: 1.21 vs 1.32;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.56;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.65 vs 0.76;
- Burgos CF: average total at home in the tournament - 1.29;
- Sporting Gijon: average total away in the tournament - 1.07;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 2) vs 1.2 (away - 0.5).
- Burgos CF have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games against Sporting Gijon (Segunda División).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.55 (5.33 - for home team and 5.22 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 13.25 (7.5 - for home team and 5.75 - for away team).
Burgos CF: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.74; at home field - 3.94;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; at home field - 5.
Sporting Gijon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.88, away - 4.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 4.25.
- Burgos CF have taken under 5.5 corners in last 5 games against Sporting Gijon (Segunda División).
- Burgos CF have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.56 (2.78 for home team and 2.78 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.75 (3.75 for home team and 2 for away team).
Burgos CF: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.74; at home - 2.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 1.75.
Sporting Gijon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.35, away - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 1.
- Over 3.5 yellow cards in last 8 Burgos CF games (Segunda División).
- Over 3.5 yellow cards in 7 of last 8 Sporting Gijon games (Segunda División).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Burgos CF vs Sporting Gijon
- number of matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Burgos CF at home - 7 (41%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Gijon away - 7 (47%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Burgos CF at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Sporting Gijon away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (49/374, 13.1%);
- Burgos CF at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (4/17, 23.5%);
- Sporting Gijon away most often play: 1:0 (4/15, 26.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.75% (odds 5.6)
1:0 - 13.22% (odds 5.65)
0:0 - 11.5% (odds 6.75)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming match, Burgos will face a tough challenge breaking through Sporting's defense, especially given their past struggles to score against this opponent (fewer than 1.5 goals). Considering Burgos' trend of low offensive output against Sporting, betting on Burgos' individual total under 1.5 goals seems like a well-founded prediction.