Benfica vs Nacional Prediction 12 April 2026
🔊 The match promises to be intriguing from both a tactical standpoint and in terms of tournament motivation. Benfica, currently third in the standings, are eager to solidify their position in the title race. The team have shown impressive form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Nacional de Madeira are fighting for survival, sitting at 15th place, making every match crucial for them.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these teams took place on 29 November 2025 and ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (with Nacional de Madeira as the home side):
- possession percentage: 30% vs 70%;
- corners: 2 vs 11;
- fouls: 10 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 8.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Benfica and Nacional:
- 32 matches played;
- home wins - 26, away wins - 2, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 83 to 21;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 1.28, in the 2nd half - 1.97;
- average total goals per match - 3.25.
Head-to-head statistics Benfica - Nacional
Benfica Lisbon Team Overview
The last official match was played on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Casa Pia at home against Benfica. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Benfica vs Casa Pia):
- possession: 78% vs 22%;
- corners: 12 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Benfica are in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches. The team confidently holds the 3rd spot in the standings and is pushing towards the top. Offensively, Benfica show consistency with an average of 2.11 goals per game, while their defense is reliable, conceding just 0.64 goals on average per match. The club's dominance is underscored by recent victories and strong performances both at home and away. Key players maintain a high tempo, making Benfica the favorites for the upcoming fixture.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon
Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, with Nacional de Madeira hosting Estrela. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Nacional de Madeira vs Estrela):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Nacional de Madeira are currently 15th in the standings, forcing them to fight for every point. The team has been inconsistent, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Their attack struggles with scoring, averaging less than one goal per game (0.9). Defensively, they are not particularly solid either, conceding more than one goal on average (1.1) per match. However, their ability to play away games with a total of under 3.5 goals suggests they can maintain a tight defense and limit opponents' scoring opportunities.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 32;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 11; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.28;
- Today's home team scores on average 1.09, while the visitors net 0.19.
First-Half Stats: Benfica Lisbon (home) vs Nacional de Madeir (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 9 (64.29%) vs 4 (28.57%);
- losses: 1 (7.14%) vs 4 (28.57%);
- draws: 4 (28.57%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- Average goals scored: 1.71 vs 0.86;
- Average goals conceded: 0.43 vs 0.43.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.3).
- Benfica Lisbon have won the 1st half in 8 of last 9 home games against Nacional de Madeir.
- Benfica Lisbon have won the 1st half in last 7 home games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 26, away team wins - 2, draws - 4.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Nacional de Madeir
- matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- wins: 19 vs 6;
- win percentage: 68% vs 21%;
- losses: 0 vs 15;
- draws: 9 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Benfica Lisbon won with a -1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 home games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.59, the guests - 0.66;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.25;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Nacional de Madeir
- average total in the tournament: 2.75 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 2.11 vs 1.11;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.11 vs 0.68;
- Benfica Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament - 2.36;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total away in the tournament - 0.86;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.5).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in last 6 games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in last 11 games.
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games (Primeira Liga).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in last 5 home games.
Prediction on corners
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.86; at home field - 6.79;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.8; at home field - 6.8.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.32, away - 3.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 3.5.
- Nacional de Madeir have taken over 2.5 corners in last 5 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Nacional de Madeir
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 8 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 8 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (25/250, 10%);
- Benfica Lisbon at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 3:0 (3/14, 21.4%);
- Nacional de Madeir away most often play: 1:1 (4/14, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.75% (odds 11)
2:0 - 12.92% (odds 7)
3:0 - 9.96% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering their current form and past encounters, Benfica are well-positioned for another convincing victory. The team shows consistency both in attack and defense. Nacional, on the other hand, are struggling in both offense and defense. The trend highlights Benfica's advantage when playing at home against this opponent with a handicap of (-1.5). Combining this trend with the form of both teams, betting on Benfica to win with a handicap of (-1.5) appears to be the most logical choice.No comments
Betting Tips: Benfica Lisbon - Nacional de Madeir
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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