Monaco vs Marseille Prediction 12 April 2025
🔊 In the 29th round of Ligue 1, Marseille will travel to the Louis II Stadium in Monaco. The outcome of this match could see someone losing their direct ticket to the Champions League. Four teams are breathing down their necks: Strasbourg, Lyon, Nice, and Lille. Therefore, we can expect an uncompromising, thrilling end-to-end match-neither side will settle for a draw.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Monaco and Marseille:
- 38 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 16, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 66 against 60;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.61, in the second half - 1.71;
- average total goals per match - 3.32.
The last game took place on 01 December 2024 at Marseille's ground and ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Monaco - Marseille
Monaco Team Overview
🔴 Monaco's sole objective for the remainder of the season is to secure a 2nd or 3rd place finish in Ligue 1, ensuring direct qualification for the Champions League group stage. The next two fixtures will be crucial as they face direct rivals. Monaco trail 2nd-placed Marseille by 2 points and hold a 1-point lead over 4th-placed Strasbourg. Additionally, they have a match against another contender, Lyon, who are 2 points behind Monaco. Any slip-up could prove costly.
🔗 The main striker for the Monégasques faces an unusual suspension for this match. The league's disciplinary committee has banned Breel Embolo (5+4) for one game due to inappropriate behavior in the Monaco vs. Nice derby (2-1).
❌ For the upcoming match, striker Breel Embolo and central defender Christian Mawissa are suspended. Right-back Jordan Teze and defensive midfielder Soungoutou Magassa have been long-term absentees due to injury. Additionally, backup left-back Kassoum Ouattara will be unavailable due to injury.
Match Results: Monaco
Olympique Marseille Team Overview
Ⓜ The "Southerners" currently sit second in Ligue 1, but it's too early to relax. With six matches remaining, they could still slip down to seventh place. The team seems to have regained their footing with a 3-2 victory over Toulouse following three consecutive defeats. Marseille's head coach Roberto De Zerbi notes that his squad played with the right mindset in their recent match. Previously, mental issues were affecting their performance. We'll see if they've managed to fully overcome this crisis.
📉 Marseille have conceded 38 goals already, marking their worst defensive record after 28 rounds since the 1984/85 season.
❌ Due to injuries, team captain and center-back Leonardo Balerdi, forward Amine Gouiri, and center-back Luiz Felipe will not play. Goalkeeper Ruben Blanco has been sidelined with a long-term injury.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 16, draws - 8.
Statistics: Monaco vs Olympique Marseille
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of wins: 15 vs 16;
- win percentage: 54% vs 57%;
- number of losses: 8 vs 8;
- number of draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 5;
- number of losses: 4 vs 5;
- number of draws: 2 vs 0.
- Monaco have not lost in 7 of last 8 home games (Ligue 1).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.74, the guests - 1.58;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.32;
- both teams scored: overall - 28; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Monaco vs Olympique Marseille
- average total in the tournament: 3.18 vs 3.39;
- average total goals scored: 1.93 vs 2.04;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.18 vs 1.36;
- Monaco: average total at home in the tournament - 2.36;
- Olympique Marseille: average total away in the tournament - 2.07;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 3) vs 1.7 (away - 0.8).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Monaco home games against Olympique Marseille.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Monaco home games (Ligue 1).
Prediction on corners
Monaco: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.68; at home field - 5.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 6.25.
Olympique Marseille: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.14, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.7; away - 8.4.
- Monaco have taken under 4.5 corners in their last 7 games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.22 (2.11 for home team and 2.11 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.39 (2.39 for home team and 2 for away team).
Monaco: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.68; at home - 1.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.5; at home - 1.75.
Olympique Marseille: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.68, away - 1.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 1.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 7 of last 8 Olympique Marseille games (Ligue 1).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 28 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Monaco vs Olympique Marseille
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Monaco at home - 9 (64%);
- number of BTTS matches for Olympique Marseille away - 8 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Monaco at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Olympique Marseille away - 2 (40%).
- Monaco have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against Olympique Marseille.
- Monaco have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
- Monaco have scored and conceded in their last 5 games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
Editorial Prediction
Both teams boast powerful attacking lines and have exchanged goals in their last five head-to-head encounters. Marseille have found the net in their last three matches, while Monaco have done so in their last seven games. Given this scenario, the most reasonable bet appears to be both teams to score (yes).No comments
Betting Tips: Monaco - Olympique Marseille
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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