Genoa vs Parma Prediction 12 January 2025

🔊 Can Genoa confirm their status as favorites in the upcoming clash? The team has been in excellent form, suffering only 1 defeat in the last 9 matches. However, wins are also scarce - only 3. But Parma, who are neighbors with the "Griffin" in the Serie A standings (13th and 14th places respectively), are not willing to share points. In this situation, we will try to analyze all the details to provide you with an accurate prediction for the match that will take place at the "Luigi Ferraris".

📊 Head-to-Head

In head-to-head encounters, the teams are almost at parity. Over a span of 27 matches, Genoa achieved a positive result in 8 cases, Parma won 10 times, and 9 games ended in a draw. In the last meeting on November 4th, the "Crusaders" suffered a rather unexpected home defeat (0-1), showing a frankly weak performance.

🔴 Genoa

Genoa continues to pick up points in almost every match. "Griffin" fans may only be dissatisfied with the fact that their favorite team too often ends matches in a draw. The game against Lecce (0-0) on January 5th was no exception. Overall, it's a decent result for Genoa, especially considering that Patrick Vieira's squad initially chose a defensive tactic and relied on quick counterattacks. With four shots on goal in 90 minutes, it's hard to count on success, even if according to the xG metric they played for 1.04 goals. It's difficult to say what kind of football the "Griffin" will play in the upcoming clash, but a large number of injuries (with 7 players in the infirmary, including Vitinho and Caleb Ekuban) will definitely make their adjustments.

⚫ Parma

Judging by Parma's game, it seems that Fabio Pecchia will be dismissed from his position as head coach very soon. Lately, the team has been showing extremely low-quality football and is gaining points only thanks to their goalkeeper. The "Crusaders", who miraculously defeated Monza (2-1) at the end of December, managed to take points from Torino as well (0-0). Four great saves by Zion Suzuki allowed Parma to earn one point, which is very needed in the fight for survival. Conceding one goal would have likely changed the course of the game, considering various attacking metrics, including xG (0.39). Regarding the upcoming clash, the coaching staff will not be able to rely on 5 players, including Gabriel Charpentier.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Under Patrick Vieira's leadership, Genoa has become much more confident on their side of the pitch. If under Alberto Gilardino the team conceded in almost every game, now they have significantly increased the number of clean sheets. For example, in 4 out of the last 6 matches, the "Griffin" managed to keep their goal intact. Considering the result of the head-to-head meeting from the first round, a bet on both teams to score (no) can be made.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Genoa does not aim to earn many corners at their opponent's goal. The team consistently picks up points without it. It is not surprising that in this statistical category, the "Griffin" ranks among the lowest. Patrick Vieira's squad averages 3.9 corners per match, with lower figures only for Venezia (3.3) and Monza (3.8). Despite being considered favorites in the upcoming clash, significant deviations from these numbers should not be expected. Our betting option is Genoa total corners under 5.5.

📝 Editorial Prediction

Bookmakers have no doubt that Genoa will secure a victory in the upcoming clash. We certainly share their opinion but are not ready to take such big risks yet. Especially since Parma is a very fortunate team, considering their results in the last two matches. Instead, our editorial team will settle on an option with total goals under 2.5. As already noted, Patrick Vieira's squad plays as reliably as possible in defense. In the last 6 matches, they conceded only 3 goals, with 2 of them scored by such a formidable opponent as Napoli (1-2). However, Genoa itself does not shine in attack - only 4 goals over the same period. In general, a 0-0 scoreline on the board would not surprise anyone; after all, it's the "Griffin's" favorite result in recent games (3/6).