Tunisia vs Libya Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
๐ Tunisia host Libya in a fierce North African derby in the third round of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. After two rounds in September, the situation in Group H is highly uncertain. The hosts have gone eight matches without a win and risk seriously jeopardising their chances of advancing from the group. Nevertheless, their opponentsโ difficulties give Tunisia a good chance to end their long winless run.
Home side dominance
๐ The two sides have met occasionally in recent competitive fixtures. In the previous Africa Cup of Nations qualifying campaign, Tunisia beat Libya twice without conceding in March 2023 - 3-0 at home and 1-0 away.
Head-to-head statistics Tunisia - Libya
The crisis drags on
Tunisia are going through one of their toughest spells in decades. After a disastrous World Cup campaign, in which they lost all three group matches by an aggregate score of 2:12, there was another change to the coaching staff. The reset has yet to produce results, however: in September, the group favourites could not find a winner against either Uganda (1-1) or Botswana (2-2).
The hostsโ main problem is that they have lost their usual defensive reliability. Tunisia have conceded in seven consecutive competitive and friendly matches, while their reliance on a high press and possession has regularly left gaps in defensive midfield when opponents move forward.
Match Results: Tunisia
Character doesn't win matches
Libya also entered the November international window in poor form, having gone five matches without a win in all competitions (four draws and one defeat). At the start of the qualifying campaign, Libya showed resilience at home to Botswana, equalising in the sixth minute of added time, but then lost 1-0 away to Uganda.
Away from home, Libya play firmly on the counter, setting up a compact five-man defence when they lose possession. The team can also make the most of rare chances and opponentsโ mistakes in midfield - they scored twice in two of their last three matches.
Match Results: Libya
๐จ Yellow cards prediction
North African derbies are traditionally tense affairs with plenty of robust challenges, regardless of the teamsโ current form. Both sides desperately need points to improve their position in the standings, and the hostsโ frustration after a run of poor results will only make the contest more heated. Prediction - Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.
โฝ Goals prediction
Despite their reputation as defensively minded teams, both sides have shown a clear tendency towards high-scoring football in the current qualifying campaign. Tunisia have conceded three goals in two home matches against Uganda and Botswana, and their run of matches without a clean sheet has reached seven. Libya showed in September that they can punish defensive mistakes even with few chances. We expect both teams to score and an open game. Prediction - Both Teams to Score - Yes, odds 2.72*.
๐ฉ Corners prediction
The standings situation requires Tunisia to take control of the ball from the opening minutes and put pressure on the visitorsโ goal. In away matches against stronger opponents, Libya deliberately sit deep and clear the ball behind for a corner without hesitation. The visitors also regularly win set pieces on the counter-attack, as shown by the nine corners they took in their recent match against Botswana. Prediction: Total Corners - Over 8.5, odds 1.85*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
โญ๏ธ Editorโs Prediction
Both national teams head into the derby on lengthy winless runs and in urgent need of points. Despite their deep slump in form, Tunisia have considerably more individual quality than their neighbours and have traditionally performed well against Libya in Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. However, the hostsโ current defence is too vulnerable to expect a win to nil. The visitors may also manage to create chances of their own. The main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2. The correct score prediction is 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Tunisia - Libya
in 9 of last 10 away games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
in last 8 games.in last 6 games against Libya.in 12 of last 13 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in 9 of last 10 away games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
in 10 of last 11 games.in 11 of last 12 away games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).Comparison of Teams Stats
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