Mozambique vs Ethiopia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
🔊 Mozambique host Ethiopia this Friday. Going into the third round of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying, the sides are at opposite ends of their group: the hosts are level with Senegal at the top, while the visitors sit bottom with no points and no goals scored. Will Ethiopia finally end their goal drought?
Head-to-Head
📊 In recent official competitions, these national teams have met only once: in January 2023, their African Nations Championship match ended in a goalless draw (0-0).
Head-to-head statistics Mozambique - Ethiopia
Strong start to qualifying
Mozambique were the standout team in their qualifying group during the September international window. They first took points off star-studded Senegal (1-1), then thrashed Sudan (4-1) on the same pitch four days later. Now they are ready to build on that success with a win over Ethiopia.
At home, Mozambique play boldly and score freely, relying on a high tempo and quick moves from midfield into the final third. They do not sit back even against top opponents and regularly punish the slightest lapse in defensive concentration.
Match Results: Mozambique
Away form crisis
Johannes Sahle’s side cruised through the preliminary round but have hit a wall in the group stage. Ethiopia suffered two identical 1-0 defeats in the opening two matches, away to Sudan and at home to Senegal. Their main problem is in attack: they have failed to score in 180 minutes of the current qualifying campaign and have taken no points from four of their last five away matches in all competitions.
Away from home, Ethiopia do not contest possession and set up in a compact low block. The visitors rely primarily on strict positional discipline and try to make the most of rare opportunities from set pieces.
Match Results: Ethiopia
⚽ Goals prediction
Mozambique’s attacking potential at home and Ethiopia’s persistent problems creating chances point to a clear pattern for this match. Mozambique scored five goals in two home qualifying matches, while the visitors have clear problems converting chances. It will be extremely difficult for Ethiopia to break down the hosts’ organised defence, while Mozambique are quite capable of scoring a couple of goals themselves. Prediction - Total Goals - Under 2.5, odds 1.61*.
🚩 Corners prediction
Mozambique will take control of the ball from the opening whistle and spend most of the match applying sustained pressure around their opponents’ penalty area. Under sustained pressure, Ethiopia’s defence prefer not to take risks when playing the ball out and regularly relieve the pressure by clearing it behind for corners. The hosts’ territorial dominance will naturally give them a sizeable advantage in corners. Prediction - Mozambique - Corners Handicap -1.5.
🟨 Yellow card prediction
In away matches against opponents with superior pace, Ethiopia are forced to disrupt the tempo with minor fouls in midfield. The home side’s highly mobile attacking unit will regularly leave the visitors’ defenders late into challenges. The pattern of play points to the away side receiving more yellow cards. Prediction - Ethiopia to receive more yellow cards than their opponents.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Prediction
The two teams come into this match with different levels of confidence and effectiveness in front of goal. At home, Mozambique have already proved their quality against Senegal (1-1) and Sudan (4-1), hitting excellent attacking form. Ethiopia will surely try to keep the game as tight as possible, as they have in previous matches. The difference in finishing and home advantage should give the hosts a comfortable three points. The main prediction is Mozambique to win. Correct score prediction: 2-0.
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Betting Tips: Mozambique - Ethiopia
in 8 of last 9 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in 21 of last 23 away games.
in 8 of last 9 Mozambique games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in last 5 Mozambique games.in 6 of last 7 Ethiopia away games.
in 15 of last 17 home games.in last 8 home games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in 12 of last 14 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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