11.10.26

13:00

RFS vs Jelgava Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026

🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams FC RFS and Jelgava are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 13:00. The tournament match Virsliga will take place in the city of Riga at the Stadions Arkadija stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team FC RFS being the favorite of the match.

Head-to-Head

📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams FC RFS and Jelgava:

played 39 matches;
number of wins for the home team - 30, for the away team - 5, draws - 4;
number of goals - 73 against 21;
average total in the 1st half - 1.23, in the 2nd half - 1.18;
average total goals in the match - 2.41.

Head-to-head statistics RFS - Jelgava

77%

30 Wins

10%

4 Draws

13%

5 Wins

Total games

Avg. total goals

2.41

Both teams scored

23%

1.87

Average total

0.54

Last matches

20.07.26

Virsliga

Jelgava

FC RFS

12.07.26

Latvia Cup

FC RFS

Jelgava

21.05.26

Virsliga

FC RFS

Jelgava

08.04.26

Virsliga

Jelgava

FC RFS

13.09.25

Virsliga

FC RFS

Jelgava

2.51

0.9

2.51

0.9

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FC RFS Team Overview

🏆Throughout the Virsliga season, the team FC RFS has engaged in 30 fixtures, resulting in:

23 wins,
2 losses,
5 draws.

📈Currently, FC RFS stands at a mid-tier position within the Virsliga standings, with a win percentage of 77% and a loss percentage of 7%.

⚽️FC RFS has scored a total of 71 goals. On the defensive end, FC RFS has allowed 22 goals over the season.

Match Results: FC RFS

Last matches

20.09.26

Virsliga

Auda Riga

FC RFS

13.09.26

Virsliga

BFC Daugavpils

FC RFS

07.09.26

Virsliga

FC RFS

Liepaja

03.09.26

Latvia Cup

FC RFS

Riga

30.08.26

Virsliga

Ogre United

FC RFS

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Jelgava Team Overview

🏆Throughout the Virsliga season, the team Jelgava has engaged in 31 fixtures, resulting in:

8 wins,
15 losses,
8 draws.

📈Currently, Jelgava stands at a mid-tier position within the Virsliga standings, with a win percentage of 26% and a loss percentage of 48%.

⚽Jelgava has scored a total of 32 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 49 goals over the season.

Match Results: Jelgava

Last matches

19.09.26

Virsliga

Jelgava

Riga

12.09.26

Virsliga

Grobinas SC/LFS

Jelgava

05.09.26

Virsliga

Jelgava

Super Nova

29.08.26

Virsliga

Tukums 2000/TSS

Jelgava

22.08.26

Virsliga

Ogre United

Jelgava

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Prediction for the 1st half

Head-to-Head Matches:

Total encounters - 39;
First-half wins at home for hosts - 13; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 4;
Average first-half total: 1.23;
Today's home team scores on average 0.95, while the visitors net 0.28.

First-Half Stats: FC RFS (home) vs Jelgava (away)

matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 15;
wins: 7 (50%) vs 5 (33.33%);
losses: 2 (14.29%) vs 5 (33.33%);
draws: 5 (35.71%) vs 5 (33.33%);
Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.33;
Average goals conceded: 0.29 vs 0.67.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

wins: 3 vs 0;
losses: 4 vs 7;
draws: 3 vs 3;
Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 1).

Trends

Jelgava conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games.

👉Prediction: 1st half, FC RFS to score goal (odds: 1.31)

Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

number of encounters - 39;
home team wins - 30, away team wins - 5, draws - 4.

Statistics: FC RFS vs Jelgava

matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 31;
wins: 23 vs 8;
win percentage: 77% vs 26%;
losses: 2 vs 15;
draws: 5 vs 8.

Last 10 matches:

wins: 4 vs 2;
losses: 3 vs 7;
draws: 3 vs 1.

Trends

Jelgava won with a +2.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games against FC RFS.
Jelgava won with a +2.5 handicap in last 5 away games.

👉Prediction: Jelgava Handicap (+2,5) (odds: 1.43)

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

today's home team scores on average - 1.87, the guests - 0.54;
average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.41;
both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 4.

Statistics: FC RFS vs Jelgava

average total in the tournament: 3.1 vs 2.61;
average total goals scored: 2.37 vs 1.03;
average total in the 1st half: 1.07 vs 0.52;
average total in the 2nd half: 1.3 vs 0.52;
FC RFS: average total at home in the tournament - 3;
Jelgava: average total away in the tournament - 1.27;
last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.4) vs 0.8 (away - 1.6).

Trends

FC RFS have not conceded in 6 of last 7 games against Jelgava.

👉Prediction: Jelgava will not score (odds: 1.9)

Prediction on corners

FC RFS: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.87; at home field - 6.14;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; at home field - 5.

Jelgava: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.52, away - 4.27;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; away - 3.6.

👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (8,5)

Yellow Cards Bet

FC RFS: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5; at home - 1.36;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 1.2.

Jelgava: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.74, away - 1.53;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 1.4.

👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (3,5)

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

number of encounters - 39;
both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
on the home team’s field - 4 times.

Statistics: FC RFS vs Jelgava

number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 31;
number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 13;
number of BTTS matches for FC RFS at home - 7 (50%);
number of BTTS matches for Jelgava away - 8 (53%).

Last 10 matches:

number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 3;
BTTS matches for FC RFS at home - 4 (80%);
BTTS matches for Jelgava away - 3 (60%).

👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.81)

Correct score prediction

Statistics of frequent results (current season):

most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (20/154, 13%);
FC RFS at home most often finish matches: 2:0 , 3:1 , 3:3 (2/14, 14.3%);
Jelgava away most often play: 1:1 (3/15, 20%).

Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

2:0 - 10.24% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.74% (odds 10)
1:0 - 8.9% (odds 9)

Editorial Prediction

Key statistics: 
Jelgava won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games against FC RFS (Virsliga).
Jelgava won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games.
Jelgava won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 games (Virsliga).

Jelgava Handicap (+1,5)

Odds+106

Published: 09/10/2026, 14:21