Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔉 Alanyaspor go into this match in better form and sitting higher in the Süper Lig table, currently fifth. They have moderate motivation, with just two points separating them from the Champions League places. Erzurumspor are close to the danger zone in fourteenth and are fighting to stay in the league. The visitors are less consistent and noticeably less productive in front of goal. At this early stage of the season, both sides have their own objectives: the hosts want to close the gap on the leaders, while the visitors are keen to avoid slipping into the relegation zone.
Head-to-Head
In their most recent meeting with Erzurumspor on 11 May 2021 in the Süper Lig, Alanyaspor led 2-1 at half-time but went on to lose 3-2. Shots on target were level at 5-5, while the hosts had seven corners to the visitors' two.
📊 Across five official meetings, each side has won two and one match has ended in a draw. Alanyaspor have scored nine goals to Erzurumspor's seven, and both teams have scored in four of those matches.
Head-to-head statistics Alanyaspor - Erzurumspor
Alanyaspor Team Overview
In their last Super Lig match on 19 September 2026, Alanyaspor won away at Çorum 2-1, despite being outplayed in terms of possession (33% to 67%) and shots (9 to 12). The score was 0-0 at half-time; in the second half, with both sides registering five shots on target, the visitors scored twice.
Alanyaspor have been putting together solid results: three wins, a draw and one defeat in their last five matches. Over their last ten games, they have won four, drawn three and lost three. Their average of 1.4 goals scored per match is above the league average for a team in the upper part of the table at this stage of the season. Defensively they also look reliable, conceding just 1.2 goals per game on average over a longer run, and their recent results reflect a balance between attack and defence.
Match Results: Alanyaspor
Erzurumspor Team Overview
Erzurumspor's last Super Lig match 20 September 2026 was a 1-0 home win over Samsunspor, with the only goal coming before half-time. The two sides were level on total shots (8-8) and shots on target (2-2), though Erzurumspor had the lesser share of possession - 42% to Samsunspor's 58%.
Erzurumspor have made an inconsistent start - just two wins alongside two defeats and one draw in their last five matches. Across ten matches, the visitors have managed only three wins with the same number of defeats and four draws, suggesting the side often look to hold a result or limit the damage even against stronger opposition. Their attacking output is noticeably low: just 0.8 goals per game over the longer run, and even weaker at 0.5 over their last six matches of the current season, which is reflected in the club's league position.
Match Results: Erzurumspor
Total Goals Prediction
In 12 of their last 14 home matches, Alanyaspor have seen over 1.5 goals. On average, they score 1.5 goals per home game, and that figure rises to 2 goals per game across their last 10 home matches. Erzurumspor, meanwhile, have conceded heavily this season - an average of 1.83 goals per match. This sets up a good case for Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.36*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are: 1-1 (12.63%), 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-0 (10.22%). The first option - 1-1 - has the highest probability, though all three results are fairly close to each other in terms of likelihood. This reflects a moderately low-scoring and fairly tight match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Alanyaspor's form is more consistent, both in terms of their recent run of results and their average attacking output over the last ten matches - they create chances regularly and rarely look vulnerable defensively. Erzurumspor are already fighting for survival, but their attack is not providing the impetus needed to pick up points against sides in the upper part of the table: they have scored very little even in relatively straightforward matches this season. The scenario points towards the hosts being the likelier winners, on the back of better quality across both lines and a steady points return at home against opponents of this level in the competition. The main bet is an Alanyaspor win.
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Betting Tips: Alanyaspor - Erzurumspor
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