Augsburg vs Leverkusen Prediction 12 September 2026
🔊 Augsburg and Bayer meet in the third round of the Bundesliga at the WWK Arena. The hosts have surprisingly topped the table after two consecutive wins, while Carles Martínez's side have already suffered a defeat to Elversberg before thrashing Union. Bayer remain favourites, but Augsburg's current form makes this far from a straightforward game.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the last 29 meetings, Bayer have won 19, Augsburg four, with six draws. However, Augsburg have won the last two head-to-head fixtures - 2-0 at home in December 2025 and 2-1 in Leverkusen in April 2026.
Head-to-head statistics Augsburg - Leverkusen
Augsburg Team Overview
Manuel Baum's side have made a perfect start to the season. Augsburg have scored seven goals in two matchdays, with the second half in Frankfurt particularly impressive - after conceding, they responded with four goals. Those results have given the Fuggerei six points and, for the first time in the club's history, taken them to the top of the Bundesliga.
Fabian Rieder's role has been especially important. The captain not only organises play in the attacking phase but also got on the scoresheet in the previous match against Bayer. Arijon Ibrahimović is also in good form, having become one of the more prominent figures in Augsburg's attacks immediately after joining the club.
With a 3-4-2-1 system, the hosts are able to pack the central zone and transition quickly from defence to attack. That has been paying off at the start of the season. However, the meeting with Bayer will be a considerably more demanding test for the team. After a poor first matchday, Leverkusen produced the psychological response they needed and were far more aggressive and composed on the ball against Union.
Match Results: Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview
The defeat to Elversberg was a serious blow for Bayer, but a week later the team showed a completely different level of football. Against Union, the scoring was opened as early as the 41st second, after which Bayer continued to create chances and ended up scoring four goals.
Patrik Schick remains the main reference point in attack, while Ibrahim Maza has been given greater freedom between the lines. The return of Moussa Diaby could also be an important factor. The Frenchman made 172 official appearances for Leverkusen between 2019 and 2023, scoring 49 goals and contributing 47 assists, and is now available to the coaching staff again.
With a 4-2-3-1 shape, Bayer should have the advantage in terms of possession and the quality of their build-up play. At the same time, it will be important for the hosts not to repeat the mistakes of the opening round: Augsburg are currently in a state where even a small amount of space on the counter-attack could lead to a dangerous moment. The main argument in Bayer's favour is the difference in individual quality and the level they showed in their last match.
Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen
Latest news
Augsburg
❌ Tim Breithaupt and Anton Kade are doubts, while Steve Mounié is not 100 per cent fit.
Bayer Leverkusen
❌ For Bayer, Montrell Culbreath, Kennet Eichhorn and Eliesse Ben Seghir are unavailable, while Guéla Doué remains doubtful.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Augsburg may have to spend more time without the ball, holding off Bayer's attacks through the flanks and half-spaces. It will be particularly important for the hosts not to let the visitors build up quickly after turnovers. That said, the match doesn't look like an obviously feisty one: Bayer will look to control possession, and Augsburg showed no particular disciplinary problems in the first two rounds. Prediction: Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Both teams have made an attacking start to the season. Augsburg have scored seven times in two matchdays, Bayer six. The nature of the game suggests there should be plenty of chances. Augsburg are capable of scoring at home, but Bayer have no less attacking potential and have already shown how dangerous they can be after a slow start. Bet: Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.42*.
🚩 Corner Prediction
There are reasons to expect Bayer to have an advantage in corners: they should enjoy more possession and spend more time in the opposition half. In their match against Union, Leverkusen won 11 corners. Augsburg, meanwhile, are capable of responding with quick attacks and can also create pressure through wide advances. So the overall total could well exceed eight corners. Prediction: Total Corners - Over 8.5 at odds of 1.43*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Augsburg are deservedly top of the table, and their current form cannot be ignored. The team have won both matches, scoring seven goals and conceding just one. However, Bayer responded well to their defeat by Elversberg, thrashing Union Berlin.
The most likely scenario is for Leverkusen to take the initiative, but Augsburg are unlikely to be content with sitting deep. The hosts are capable of causing problems for the favourites and, considering the head-to-head meetings from last season, my main bet is Bayer Leverkusen team total under 2.5 goals. Predicted score: 2-2.
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Betting Tips: Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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