Norway vs England Prediction 11 July 2026
🔊 Of the eight sides still in the tournament, only one is playing a World Cup quarter-final for the first time - Norway. The Scandinavians knocked out Brazil and now head to Miami, where they meet England, the side that has reached this stage more often than anyone else. This Norway squad is without question the best in the nation's history, while England arrive with their usual collection of star names. Both teams concede. With Haaland and Kane up front, Hard Rock Stadium should be a spectacle.
🔁 This match prediction is regularly updated in the Latest News section, providing fresh insights and context to help you make more informed betting decisions.
Head-to-Head
📊 These two sides have not met in an official match this century.
Head-to-head statistics Norway - England
Norway Team Overview
🔴 Ørjan Nyland, Andreas Schjelderup and Erling Haaland made history against Brazil (2-1). Nyland made four saves, including a penalty stop at 0-0. Schjelderup set up both Haaland goals, which ended the five-time champions' hopes of a sixth title. The story continues: a nation returning to the World Cup after a 28-year absence is now one win from its first-ever semi-final.
⚪ Norway's results tell two stories. Four wins in five matches confirm this team can beat world-class opposition. The 1-4 defeat to France in the group stage - even accounting for it being a dead rubber - showed how vulnerable Norway can become when their defensive structure breaks down quickly. Tuchel's coaching staff will have noticed.
Match Results: Norway
England Team Overview
⚪ Reaching a tenth World Cup quarter-final required a serious effort. First a dramatic Kane brace saved them against DR Congo (2-1). Then came the win over co-host Mexico (3-2) - one of the tournament's most tense matches - with Bellingham adding a brace of his own. Those two have scored 10 of England's 11 tournament goals between them.
🔴 England return to the quarter-finals for the second consecutive World Cup - and for the second straight tournament face a European opponent at this stage. In 2022 they lost to France here. They know what Haaland represents. The advantage for Tuchel's side is that few squads know Haaland quite as well - English club players have been dealing with him in the Premier League for years.
Match Results: England
Latest news
Norway
🎙️ Ståle Solbakken ahead of the quarter-final: "I think the Brazil match gave us a lot of confidence, but I think every game has its own life. I don't think any other team we've played at this World Cup has underestimated us. Every side does their analysis, so there are no secrets. That applies to this game too."
❌ Solbakken also confirmed some players are feeling unwell before the quarter-final. A month of travel, training and intense matches is starting to take its toll. Striker Jørgen Strand Larsen is one of those affected. Marcus Holmgren Pedersen missed the Brazil game through illness.
🔁 Update as of July 11, 7:45 UTC:
- Norway head coach Ståle Solbakken revealed that his team has spent considerable time preparing for the possibility of a penalty shootout. "We have a clear order for our penalty takers, although things can change during the match if circumstances require it. Looking at the shootouts we've seen at this World Cup, the overall quality hasn't been particularly high - perhaps because of the pressure," Solbakken said. Bookmakers currently price a penalty shootout deciding the match at 6.10.
England
🎙️ Thomas Tuchel after the Mexico win: "I'm so proud. It was incredibly tough. Just when we felt we'd found a rhythm, something went wrong. But when it gets hard, they never give up, never lose belief. We need to process this. It was a crazy game. Everyone gave everything. Another step forward. Now it's all going."
❌ England have a serious problem at right-back. With Tino Livramento and Reece James both injured, Jarrell Quansah started against Mexico - and was sent off on 54 minutes for a reckless challenge. Jed Spence is likely to fill the right-back slot in the quarter-final.
🏥 Jordan Henderson has returned to the squad after surgery on a broken arm, suffered during the Mexico celebrations. The 36-year-old slipped climbing a barrier at the Azteca in Mexico City. He's played just six minutes at this tournament, coming on against Panama.
🔁 Update as of July 10, 6:45 UTC:
- Declan Rice has missed two consecutive training sessions after coming down with a stomach infection. According to the BBC, the illness has only added to his ongoing problems with persistent hamstring and lower-back pain. England's medical staff have acted quickly to prevent the infection from spreading through the squad, but Rice's condition remains a major concern. If he is unavailable - or unable to perform at his usual level - it would represent one of the biggest setbacks England could face. At the moment, Kobbie Mainoo, who has yet to feature at this World Cup, appears to be the only realistic replacement in central midfield.
🔁 Update as of July 10, 12:00 UTC:
- England are also facing uncertainty over the availability of Marc Guéhi. According to Sky Sports, the defender picked up a hamstring injury during the win over Mexico. Guéhi has played every minute of England's last four World Cup matches, making him a key figure in Thomas Tuchel's back line. Losing the Manchester City center-back would therefore be a significant blow. If Guéhi is ruled out, Dan Burn is the leading candidate to replace him. The veteran defender made his World Cup debut only in the previous match, coming off the bench for the final 15 minutes.
🔁 Update as of July 11, 4:30 UTC:
- England's media team has provided a positive update ahead of the match, confirming that Declan Rice, Marc Guéhi, and Reece James all took part in training 24 hours before kickoff. "Jordan Henderson is the only player who will not be available," the statement read. However, the update offered little insight into the condition of the key players whose fitness had recently been in question, leaving some uncertainty over their readiness for the match.
🔁 Update as of July 11, 16:10 UTC:
- The Guardian has revealed the financial incentives awaiting England if they lift the World Cup trophy. According to the report, the Football Association (FA) will award the players a combined £15 million in prize money if England become world champions. Head coach Thomas Tuchel would receive a £3 million bonus, while his coaching staff would share an additional £1 million.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI Norway: Nyland - Ryerson, Ajer, Hegem, Wolfe - Ødegaard, Berge, Berg - Sørloth, Haaland, Nusa
📋 Predicted starting XI England: Pickford - Konsa, Stones, Guehi, O'Reilly - Rice, Anderson - Saka, Bellingham, Gordon - Kane
⚽ Goals Prediction
Both sides are a genuine attacking threat. Haaland has seven goals at this tournament, Kane six, Bellingham four more. Norway have scored and conceded in every World Cup match. With that kind of firepower on both sides, goals are the likeliest outcome. Total goals over 2.5 at 1.80*.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Expect a physical match given the stakes, but not a card-heavy one. England pick up more bookings than Norway (1.4 to 0.4 per game), though the threat of suspension may keep Tuchel's players cautious. Norway will likely defend deep and counter, which brings tactical fouls - but Solbakken's side remain one of the most disciplined teams in the tournament. England not to lose on yellow cards at 1.50*.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Wide play should be active from both sides, which means corners will come. England will have more of the ball and look to deliver regularly into the box, while Norway - as against Brazil - will hit back on the break. The Norwegians are dangerous at set pieces with their aerial advantage. England individual total corners over 4.5 at 1.57* - that line has landed in 11 of England's last 12 matches.
😱 Risky Bet
England are favourites, but Norway have already beaten Brazil. Solbakken's side are comfortable playing second and dangerous on the counter, while England's defence isn't always secure. Given the quarter-final stakes and the likely cautious start, a draw in normal time is a realistic outcome. Odds at 3.77*.
🎯 Safe Bet
Tuchel's side create chances consistently through Kane, Bellingham and the wide players - and Norway tend to allow opponents to shoot. England should have the ball for long stretches. England have had more than 4.5 shots on target in 15 of their last 16 official matches. England individual total shots on target over 4.5 at 1.39*.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
Norway not to score at 2.65* - if England score early they can shift to a controlled, possession-based approach and protect the lead. A tight, closed match would also make it hard for Norway to find openings against an organised English defence.
🚀 Player Stat Bet
The battle between Haaland and England's centre-backs could be the defining factor. Seven goals at this tournament, one behind Messi in the Golden Boot race. Physical power, positioning, finishing - he punishes mistakes from set pieces, transitions and sustained spells of pressure alike. England's defenders face him in the Premier League regularly and don't always stop him. No reason to think this form changes here. Haaland to score at 2.19*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Norway have been one of the tournament's best stories - built on deep defending and getting the ball to Haaland fast. Declan Rice may be the key figure tasked with cutting that connection, with Tuchel likely to demand dominant possession and immediate pressing after losing the ball.
If England limit Haaland's isolated runs in behind, the attacking combination of Kane, Bellingham and Saka should find gaps in a Norway defence that has shown vulnerabilities throughout the tournament. England have the greater big-tournament experience and the stronger squad. Their defence in the knockouts, though, hasn't been completely solid - and they're about to face one of the most dangerous strikers in world football.
Both Teams to Score (Yes) is the logical pick here. A genuine thriller with the tournament's biggest names involved. Score prediction: 2-2 after 90 minutes.
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Betting Tips: Norway - England
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