Oviedo vs Almeria Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 June 2025
🔊 On June 11, the second leg of the playoff semifinal for promotion to La Liga takes place. Real Oviedo surprised many by defeating Almeria away, positioning themselves as favorites for the home fixture. However, the bookmakers are offering close odds. Does this imply that the "red and whites" might aim for a comeback? Let's delve into this topic in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 June 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Almeria):
- ball possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Real Oviedo and Almeria:
- 17 matches played;
- home wins - 6, away wins - 5, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 21 for each team;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.18, in the second half - 1.29;
- average total goals per match - 2.47.
Head-to-head statistics Oviedo - Almeria
Real Oviedo Team Overview
Real Oviedo continue to impress their fans, extending their unbeaten streak to 11 matches. Their attacking prowess is backed by a solid defense, conceding only 0.5 goals per game over the last ten matches. They maintain control through possession and swift flank attacks. Notably, the standout performer and best player of the first semifinal was right-back Nacho Vidal, who scored twice.
Match Results: Real Oviedo
Almeria Team Overview
Almería have won seven consecutive home matches but faltered at a crucial moment. The team is known for their scoring prowess, averaging 1.7 goals per game this season. However, their away form is lacking, as they have failed to score more than one goal in nine straight away fixtures. Their last away victory was back on January 12. Under these circumstances, a comeback seems unlikely.
Match Results: Almeria
Latest news
Real Oviedo
🎙 Veljko Paunovic summed up the first leg: “It's a small step. There's another game to play. We need to be at our best to compete again with a strong opponent.” The Oviedo coach also expressed his gratitude to the more than 500 fans who traveled to support the team away from home.
❌ Ilyas Chaira, Alvaro Lemos, and Federico Vinas remain sidelined, but Lucas Ahijado has returned to fitness and was included in the squad for the recent match.
Almeria
🎙 Red-and-whites' head coach Rubi at the press conference: “In the beginning, they were better, more composed with the ball. The goal could have been avoided, but we responded and leveled the score. From there, the first half was very even. We played an excellent match in the second half, though we lacked a bit of luck. This is a sport that often shows results can be unjust, without taking anything away from our opponents.”
❌ Iddrisu Baba and Lucas Robertone are injured, while Luis Suarez and Marc Pubill have been called up to their national teams. These are significant losses. Additionally, Leo Baptistao picked up an injury in the first game.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 17;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.18;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.59, while the visitors net 0.59.
First-Half Stats: Real Oviedo (home) vs Almeria (away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- Number of wins: 6 (0.29%) vs 4 (0.19%);
- Number of losses: 4 (0.19%) vs 8 (0.38%);
- Number of draws: 11 (0.52%) vs 9 (0.43%);
- Average goals scored: 1.19 vs 1.48;
- Average goals conceded: 0.52 vs 0.9.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 0 vs 1;
- Number of draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.3).
- Real Oviedo scored in the 1st half in last 5 games against Almeria (Segunda División).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 5, draws - 6.
Statistics: Real Oviedo vs Almeria
- matches played in the tournament: 42 vs 42;
- wins: 22 vs 19;
- win percentage: 51% vs 44%;
- losses: 9 vs 12;
- draws: 12 vs 12.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 5;
- losses: 0 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Real Oviedo have not lost in last 11 games (Segunda División).
- Real Oviedo have not lost in 10 of last 11 home games (Segunda División).
- Almeria have not won in last 9 away games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.24, the guests - 1.24;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.47;
- both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Real Oviedo vs Almeria
- average total in the tournament: 2.35 vs 3.02;
- average total goals scored: 1.35 vs 1.7;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.65;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 1.05;
- Real Oviedo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.62;
- Almeria: average total away in the tournament - 1.43;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.75) vs 1.7 (away - 0.75).
- Almeria have scored under 1.5 goals in last 9 away games (Segunda División).
Prediction on corners
Real Oviedo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.58; at home field - 5.1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 4.5.
Almeria: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.19, away - 4.57;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 5.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.82 (2.41 for home team and 2.41 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.13 (2.25 for home team and 2.88 for away team).
Real Oviedo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.37; at home - 1.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; at home - 1.
Almeria: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.42, away - 3.05;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; away - 3.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Real Oviedo vs Almeria
- number of matches played in the tournament: 42 vs 42;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 22 vs 30;
- number of BTTS matches for Real Oviedo at home - 11 (52%);
- number of BTTS matches for Almeria away - 16 (76%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Real Oviedo at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Almeria away - 3 (75%).
- Real Oviedo have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games against Almeria (Segunda División).
Editorial Prediction
Real Oviedo are formidable, especially at home, so Almeria are unlikely to seriously aim for a clean sheet. Thus, they need to score at least twice on the road, something the "Rojiblancos" haven't managed in the last five months away from home. They are not the same team away as they are in front of their own fans. We have more faith in Oviedo's success and are betting on Almeria's individual total to be under 1.5 goals.No comments
Betting Tips: Real Oviedo - Almeria
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