Dynamo Moscow vs Spartak Moscow Prediction 11 May 2025
🔊 Who will come out on top in the Moscow derby during the 28th round of the Russian Premier League? The outcome will determine the standings from 3rd to 5th place. Currently, Spartak hold a one-point advantage over Dynamo Moscow. A draw at the VTB Arena might suffice for them, but only if CSKA slip up. There's no doubt that the hosts will also be eager to secure all three points. In this scenario, there is no clear favorite in the derby. Therefore, we will explore various possibilities to make a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the span of 47 head-to-head matches, Spartak hold the upper hand with a 53 percent win rate. This season, the rivals have clashed four times, three of which were in the Russian Cup where the "red-whites" emerged victorious each time. For instance, in April, they knocked Dynamo out in the Regional Path playoffs (2-1), a result that sealed the fate of their opponent's coach. In the first round of the current campaign, the teams played to a draw (2-2). Notably, Konstantin Tyukavin salvaged a point for Dynamo by scoring in stoppage time when his team was down to ten men.
Spartak have proven to be a tough adversary for Dynamo. It's telling that at home, the "blue-whites" have failed to score more than one goal in six consecutive head-to-head encounters. Given this scenario, it might be worth considering a bet on Dynamo Moscow's total goals under 1.5.
Head-to-head statistics Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow
Dynamo Moscow Team Overview
🔵 Following Dynamo Moscow's exit from the Russian Cup, Marcel Licka was relieved of his duties. At that time, the team was still in contention for a top-three spot in the RPL, suggesting that the dismissal might not have been solely due to unsatisfactory results.
🔗 Roland Gusev will take over as interim head coach for the remainder of the season. He already made his debut in this new role, leading the team to a 3-1 victory over Krylia Sovetov in Samara. Notably, Jorge Carrascal received a red card early in the second half, after which Moscow scored twice through Yaroslav Gladyshev's efforts.
Match Results: Dynamo Moscow
Spartak Moscow Team Overview
🔴 Spartak kicked off the spring phase of the season as one of the title contenders. However, they currently find themselves outside the top three. The team has dropped numerous points, particularly in away matches. There have also been disappointing home defeats, such as against Dynamo Makhachkala (1-2) and CSKA (1-2), which have proven pivotal.
🔗 Last weekend, the "Red and Whites" traveled to Voronezh without their optimal lineup. Srdjan Babic and Ezequiel Barco missed the match against Fakel due to suspensions, impacting their performance. Additionally, the team was reduced to ten men midway through the first half. Despite these challenges, Spartak pushed for a win but had to settle for a draw (0-0).
🏆 It's worth noting that Spartak are competing in the Russian Cup and have a final in the RPL Path against Rostov next week, which might influence their lineup for the upcoming match.
Match Results: Spartak Moscow
Latest news
Dynamo Moscow
📣 Rolan Gusev on the match against Spartak: "Matches against Spartak always stand out. There's no need for deceit or excessive rhetoric here. I believe it's a very important match for the players, our fans, and the entire Moscow Dynamo. Personally, this team has always been one of the main irritants for me. From a young age, I was taught that Spartak is the main rival."
🔝 Yaroslav Gladyshev has been named the best player of April in the RPL. Last month, he netted four goals in four matches. In the spring segment of the championship, he has already scored seven goals and is the top scorer during this period, admirably stepping in for the injured Konstantin Tyukavin.
❌ Konstantin Tyukavin and Artur Gomes will miss the upcoming match as they are sidelined for an extended period. Diego Laxalt will not play this season due to injury, and Luis Chavez's participation is doubtful. However, Jorge Carrascal's red card from the last round was overturned following Dynamo Moscow's appeal to the RFU CDC.
Spartak Moscow
📣 Spartak's head coach Dejan Stanković shared his thoughts on his team's performance against Fakel: “We had a game plan, we discussed it, but we weren't prepared. The red card significantly impacted the game and us. However, it did force us to play more aggressively. Once again, we handed the opponent the first 45 minutes... We can't afford to repeat what happened in the matches against Rubin, Akron, and Dynamo Makhachkala. We can't allow ourselves to play like that. I will definitely find a solution.”
📝 Amid rumors of interest from Serie A, Spartak's management has decided to extend the Serbian's contract until 2028. The parties are in negotiations.
❌ Spartak are gearing up for their match against Dynamo Moscow with almost a full squad. The only player unavailable will be Ruslan Litvinov, who was sent off in the match against Fakel.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Aleksei Sukhoi, who has officiated 16 matches in the RPL this season. He has experience with high-stakes games. For instance, in the clash between CSKA and Zenit, he handed out eight yellow cards, and in the encounter between the "army men" and Spartak, he issued seven warnings and three red cards. On average, Sukhoi gives out 4.75 yellow cards per game this season.
In matches involving Dynamo Moscow, there are an average of four yellow cards, while Spartak sees significantly more (5.1). In all four head-to-head meetings this season, there have been at least five warnings. Considering the referee's statistics, especially in matches of this intensity, it might be wise to consider a bet on total yellow cards over 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Predictions
Dynamo Moscow have scored in 21 consecutive RPL matches. Roland Gusev aimed to find balance in their game against Krylia Sovetov, yet the team still netted three times. On the other hand, Spartak have scored in 16 out of 17 away head-to-head matches. Therefore, a potential bet could be both teams to score (Yes).
🚩 Corner Predictions
This season, Dynamo Moscow average 5.7 corners per game. Facing Spartak is a significant motivator for the "white-blues," and they will certainly aim for victory at home. In 6 of their last 7 matches at VTB Arena, the hosts have had at least six corners. However, we recommend playing it safe and betting on Dynamo Moscow total corners over 4.5.
Editorial Prediction
Betting on both teams to score seems the most obvious and logical choice here. This bet has hit in 14 of Dynamo's last 15 matches in the RPL - a trend strong enough to highlight the potential of this wager option. Before the match against Fakel, Spartak had found the net in six consecutive games, so our pick is both teams to score (yes).
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Betting Tips: Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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