Tigres vs Guadalajara Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 April 2026
📢 The clash between Tigres and Guadalajara promises to be intriguing, given the contrasting current form of the teams. Tigres have been inconsistent at home, while Guadalajara are on the rise with a winning streak. Both teams have their strengths: Tigres boast a solid defense, whereas Guadalajara are aggressive in attack. The standings motivate both teams to fight for the best possible outcome.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended in a 0-0 draw. Let's take a look at the comparative statistics from that encounter (with Guadalajara as the home team):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 2 vs 9;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Tigres and Guadalajara:
- 45 matches played;
- home team victories - 16, away team wins - 11, draws - 18;
- total goals scored - 58 for Tigres, 47 for Guadalajara;
- average goals in the 1st half - 0.87, in the 2nd half - 1.47;
- average total goals per match - 2.33.
Head-to-head statistics Tigres - Guadalajara

Tigres UANL Team Overview
The last official match took place in the CONCACAF Champions League, featuring Tigres as the home team and Seattle Sounders as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Tigres vs Seattle Sounders):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 0;
- fouls: 18 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Tigres currently sit in eighth place in the standings and are renowned for their solid defense. Over their last five matches, they've registered two wins, suffered two losses, and drawn once. Their average scoring rate stands at 1.72 goals per match, but at home, they rarely score more than 1.5 goals. In light of this trend, their strength is clearly in their defense, which concedes just 1.06 goals per game.
Match Results: Tigres UANL

Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, featuring Guadalajara as the hosts and UNAM Pumas as the visitors. The game concluded with a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Guadalajara vs UNAM Pumas):
- possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 15 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
- shots on target: 12 vs 2.
Guadalajara have been impressive in their recent outings, boasting four wins and a draw in their last five matches. They sit atop the standings, fueled by a potent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game over their last ten encounters. Historically, however, they struggle to score more than one goal against Tigres on the road, as evidenced by their head-to-head statistics.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 45;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 11, draws - 18.
- Tigres UANL have not lost in 15 of last 17 home games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
- Tigres UANL have not lost in 11 of last 12 games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
- Tigres UANL have not lost in 7 of last 8 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.04;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas
- average total in the tournament: 2.78 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1.72 vs 1.81;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.91;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.06 vs 0.91;
- Tigres UANL: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Guadalajara Chivas: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.8) vs 2.2 (away - 1.83).
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Tigres UANL (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Tigres UANL: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5; at home field - 6.11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 5.4.
Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.63, away - 5.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; away - 3.67.
- Guadalajara Chivas have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.52 (1.76 for home team and 1.76 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.82 (1.59 for home team and 2.23 for away team).
Tigres UANL: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.53; at home - 2.11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 2.8.
Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.22, away - 2.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; away - 2.83.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 45;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (31/287, 10.8%);
- Tigres UANL at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:0 (3/18, 16.7%);
- Guadalajara Chivas away most often play: 1:2 (4/16, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.2% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 8.04% (odds 9.5)
1:2 - 7.9% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the playing trends of these teams, it's reasonable to anticipate low scoring from the visitors, Guadalajara, who traditionally struggle to find the net against Tigres on their turf. Given this trend and the current form of both teams, the most likely bet would be Guadalajara's individual total under 1.5 goals. A 1-1 draw is possible.