Guadalajara vs Tigres Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 May 2026
⚡️ Guadalajara and Tigres are set to clash in the second leg of their Clausura quarterfinals in the Mexican Liga MX. The first encounter took place last week, where Tigres secured a solid two-goal advantage. How will the second match of this showdown end? Check out the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 3-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Tigres were the home side):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 15 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 1.
📊Statistical Preview of the Official Encounters between Guadalajara and Tigres:
- 47 matches played;
- home team victories - 11, away team wins - 18, draws - 18;
- goals scored - 49 against 65;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.94, in the 2nd half - 1.49;
- average total goals per match - 2.43.
Head-to-head statistics Guadalajara - Tigres
Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
Guadalajara have secured the second spot in the standings. Their recent form, with just one win in their last five matches (WLDLD), highlights issues with consistency. Despite boasting a high average of 1.76 goals scored per game, the team often struggles with defensive stability, conceding an average of 1.22 goals per match. This trend is further reflected in their last ten games, where they have recorded five wins, two losses, and three draws.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL Team Overview
Tigres sit in seventh place on the table, riding a successful streak of four consecutive wins (DWWWW). Their attack remains potent, averaging 1.83 goals per game, while their defense allows opponents few opportunities, conceding just 0.8 goals on average over the last ten matches. This makes them one of the most resilient teams in the league, both at home and on the road.
Match Results: Tigres UANL
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 18, draws - 18.
- Tigres UANL won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 away games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
- Tigres UANL won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 games (Liga MX).
- Tigres UANL won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 games.
- Tigres UANL won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.04, the guests - 1.38;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.43;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL
- average total in the tournament: 2.97 vs 2.85;
- average total goals scored: 1.76 vs 1.83;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.89 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.86 vs 1.15;
- Guadalajara Chivas: average total at home in the tournament - 2.17;
- Tigres UANL: average total away in the tournament - 1.35;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.2 (home - 3) vs 1.8 (away - 0.6).
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 games against Tigres UANL (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.73; at home field - 6.39;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.7; at home field - 8.2.
Tigres UANL: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.49, away - 5.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 6.4.
- Over 9.5 corners in last 6 Guadalajara Chivas home games against Tigres UANL (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/327, 11.3%);
- Guadalajara Chivas at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (3/18, 16.7%);
- Tigres UANL away most often play: 1:1 (4/20, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.82% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 9.22% (odds 8)
2:1 - 8.48% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Historically, Guadalajara have struggled immensely to break through Tigres' defense, failing to score more than one goal in their last seven head-to-head encounters. The visitors are renowned for their organized defense and ability to effectively close down open spaces, denying opposing attackers the room to operate. The current form of the hosts underscores their issues with finishing and creativity, making it a daunting task to breach the well-structured defensive lines of the "Tigers." The combination of Tigres' solid defensive play and Guadalajara's low attacking productivity makes a bet on the home team's total under 1.5 goals the most likely outcome. A 1-1 draw is possible.
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Betting Tips: Guadalajara Chivas - Tigres UANL
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