Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 April 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Deportivo Pasto and Deportes Tolima promises to be a fascinating contest. Both teams have been delivering commendable performances this season and are eager to solidify their standings on the table. Deportivo Pasto have shown confident displays, though they occasionally struggle with converting chances. Meanwhile, Deportes Tolima boast a strong defense, making them a tough opponent on the road.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 July 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Pasto):
- ball possession percentage: 23% vs 77%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Pasto and Tolima:
- played 39 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 17, draws - 14;
- number of goals - 36 against 55;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.97, in the 2nd half - 1.36;
- average total goals in the match - 2.33.
Head-to-head statistics Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima

Pasto Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera A, with Alianza at home and Deportivo Pasto as the visitors. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Deportivo Pasto sit in second place in the standings, largely due to their formidable home performances. Over their last five matches, they have secured two wins, one draw, and suffered two losses. They average 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.13. Despite this, the team struggles to capitalize on attacking opportunities against sides with strong defensive setups.
Match Results: Pasto

Tolima Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Deportes Tolima hosting Universitario. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Deportes Tolima vs Universitario):
- possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Deportes Tolima are in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions. The team currently sits third in the standings, showcasing a balanced performance both in attack and defense. In their last ten games, they have secured five victories, suffered just one defeat, and drawn four times. Their average of 1.6 goals per game underscores their attacking prowess.
Match Results: Tolima
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 39;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 0.97;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.41, while the visitors net 0.56.
First-Half Stats: Pasto (home) vs Tolima (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 7;
- wins: 3 (37.5%) vs 4 (57.14%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- draws: 5 (62.5%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.43;
- Average goals conceded: 0.25 vs 0.43.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5).
- Pasto scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Tolima.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Matches played - 39;
- Home wins - 8, Away wins - 17, Draws - 14.
Statistics: Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima
- Matches in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- Wins: 8 vs 7;
- Win percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- Losses: 3 vs 2;
- Draws: 4 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 1;
- Draws: 3 vs 4.
- Deportes Tolima have drawn 5 of their last 6 away matches in the Primera A.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head (average total):
- Home team - 0.92, Away team - 1.41;
- Overall head-to-head - 2.33;
- Both teams scored: overall - 24 times; at home ground - 15 times.
Average Total Statistics: Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima
- In the tournament: 2.53 vs 2.47;
- Goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.6;
- In the first half: 0.6 vs 0.73;
- In the second half: 0.8 vs 0.87;
- Deportivo Pasto at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Deportes Tolima away in the tournament - 1.14;
- Last 10 matches: 1.6 (home - 1.8) vs 1.6 (away - 0.67).
- Deportivo Pasto have scored less than 1.5 goals in 15 of their last 17 head-to-head encounters in the Primera A.
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (current season):
- Most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (26/150, 17.3%);
- Deportivo Pasto's most frequent home scoreline: 2-0 (2/8, 25%);
- Deportes Tolima's most frequent away scorelines: 0-0, 1-1 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-0 - 12.49% (odds: 5.23)
1-1 - 12.35% (odds: 5.65)
0-0 - 9.98% (odds: 6.47)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current trends, a low-scoring affair seems likely from both teams: matches involving the visitors often feature under 2.5 goals. It's particularly important to note Deportes Tolima's solid defense. Therefore, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be a well-founded choice for this encounter.