Kryliya vs Akhmat Prediction 11 April 2026
🔊 Can Akhmat get back to winning ways in the Russian Premier League? Their unbeaten run in the league, which lasted six matches, came to an end last round. On Saturday, they travel to face Krylia Sovetov, who are fighting to avoid relegation. Additionally, the Samara outfit were knocked out of the Russian Cup this week, so they are likely not in the best spirits or physical condition. An easy win for Akhmat? We'll assess the odds for both teams in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the span of 10 matches, Akhmat have secured exactly twice as many victories as Krylia Sovetov: six compared to three. The teams have also shared the spoils once. Notably, in 4 out of their last 5 encounters, the total goals have not exceeded 3.5.
Head-to-head statistics Kryliya - Akhmat
Krylya Sovetov Team Overview
After the winter break, Krylia Sovetov remain stuck at the bottom of the table. The Samara side fluctuate between the relegation playoff zone and the automatic drop zone, currently sitting in 13th place. This poor form led to the sacking of their head coach, with Sergei Bulatov taking charge just before the last round. However, this has yet to yield the desired results, as the team has suffered back-to-back defeats.
In the 23rd round of the RPL, Krylia surprisingly put up a competitive fight against Zenit, though they narrowly lost 2-1. However, in the Russian Cup, they faced a heavy defeat against CSKA (2-5). Despite playing at home, Samara conceded possession to their visitors (44% to 56%) and had nearly half as many shots on goal (8 compared to 14), indicating there was hardly any contest in that match.
Match Results: Krylya Sovetov
Akhmat Grozny Team Overview
Before the last round, Akhmat were on an unbeaten streak of six matches in the RPL. This impressive run elevated Stanislav Cherchesov's team to the 8th position, although nothing drastic happened: they are currently trailing the top 8 by just a single point. Their cushion over their nearest chasers, Rostov, remains significant at five points, despite Rostov's recent victory.
Akhmat's successful streak was halted by Krasnodar, who visited Grozny. The hosts did not look inferior to the "Bulls": they played in their usual style by conceding possession (43% to 57%), yet they attacked slightly more often (12 to 11 shots). Even the expected goals difference was minimal-0.86 xG versus 0.8 xG in favor of the visitors. It was a goal from the "Black-Greens" in the 86th minute that decided the match (1-0), although the score could have easily been level, as Akhmat did find the net, albeit from an offside position.
Match Results: Akhmat Grozny
Latest news
Krylya Sovetov
🎙 Krylya Sovetov's head coach Sergey Bulatov commented on the defeat to CSKA in the cup and the upcoming RPL match against Akhmat: "Our cup run is over for this year. I hope we won't look as disorganized again; we have a few days to fix that. A very important match is ahead, and I want to see the same number of fans, but the team will be different."
❌ The team's top scorer Vadim Rakov remains sidelined since the first half of the season. Recently, winter signing Jeffrey Chinedu joined him in the injury list.
Akhmat Grozny
🎙 Kirill Samorodov, the scorer of Akhmat's disallowed goal, shared his thoughts on the match against Krasnodar: "It's never easy playing against the champions, but we gave it our all. I don't see this as a lost game; I'm proud of the guys. However, we didn't achieve our goal. I don't interfere with the referees' work. If the flag was raised, then it was offside, unfortunately."
❌ In the previous match against Krasnodar, Lechi Sadulaev couldn't finish the game due to an injury, and his condition is still being assessed by the medical team. Meanwhile, Ismael Silva will definitely miss the upcoming round after receiving a second consecutive red card.
🟨 Prediction on Yellow Cards
Stanislav Cherchesov advocates for a physical style of play at Akhmat. Alongside this, the Grozny side have discipline issues, evidenced by two red cards in their last three matches. Krylia Sovetov may not be as rough, but they are always ready to fight, especially against Akhmat: in their last three head-to-heads, the Samara team have picked up 13 yellow cards. With these factors in mind, a bet on total yellow cards over 3.5 seems well-founded.
⚽️ Prediction on Goals
Krylia Sovetov perform well at home. Yes, they suffered a heavy defeat to CSKA in their last match, but that was in the cup. In the league, the Samara side are on a five-game unbeaten streak at home, scoring in four of those matches. There's no doubt about Akhmat's attacking capabilities; Stanislav Cherchesov's teams always manage to capitalize on even the fewest chances. Our prediction: both teams to score (yes).
🚩 Prediction on Corners
Krylia Sovetov are the worst team in the RPL when it comes to average corners (3.04 over 23 rounds). This is not surprising, as they've changed formations three times in their last four matches. After a coaching change, reaching a consensus on formation will be even more challenging. Against Akhmat, who excel in defense, even top teams struggle to sustain pressure in the final third. Therefore, we suggest considering a bet on Krylia Sovetov total corners under 4.5.
Editorial Prediction
Despite a loss in the last round, Akhmat remain one of the most consistent teams in the RPL after the winter break: along with the two league leaders, they have suffered only one defeat in the second half of the season. Krylia Sovetov have undergone a managerial change, which has yet to yield a victory. The Samara side played in the cup midweek and will kick off the 24th round of the RPL in the earliest Saturday slot. Stanislav Cherchesov's squad seemingly have no reason not to take points from Samara. Editorial prediction: Akhmat to win with a (0) handicap. A narrow 2-1 advantage for the visitors should be enough to secure the result.
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Betting Tips: Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny
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