Heracles vs Ajax Prediction 11 April 2026
🔊 Can Ajax halt their slide down the Eredivisie standings? Their upcoming opponent seems ideal for such a task-the league's bottom team, Heracles. The club from Almelo faces increasingly slim odds of staying in the Dutch top flight, as they trail the playoff zone by eight points. Can they put up a fight against an Ajax side weakened by recent setbacks? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on this matchup.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 24 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Ajax Amsterdam):
- ball possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 10 vs 0.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Heracles Almelo and Ajax Amsterdam:
- played 35 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 26, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 25 against 92;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.29, in the 2nd half - 2.06;
- average total goals in the match - 3.34.
Head-to-head statistics Heracles - Ajax
Heracles Almelo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away team - Heracles Almelo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:1.
Here's the game statistics (Heracles Almelo vs Heerenveen):
- ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 14.
Fans in Almelo are enduring a tough season as their team has managed just five wins in 29 league matches. Heracles have an average scoring rate of only 1.17 goals, while conceding 2.55 goals per game, making them the worst defensive side in the Eredivisie by a significant margin. In their last 10 games, the club has picked up just five points, which certainly doesn't boost their chances of staying in the league. Even if Heracles manage to close the seven-point gap to reach the playoff zone, overcoming their goal difference of -40 seems unlikely.
Match Results: Heracles Almelo
Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Ajax Amsterdam, away - Twente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Ajax Amsterdam vs Twente):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 14 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
Ajax have recently fallen not only out of the Champions League spots but also out of the top four in the league, trailing the top four by two points. The Amsterdam side rarely lose-they have been defeated just twice in their last 10 matches-but they've been drawing too often, with six draws in that same span. Nevertheless, the team maintains a solid balance between attack and defense, averaging 1.86 goals scored per game while conceding 1.28.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 26, draws - 6.
Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs Ajax Amsterdam
- matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- wins: 5 vs 12;
- win percentage: 17% vs 41%;
- losses: 20 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 12.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- losses: 7 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
- Heracles Almelo have lost in last 6 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.71, the guests - 2.63;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.34;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs Ajax Amsterdam
- average total in the tournament: 3.72 vs 3.14;
- average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.86;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.59 vs 1.07;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.59 vs 0.79;
- Heracles Almelo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.57;
- Ajax Amsterdam: average total away in the tournament - 1.79;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.8) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored over 1.5 goals in last 6 games against Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Heracles Almelo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.21; at home field - 4.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; at home field - 4.2.
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.9, away - 4.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 3.4.
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Heracles Almelo home games.
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Heracles Almelo home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs Ajax Amsterdam
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 21;
- number of BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo at home - 8 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 13 (93%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 4 (80%).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored and conceded in 14 of last 15 away games (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored and conceded in 13 of last 15 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/261, 10.7%);
- Heracles Almelo at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/14, 14.3%);
- Ajax Amsterdam away most often play: 2:2 (4/14, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:2 - 10.49% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 9.5% (odds 8.5)
0:1 - 9.09% (odds 9.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming clash between Heracles and Ajax, the visitors' attacking prowess is set to take center stage. According to trends, Ajax consistently scores over 1.5 goals in head-to-head matchups with Heracles. Their season-long average of 1.86 goals per game is equally impressive. The Amsterdam side's form keeps them competitive, even amidst frequent draws. Meanwhile, Heracles exhibit a weak defense, conceding an average of 2.55 goals per match, making them vulnerable against such a prolific opponent. Considering all factors, betting on Ajax to score over 1.5 goals appears to be the most well-founded choice.
No comments
Betting Tips: Heracles Almelo - Ajax Amsterdam
in last 6 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
in last 6 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).in 4 of last 5 away games (Eredivisie)..svg)
in last 9 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).in 15 of last 16 games (Eredivisie).in 13 of last 14 games.in 7 of last 8 home games (Eredivisie).in 6 of last 7 home games.in 7 of last 8 away games (Eredivisie).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
