Defensor vs Boston Riv. Prediction

    📢 In the upcoming clash between Defensor Sporting and Boston River, the defensive strategies of both teams are set to take center stage. Given their current form and statistics, it's reasonable to anticipate a low-scoring encounter. Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the standings, making every point crucial for improving their positions. Read the prediction for this duel below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a 4-0 scoreline. Here is a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (with Boston River as the home side):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 2.

    📊Analytical review of past official encounters between Defensor Sporting and Boston River:

    • 24 matches played;
    • home team victories - 11, away team victories - 6, draws - 7;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 33 to 27;
    • average total goals per match - 2.5.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    48%
    12 Wins
    28%
    7 Draws
    24%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    25
    Total Goals Avg
    2.48
    Both teams scored
    56%
    1.4
    Total average
    1.08
    2.76
    Yellow cards
    2.52
    Last matches
    11.04.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    2
    5
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    2
    5
    02.08.25
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    0
    2
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    0
    2
    2
    01.02.25
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    CA Boston River
    CA Boston River
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    0
    1
    1
    22.11.24
    Copa Uruguay
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    0
    1
    12.10.24
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Defensor Sporting Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match was in the Primera tournament, where Cerro hosted Defensor Sporting. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Defensor Sporting vs Cerro):

    • possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Defensor Sporting have been inconsistent lately, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. They average just 0.56 goals per game, highlighting issues in their attack. Currently sitting 10th in the table, they are striving to stay above the relegation zone. Their defense, however, is solid, conceding less than a goal per game, which gives them a fighting chance even against stronger opponents.

    Match Results: Defensor Sporting

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    0
    1
    D
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    L
    17.05.26
    Primera Division
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    1
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    2
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    3
    5
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    3
    5
    L
    04.05.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    4
    8
    -
    -
    6
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    8
    -
    -
    6
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Boston River Team Overview

    The visitors' last official match took place in the South American Cup, where Boston River hosted São Paulo. The game ended with a 0-1 scoreline.

    The match statistics were as follows (Boston River vs São Paulo):

    • possession: 29% vs 71%;
    • corners: 7 vs 10;
    • fouls: 13 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 4.

    Boston River have shown better form than Defensor Sporting, securing three wins in their last five outings, which indicates a solid rhythm. However, the team is also grappling with scoring issues, averaging just under one goal per game (0.9). While there are defensive lapses, they maintain reliability with an average of about one goal conceded per match.

    Match Results: Boston River

    Last matches
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    L
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Boston River
    Boston River
    O´Higgins
    O´Higgins
    1.40
    1.58
    4
    7
    11
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1.40
    1.58
    4
    7
    11
    11
    2
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Defensor Sporting (Home) vs Boston River (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 4;
    • Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of draws: 3 (100%) vs 4 (100%);
    • Average total goals scored: 0.67 vs 0.5;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.25.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 0 vs 1;
    • Number of losses: 1 vs 2;
    • Number of draws: 9 vs 7;
    • Average first half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • Defensor Sporting have drawn in the 1st half in 11 of last 12 games.
    • Defensor Sporting have drawn in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
    • Defensor Sporting have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games.
    • Boston River have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 2)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 24;
    • home team wins - 11, away team wins - 6, draws - 7.

    Statistics: Defensor Sporting vs Boston River

    • matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
    • wins: 2 vs 3;
    • win percentage: 22% vs 30%;
    • losses: 3 vs 5;
    • draws: 4 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 4;
    • losses: 4 vs 4;
    • draws: 3 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Boston River won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 away games.
    • Boston River won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games (Primera Division).
    • Boston River won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games.
    • Boston River won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Boston River Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.24)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.38, the guests - 1.13;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
    • both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 6.

    Statistics: Defensor Sporting vs Boston River

    • average total in the tournament: 1.22 vs 2;
    • average total goals scored: 0.56 vs 0.9;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.2;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.22 vs 0.7;
    • Defensor Sporting: average total at home in the tournament -  0.67;
    • Boston River: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 1) vs 0.9 (away - 1.33).
    Trends
    • Defensor Sporting have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games.
    • Defensor Sporting have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Defensor Sporting Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.57)

    Prediction on corners

    Defensor Sporting: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 6.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 6.

    Boston River: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.4, away - 1.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; away - 1.33.
    👉Prediction: Corners 1x2 Defensor Sporting Win(odds: 1.67)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 24;
    • both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 6 times.

    Statistics: Defensor Sporting vs Boston River

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 4;
    • number of BTTS matches for Defensor Sporting at home - 1 (33%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Boston River away - 2 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 3;
    • BTTS matches for Defensor Sporting at home - 2 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Boston River away - 2 (67%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.67)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (14/73, 19.2%);
    • Defensor Sporting at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:0 , 1:1 (1/3, 33.3%);
    • Boston River away most often play: 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:0 (1/4, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 17.57% (odds 6)
    0:0 - 15.62% (odds 7)
    0:1 - 12.32% (odds 9)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0)(odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering current trends and team form, a low-scoring match seems the most likely outcome. Defensor Sporting tend to engage in games with few goals - the total has gone under 2.5 in eight of their last nine matches. This aligns with their inability to consistently score more than one goal per game. Therefore, betting on the under appears justified both strategically based on the teams' form and supported by recent game trends. A 1-0 scoreline is possible.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -189*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (9 April 2026, 06:06)

    Betting Tips: Defensor Sporting - Boston River

    Defensor Sporting have drawn in the 1st half
    defensor-sportingin 11 of last 12 games.
    defensor-sportingin 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
    defensor-sportingin 6 of last 7 home games.
    Boston River have drawn in the 1st half
    ca-boston-riverin last 5 away games (Primera Division).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +100
    Defensor Sporting have not won
    defensor-sportingin 7 of last 8 games.
    Boston River have not lost
    ca-boston-riverin 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
    Boston River will not lose
    Everygame
    -133
    Defensor Sporting have not lost
    defensor-sportingin 15 of last 16 home games.
    defensor-sportingin 14 of last 15 home games (Primera Division).
    Defensor Sporting will not lose
    Everygame
    -435
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    in last 13 Esteban Ostojich games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Defensor - Boston Riv. Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1571726-2122
    8.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1556413-1121
    9.
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1555520-1820
    12.
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1552816-1917
    13.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1552814-2017
    14.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1543817-2215

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 10
    -2
    -9
    13 - Scored
    22 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    3
    4
    Draws
    0
    4
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    13
    10
    Conceded
    22
    1.8
    Match goals average
    3.5
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats