Brentford vs Everton Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 April 2026
🔊 Seventh place is not the limit. On April 11, Brentford Community Stadium will host one of the most intriguing matches of the 32nd round of the English Premier League. Teams with European ambitions will clash, both sitting on 46 points, and their head-to-head encounter will directly influence the standings at the top of the table. David Moyes has turned Everton into a point-scoring machine on the road. However, as they approach the away match against the Bees, the Toffees find themselves as underdogs.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams have faced each other ten times in this decade. Everton lead with four wins to Brentford's three. However, in the first leg, Brentford came out on top with a 4-2 victory, where Igor Thiago scored a hat-trick, ending his six-match goal drought.
Head-to-head statistics Brentford - Everton
Brentford Team Overview
Keith Andrews' team sits in 7th place with 46 points, and with a bit of luck, they could secure a spot in the Champions League, which would be an incredible achievement. However, the Bees have been inconsistent lately, drawing in 3 of their last 4 matches, including ties with lower-table sides such as Wolverhampton (2-2) and Leeds (0-0).
At home, Brentford have also struggled, currently on a four-match winless streak. Interestingly, during this stretch, they outperformed all opponents in xG, including Arsenal (1.51-0.88), but their finishing let them down. The Bees have the largest shortfall in the Premier League in expected goals, at 8.40. Despite this, their top scorer Igor Thiago has maintained his form, finding the net three times in his last three club appearances.
Match Results: Brentford
Everton Team Overview
The Toffees also have 46 points after 31 matches but trail Brentford on goal difference (+2). However, the team is in excellent form, securing three wins in their last four games, including a commanding 3-0 home victory over Chelsea just before the international break.
It's worth noting that Everton perform with great confidence away from home, boasting 7 wins in 15 away matches. Only Arsenal have more, and it was against David Moyes' protégés that they suffered their most recent away defeat (0-2). Before that, they went unbeaten on the road for six consecutive games since December 2025. The Blues play a rather straightforward style, but this brand of football is thriving in the Premier League-it's trending! The Gunners are heading towards the title with a similar approach.
Match Results: Everton
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Brentford
🔝 Brentford's main attacking hope is undoubtedly Igor Thiago, who has netted 19 goals in 31 matches. One more goal will allow the Brazilian to match the record set by Ivan Toney and Bryan Mbeumo in a single campaign. Notably, Carlo Ancelotti has called up Thiago to the national team, where he made his debut and scored against Croatia.
❌ The hosts face several personnel issues. Aaron Hickey, Rico Henry, and Vitaly Janelt are sidelined due to injuries. Additionally, Fabio Carvalho, Antoni Milambo, and Josh Dasilva are still recovering from ACL tears.
Everton
🎙 David Moyes after the match against Chelsea: "We have seven games left to see if we can secure a spot in Europe. I'd say if we finish in the top 10, that would be considered a very good season, as we're not fighting for survival. But here we are, and I don't want to back down. Every game should be seen as an opportunity to earn points and give ourselves a chance at European competitions."
❌ Jack Grealish and Carlos Alcaraz will be absent for the visitors-a familiar scenario. Importantly, Iliman Ndiaye, the main creative force for the Toffees, has returned from injury. The Senegalese player is already back in training, so he should be available for Saturday's game.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The main referee for the match is Farai Hallam. This young referee has officiated only two Premier League matches, but across 26 games this season (including the Championship and cup competitions), he has issued 87 yellow cards, averaging 3.35 per game. Notably, Hallam hasn't shown a single red card, indicating his reluctance to send players off.
Brentford's average at home is 1.73 cautions per match, and Everton's away average is exactly the same. Considering Hallam's refereeing style and the significance of this match in terms of the teams' European ambitions, betting on over 3.5 total bookings seems a reasonable choice.
⚽ Goal Prediction
As previously noted, David Moyes' side performs well in away fixtures. Therefore, this trend shouldn't surprise anyone: Everton scores in the second half in 5 out of their last 6 away Premier League games. In the last two head-to-head encounters with Brentford, the Toffees also found the net exclusively after the break, making this betting option intriguing.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Neither team boasts impressive corner stats. Brentford averages 4.07 corners per home game, while Everton earns 3.33 corners per away match. With these figures in mind, it is well-founded to play under 11.5 total corners, a bet that has hit in 7 of the last 8 matches involving the Bees and in 17 of the last 19 matches featuring the Toffees.
Editor's Prediction
Brentford and Everton head into their head-to-head clash level on points, albeit with differing momentum. The Bees have struggled in recent fixtures, even at home, while the Toffees have hit a stride, though a three-week break might have disrupted their rhythm. Igor Tiago is likely to be a key figure, returning from Brazil duty in top form and eager to net his 20th goal of the season. Given that he scored a hat-trick against them earlier in the campaign, Everton's defense may find it challenging to contain him.
We lean towards a Brentford victory, but it won't come easily, as the Bees have conceded in eight of their last nine encounters with Everton. A predicted scoreline of 2-1 in favor of the hosts suggests the main bet should be both teams to score (yes), which has hit in the last three meetings at Brentford Community Stadium.
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Betting Tips: Brentford - Everton
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