Everton vs Brentford Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 4 January 2026
🔊 Will Everton or Brentford find themselves closer to the top 5 after the 20th round of the Premier League? The teams are neck and neck in the standings, trailing the European competition spots by two and three points, respectively. The Toffees have a slight edge towards that coveted goal, especially with the upcoming match at their home ground, Hill Dickinson. Can the Bees end their more than three-year winless streak in head-to-head encounters? We'll assess the odds for both sides in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Brentford are in their fifth consecutive season in the English top flight. During this period, the Bees have clashed with the Toffees eight times in the league. Everton hold a slight edge with three wins to Brentford's two, while the teams have drawn three times. The Merseysiders are unbeaten in their last six encounters. In five of those six recent meetings, the total goals have not exceeded 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Everton - Brentford
Everton Team Overview
David Moyes' side have maintained their spot in the top ten for six consecutive rounds. During this stretch, Everton dropped points only against two of the Premier League's top five teams. In the other four matches, the Toffees secured 10 points. Currently, the Merseyside club sit in eighth place, just two points shy of the European competition spots.
In their last outing, Everton traveled to face Nottingham Forest. The Toffees had limited possession, holding just 30%, and took almost half as many shots as their opponents (11 to 21). Nevertheless, Moyes' strategy of playing on the counter paid off, as his team clinched a clean sheet victory (2-0).
Match Results: Everton
Brentford Team Overview
Brentford surged into the Premier League's top ten just before the New Year, thanks to an unbeaten run of four matches in the league. The Bees, under Keith Andrews, climbed to ninth place, trailing Everton by a single point-this is the highest Brentford have reached this season so far.
In the 19th round, Brentford hosted Tottenham. The match wasn't particularly thrilling: both teams combined for 16 shots with a total xG of 2.13. Even with a possession advantage (56% to 44%), the hosts couldn't capitalize. The encounter ended in a dull goalless draw (0-0).
Match Results: Brentford
Latest news
Everton
🎙 Everton captain James Tarkowski shared his thoughts on his team's victory over Nottingham Forest. "We knew we had to give it our all. We don't have many fit players left, and there were guys stepping up who don't usually play regularly. Considering all the circumstances, this win feels like a significant achievement, especially since we were playing at the City Ground. Nottingham are strong at home and were close to beating Manchester City over the weekend, so winning 2-0 and keeping a clean sheet is fantastic."
❌ In the last two rounds, Everton have been without Carlos Alcaraz and Michael Keane due to injuries. Even earlier, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Seamus Coleman, and Jarrad Branthwaite were sidelined. Additionally, the Toffees are missing two players who have gone to the Africa Cup of Nations: Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye.
Brentford
🎙 Brentford's head coach praised his team and Tottenham's Thomas Frank after their head-to-head clash. "It's always a pleasure to see Thomas Frank. He's someone I have great respect for. I enjoyed working with him last season. Tonight, I believe we were the better side, and if anyone deserved to win the game, it was probably us. They beat us twice last season. They earned their victory 26 days ago. Today was a completely different match. We wanted a fast pace in the second half, while they tried to slow it down," said Keith Andrews.
❌ Brentford will be without two players due to the Africa Cup of Nations: Frank Onyeka and Dango Ouattara. Josh Dasilva, Anthony Milambo, and Fábio Carvalho have been sidelined for an extended period.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee appointed for the match is Anthony Taylor. Over his last 10 Premier League matches, he has averaged 4.3 yellow cards. In Everton's last five games, there have been an average of three yellow cards per match, while Brentford's games have seen an average of 2.8. However, we anticipate a significant increase in intensity for this upcoming game. The teams are close in the league standings and are just one win away from European competition spots. Considering Anthony Taylor's strict officiating style, betting on over 3.5 total yellow cards might be a strategic move.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Let's look at the head-to-head history between these teams. Recently, their encounters have not been high-scoring affairs: in five of their last six meetings, the total goals have not exceeded 2.5. This trend is also evident in six of Brentford's last seven matches. Both teams are dealing with key attacking player absences. Given these circumstances, there's a strong likelihood of under 2.5 total goals being a successful bet.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Brentford are one of the Premier League's best when it comes to set-pieces, from throw-ins to corners. Even with this reputation, the "Bees" boast impressive stats: they average 6.22 corners per away game over nine rounds (top in the EPL). We believe it's a safe bet to place on over 4.5 Brentford corners.
Editorial Prediction
Both teams have recently found their rhythm, so let's take a look at their head-to-head stats. Brentford haven't beaten Everton in over three years, with six matches played since then. Over this period, the Toffees have shown more consistent results. We believe it makes sense to back Everton to win with a (0) handicap. While not diminishing Keith Andrews' contributions to the Bees, we think the home advantage will be minimal (1-0).
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Betting Tips: Everton - Brentford
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